BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s3
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +1d
assessed
50
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1053
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0043
actual -0.0192
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01203 | 0.01191 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.01208 | 0.011953 | -1.05% | 0.01203 | -0.41% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011607 | -0.96% | 0.01208 | +3.07% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012148 | -1.04% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0734 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012774 | -1.21% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012615 | -1.18% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012811 | -1.26% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012735 | -1.28% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012465 | -1.11% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013373 | -1.42% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013019 | -1.18% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.01625 | -3.16% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1492 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012869 | -0.93% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2426 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011325 | -0.00% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1264 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011469 | +0.08% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012885 | -0.50% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0714 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011764 | +0.04% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1688 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012859 | -0.32% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012987 | -0.40% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013339 | -0.19% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011174 | +0.84% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1713 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011984 | +0.71% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012377 | +0.75% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0824 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013776 | +0.44% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1118 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014717 | +0.28% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015914 | -0.04% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0479 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016156 | +0.01% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016839 | -0.06% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.01844 | -0.43% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018669 | -0.43% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017309 | +0.05% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019418 | -0.45% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017547 | +0.50% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.01901 | +0.34% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0841 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022259 | -0.32% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017103 | +1.02% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016549 | +1.18% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020473 | +0.87% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021546 | +0.97% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021868 | +1.03% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.02304 | +1.03% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.02151 | +0.89% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0578 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.03172 | +0.21% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.032025 | +0.05% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038795 | -0.53% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042634 | -0.75% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0809 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054702 | -1.62% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.074479 | -4.29% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.2987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.05506 | -3.40% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045105 | -3.00% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028633 | -0.06% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4350 | ✗ | 1.00 |