DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0380
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.20305 | -0.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.206824 | -0.71% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189903 | -0.34% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0831 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185556 | -0.35% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.18182 | -0.29% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.182729 | -0.31% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187816 | -0.28% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189369 | -0.28% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.205942 | -0.44% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230729 | -0.85% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1209 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.267225 | -1.41% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1245 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.249719 | -0.91% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.23184 | -0.73% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0808 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219089 | -0.82% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216266 | -0.75% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213705 | -0.39% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213105 | -0.37% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.21402 | -0.36% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213012 | -0.42% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214544 | -0.44% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215345 | -0.40% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.212978 | -0.41% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.21356 | -0.41% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210012 | -0.40% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224571 | -0.46% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230236 | -0.50% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223658 | -0.49% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.223156 | -0.47% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219337 | -0.44% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.219998 | -0.39% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.21854 | -0.35% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211145 | -0.40% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214983 | -0.42% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.211529 | -0.48% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201635 | -0.48% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196336 | -0.34% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199291 | -0.35% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212742 | -0.33% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215727 | -0.40% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214894 | -0.33% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210529 | -0.29% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.19897 | -0.17% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.205202 | -0.14% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.21927 | -0.22% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233017 | -0.27% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242035 | -0.25% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.246039 | -0.27% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.241787 | -0.23% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.241088 | -0.15% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.235966 | -0.25% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.256821 | -0.34% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0810 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.271691 | -0.37% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.303654 | -0.80% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.279873 | -0.67% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0969 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.259481 | -0.45% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.238001 | -0.21% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1217 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235542 | -0.19% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245835 | -0.27% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.231126 | -0.18% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.2245 | -0.20% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.232277 | -0.22% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.252774 | -0.19% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234416 | -0.38% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.253308 | -0.70% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1259 | ✓ | 1.00 |