BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s3

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1609

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0607	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0574	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1154	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.07	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.954777	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.977711	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.986213	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.977648	-2.66%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0985	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0111	-3.19%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0835	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0583	-3.55%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0896	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1467	-4.25%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0079	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.0938	-3.99%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0892	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1504	-4.35%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1204	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0805	-4.04%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0698	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0461	-4.04%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0138	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1315	-4.56%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0441	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1804	-4.80%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0126	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1892	-4.93%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0486	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.198	-5.07%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0222	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1015	-4.99%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1177	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.2	-5.36%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0167	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2156	-5.50%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1049	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0869	-5.18%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0594	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2004	-5.54%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0015	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.269	-6.00%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0417	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2302	-5.94%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0211	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2512	-7.34%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0821	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.989854	-5.60%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2409	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.808658	-4.64%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4767	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.72949	-4.05%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4958	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.848608	-5.07%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4545	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.78191	-5.75%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4883	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.621065	-3.30%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6884	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.557531	-2.57%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8289	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.522769	-2.14%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5486	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.460327	-0.92%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4606	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.46232	-0.87%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3325	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.501945	-1.44%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4630	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.492965	-1.17%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4590	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.537842	-1.84%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1243	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.54955	-1.87%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0177	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.546712	-1.72%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0200	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.580856	-2.04%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1884	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.564847	-1.42%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1422	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.515646	+0.78%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0036	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.500486	+2.31%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0605	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.452951	+3.92%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2362	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.451619	+4.25%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2616	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.472648	+4.65%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2510	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.440009	+3.42%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2805	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.409672	+3.82%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3158	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.424992	+3.86%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1800	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.417006	+2.86%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1444	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.423499	+2.42%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0184	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.440874	+1.72%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0297	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.454872	+2.10%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0134	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.441065	+1.65%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0250	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.444749	+1.33%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1123	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.416029	+1.40%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0139	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.447294	+0.95%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0979	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.434474	+0.95%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0576	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.476519	+0.79%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0918	✗	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.402047	-0.14%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0791	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.39454	-1.46%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0564	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.352972	-2.17%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1950	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.360443	-2.37%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1074	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.357233	-2.42%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1909	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.36126	-2.55%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1512	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.370966	-2.81%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2142	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.369384	-2.97%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0672	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.370197	-3.01%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0633	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.3643	-3.09%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0123	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.343762	-2.86%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0701	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.387417	-3.68%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0527	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.372225	-3.42%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0006	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.391506	-3.64%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0218	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.423728	-3.94%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1050	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.387706	-3.39%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0125	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.378	-3.13%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0041	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.360057	-2.45%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0184	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.37115	-2.64%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0773	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.360565	-1.97%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0634	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.361022	-1.79%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1151	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.391085	-2.91%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1205	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.417512	-3.24%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0403	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.436552	-3.44%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1125	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.430974	-3.20%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1547	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.454269	-3.65%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1745	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.446598	-3.29%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.1936	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.434347	-2.77%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1665	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.42314	-2.37%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0491	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.450448	-3.05%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0432	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.451493	-2.80%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0009	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.438188	-2.21%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0150	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.42534	-1.70%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.1035	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.470814	-2.68%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0196	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.460824	-2.37%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0311	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.488087	-2.81%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1188	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.531	-3.44%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1310	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.519683	-3.35%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1096	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.513308	-3.13%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1295	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.536194	-3.56%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2118	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.56259	-3.88%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1488	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.544471	-3.79%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1432	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.524585	-3.57%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0427	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.530234	-3.68%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0402	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.561907	-4.13%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0402	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.552915	-4.14%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0462	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.500159	-3.78%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1061	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.52309	-4.13%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1135	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.555848	-4.51%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0209	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.586048	-4.86%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0723	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.581176	-4.97%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0514	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.532279	-4.52%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.1047	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.493679	-4.49%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1593	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.458007	-4.36%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1338	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.516568	-5.16%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0609	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.529946	-5.50%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0985	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.483197	-5.35%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2466	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.566038	-6.08%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0727	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.552967	-6.28%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0068	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.614597	-6.81%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1806	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.633269	-7.34%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2847	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.609654	-7.31%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1179	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.541362	-6.77%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0286	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.545833	-7.80%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0726	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.439473	-7.07%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3179	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.3918	-6.31%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4139	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.395025	-6.37%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5159	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.449267	-8.24%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4248	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.314747	-6.05%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7367	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.274922	-5.53%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7476	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.255359	-5.14%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8391	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.230004	-4.60%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7348	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.235615	-4.84%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5920	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.245774	-5.07%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5568	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.244014	-5.24%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.7087	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.217111	-4.40%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4639	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.220758	-4.68%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2975	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.222753	-4.85%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1872	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.263882	-7.64%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1150	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.170961	-3.58%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3776	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.1452	-2.55%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6620	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.158315	-2.87%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5740	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157754	-2.98%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4768	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139055	-2.14%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6114	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123443	-1.56%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7202	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123444	-1.48%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9249	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.118597	-1.17%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4854	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.118817	-1.07%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2799	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.122553	-1.17%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3156	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129623	-1.43%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2527	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.130477	-1.60%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1045	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.132145	-1.60%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0143	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.129959	-1.55%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0068	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133053	-1.73%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0943	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135123	-1.80%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1207	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.138033	-1.83%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1032	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.140829	-1.79%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0551	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.141922	-1.65%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0339	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.147403	-1.40%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0612	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.148353	-1.75%	0.132	-12.58%	0.0998	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.145538	-1.40%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0352	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.155083	-1.41%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0753	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.149381	-1.07%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0146	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.148388	-1.34%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0096	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.147716	-1.39%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0126	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.141292	-1.26%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0463	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.146037	-0.99%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0537	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.143598	-1.04%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0314	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148621	-1.38%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0387	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.154921	-1.82%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0628	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152711	-1.73%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0358	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.143684	-1.65%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0216	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.1398	-2.03%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0139	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.139834	-2.15%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0034	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.144786	-2.11%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0431	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146677	-1.89%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.144309	-1.50%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0906	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.141712	-1.73%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0810	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.139656	-1.72%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0367	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.139607	-1.48%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0443	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.138309	-1.49%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0608	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137729	-1.90%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.137988	-2.00%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0606	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.13363	-2.25%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137633	-1.97%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.135641	-1.64%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0418	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.14624	-2.18%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.136568	-2.03%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.140745	-2.19%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.146253	-2.24%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0569	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.14064	-2.54%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.144415	-2.36%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.14395	-2.34%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0976	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.14417	-2.46%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.146492	-2.53%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.150453	-2.49%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.144972	-2.57%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0467	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.143553	-2.54%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149387	-2.62%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.145577	-2.56%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0739	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.140755	-2.52%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.146704	-2.59%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0185	✓	1.00