CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · gru_s3

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0129

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.372261	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.36947	-1.80%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.335807	-1.59%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.327128	-1.50%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.255414	-0.67%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2647	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.269568	-0.69%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.290005	-0.96%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.344172	-1.50%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1539	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.306756	-1.31%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1234	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.276184	-1.15%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1368	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.271137	-0.83%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0135	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.321659	-1.31%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1392	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.306019	-1.46%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.288819	-1.38%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.249002	-0.98%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1519	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.269369	-1.11%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0496	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.305243	-1.58%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.280561	-1.60%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.23392	-0.72%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2067	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.264779	-1.51%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1373	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.269077	-2.01%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0037	✓	1.00