BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s3
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 93
Track record at +1d
assessed
30
of 31 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2658
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0243
actual +0.0460
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00808 | 0.008031 | -0.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0081 | 0.008059 | -0.50% | 0.00808 | -0.25% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007636 | -0.57% | 0.0081 | +5.47% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007062 | -0.89% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006593 | -1.44% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0854 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008129 | -1.35% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2248 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009059 | -1.41% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0891 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011587 | -1.78% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.2035 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.00826 | -1.74% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3318 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012404 | -1.80% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3326 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012383 | -1.84% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015925 | -2.97% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.01205 | -2.31% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.2997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011808 | -2.54% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013937 | -4.07% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008526 | -2.53% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009171 | -3.40% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.00785 | -3.18% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1926 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011696 | -5.76% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003632 | -2.69% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002838 | -2.14% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2712 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004125 | -3.65% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3482 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002692 | -2.09% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003925 | -3.49% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003095 | -3.06% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002842 | -3.46% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.00172 | -1.27% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.00198 | -1.85% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001076 | -3.40% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001229 | -3.19% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001943 | -1.53% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4046 | ✓ | 1.00 |