ATLA

? · · gru_s3

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,269

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	115.9674	115.6316	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	115.85	115.6558	-0.17%	115.9674	+0.10%	0.0023	✗	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	116.4773	-0.21%	115.85	-0.75%	0.0076	✓	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	114.8824	-0.24%	116.7219	+1.36%	0.0137	✗	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	116.7194	-0.25%	115.1533	-1.58%	0.0132	✓	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	115.9485	-0.27%	117.0067	+0.64%	0.0078	✗	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	116.3052	-0.26%	116.2617	-0.29%	0.0001	✓	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	115.7653	-0.20%	116.6026	+0.52%	0.0085	✗	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	116.4644	-0.18%	116.0011	-0.58%	0.0052	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	117.2889	-0.12%	116.679	-0.64%	0.0021	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	115.5631	-0.13%	117.4309	+1.48%	0.0133	✗	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	119.088	-0.09%	115.7178	-2.92%	0.0253	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	118.3691	-0.11%	119.1933	+0.59%	0.0057	✗	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	118.1074	-0.12%	118.4958	+0.21%	0.0027	✗	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	118.3549	-0.16%	118.2518	-0.25%	0.0023	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	115.4551	-0.10%	118.544	+2.58%	0.0294	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	115.9091	-0.05%	115.5679	-0.35%	0.0014	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	116.226	-0.04%	115.9719	-0.26%	0.0018	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	116.9922	-0.05%	116.27	-0.67%	0.0048	✓	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	116.4099	-0.10%	117.0534	+0.46%	0.0022	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	116.103	-0.12%	116.522	+0.24%	0.0032	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	118.3137	-0.20%	116.2472	-1.94%	0.0170	✓	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	116.7324	-0.17%	118.5477	+1.38%	0.0130	✗	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	118.2545	-0.24%	116.9363	-1.35%	0.0111	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	117.9592	-0.27%	118.5378	+0.22%	0.0046	✗	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	119.1991	-0.36%	118.279	-1.13%	0.0060	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	119.2737	-0.36%	119.6322	-0.06%	0.0029	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	118.8233	-0.28%	119.7037	+0.46%	0.0068	✗	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	119.206	-0.29%	119.1593	-0.33%	0.0001	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	119.1958	-0.28%	119.5586	+0.02%	0.0030	✗	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	120.2417	-0.29%	119.5349	-0.88%	0.0028	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	121.6875	-0.27%	120.5905	-1.16%	0.0084	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	121.9237	-0.12%	122.0118	-0.05%	0.0088	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	122.0891	-0.07%	122.0733	-0.09%	0.0000	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	121.7727	+0.01%	122.1804	+0.34%	0.0027	✓	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	120.0318	+0.17%	121.7619	+1.62%	0.0070	✓	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	119.8769	+0.21%	119.8243	+0.16%	0.0008	✓	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	119.2085	+0.23%	119.6282	+0.58%	0.0026	✓	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	122.7136	+0.25%	118.9348	-2.84%	0.0276	✗	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	121.3702	+0.27%	122.4108	+1.13%	0.0068	✓	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	122.0305	+0.27%	121.0485	-0.53%	0.0075	✗	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	122.1293	+0.26%	121.6973	-0.09%	0.0036	✗	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.9236	+0.23%	121.8078	-0.68%	0.0099	✗	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.7397	+0.24%	122.6452	-2.23%	0.0231	✗	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	126.9872	+0.22%	125.4371	-1.00%	0.0122	✗	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	128.0984	+0.23%	126.7087	-0.86%	0.0104	✗	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	130.1809	+0.22%	127.8053	-1.61%	0.0172	✗	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	129.3506	+0.25%	129.8901	+0.67%	0.0037	✓	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	130.5395	+0.28%	129.0303	-0.88%	0.0118	✗	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	133.0508	+0.43%	130.1788	-1.74%	0.0203	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	136.5854	+0.28%	132.4877	-2.73%	0.0367	✗	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	138.3137	+0.39%	136.2007	-1.15%	0.0152	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	137.4696	+0.43%	137.779	+0.65%	0.0044	✓	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	136.3367	+0.36%	136.8872	+0.77%	0.0025	✓	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	138.2454	+0.37%	135.8412	-1.38%	0.0166	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	137.0383	+0.35%	137.7388	+0.86%	0.0045	✓	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	138.2176	+0.42%	136.563	-0.79%	0.0081	✗	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	137.2333	+0.38%	137.6446	+0.68%	0.0010	✓	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	136.2914	+0.37%	136.7192	+0.68%	0.0023	✓	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	138.5296	+0.36%	135.7951	-1.62%	0.0193	✗	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	138.9743	+0.32%	138.0338	-0.36%	0.0085	✗	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	138.2839	+0.30%	138.5343	+0.48%	0.0009	✓	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	139.106	+0.33%	137.8683	-0.57%	0.0072	✗	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	140.4073	+0.14%	138.6534	-1.11%	0.0224	✗	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	139.2635	+0.02%	140.2151	+0.70%	0.0016	✗	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	139.0464	-0.11%	139.2406	+0.03%	0.0109	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	138.6268	-0.11%	139.1964	+0.30%	0.0035	✗	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	139.5784	-0.14%	138.781	-0.71%	0.0108	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	139.9854	-0.15%	139.7788	-0.29%	0.0009	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	146.6797	-0.18%	140.189	-4.60%	0.0454	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	150.8568	-0.20%	146.9445	-2.78%	0.0248	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	149.7728	-0.19%	151.1525	+0.73%	0.0091	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	149.7262	-0.18%	150.0512	+0.03%	0.0025	✗	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	150.2484	-0.18%	150.0016	-0.35%	0.0004	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	149.6549	-0.16%	150.5222	+0.42%	0.0087	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	150.4563	-0.17%	149.8991	-0.54%	0.0035	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	150.0036	-0.18%	150.7103	+0.29%	0.0046	✗	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	149.9615	-0.19%	150.2681	+0.01%	0.0001	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	151.4717	-0.20%	150.2508	-1.00%	0.0071	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	150.8669	-0.22%	151.7696	+0.38%	0.0044	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	150.8883	-0.24%	151.192	-0.04%	0.0005	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	151.6769	-0.26%	151.2501	-0.54%	0.0027	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	151.3127	-0.29%	152.0657	+0.21%	0.0030	✗	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	150.0116	-0.29%	151.7473	+0.86%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	150.9736	-0.26%	150.4472	-0.60%	0.0016	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	150.1403	-0.26%	151.3602	+0.55%	0.0052	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	151.4768	-0.26%	150.5366	-0.88%	0.0064	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.9446	-0.24%	151.869	+1.72%	0.0189	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.7956	-0.23%	149.3046	-2.51%	0.0181	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	151.126	-0.22%	153.1511	+1.12%	0.0103	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.9897	-0.20%	151.4572	+0.11%	0.0025	✗	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.7707	-0.18%	151.2942	+0.17%	0.0062	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	152.0589	-0.17%	151.0425	-0.84%	0.0038	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	153.0085	-0.17%	152.3194	-0.62%	0.0033	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.8683	-0.15%	153.2626	+0.77%	0.0055	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.9062	-0.14%	152.0898	-1.32%	0.0134	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.8938	-0.14%	154.1228	-0.64%	0.0046	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.7833	-0.11%	155.108	+1.41%	0.0120	✗	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.4937	-0.10%	152.9571	+0.87%	0.0092	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.785	-0.09%	151.6415	+1.15%	0.0159	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	153.1809	-0.11%	149.9178	-2.23%	0.0206	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	152.6102	-0.07%	153.3422	+0.41%	0.0046	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	152.3317	-0.07%	152.7226	+0.19%	0.0079	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	152.3065	-0.06%	152.4355	+0.02%	0.0010	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	152.2828	-0.05%	152.4016	+0.02%	0.0023	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	152.2826	-0.04%	152.366	+0.01%	0.0035	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.7457	-0.02%	152.3446	+0.37%	0.0001	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.4945	-0.02%	151.7781	+0.17%	0.0066	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	154.2596	-0.04%	151.5182	-1.81%	0.0151	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	154.0393	-0.02%	154.3142	+0.15%	0.0000	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.692	-0.02%	154.077	-0.42%	0.0061	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.7648	-0.00%	154.7202	+0.62%	0.0039	✗	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	152.0845	+0.03%	153.7662	+1.13%	0.0067	✓	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	151.7094	+0.05%	152.0462	+0.27%	0.0041	✗	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	152.1656	+0.08%	151.6335	-0.27%	0.0095	✗	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	152.1944	+0.07%	152.05	-0.02%	0.0062	✓	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	151.7013	+0.09%	152.0878	+0.35%	0.0005	✓	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	152.2882	+0.09%	151.5607	-0.39%	0.0027	✗	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	154.2198	+0.09%	152.1466	-1.25%	0.0132	✗	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	152.3961	+0.13%	154.0792	+1.24%	0.0097	✓	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	152.4712	+0.13%	152.199	-0.05%	0.0037	✓	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	152.6034	+0.12%	152.274	-0.09%	0.0048	✓	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	152.4851	+0.13%	152.4131	+0.08%	0.0050	✓	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	152.3017	+0.16%	152.288	+0.15%	0.0030	✗	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	153.0747	+0.15%	152.065	-0.51%	0.0028	✗	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.9448	+0.17%	152.8393	-0.55%	0.0100	✗	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	154.5293	+0.18%	153.6905	-0.37%	0.0075	✗	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	155.2573	+0.16%	154.2555	-0.49%	0.0009	✓	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	158.3773	+0.14%	155.0079	-2.00%	0.0173	✗	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	155.544	+0.16%	158.1635	+1.84%	0.0188	✓	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	160.4557	+0.14%	155.3014	-3.08%	0.0345	✗	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	160.0504	+0.16%	160.2353	+0.27%	0.0034	✗	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	160.2501	+0.16%	159.8021	-0.12%	0.0060	✗	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	166.2765	+0.11%	159.9919	-3.68%	0.0384	✗	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	169.94	+0.09%	166.0988	-2.18%	0.0315	✗	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	174.6341	-0.00%	169.7934	-2.77%	0.0271	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	180.5513	-0.11%	174.6371	-3.38%	0.0275	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	182.8114	-0.17%	180.7511	-1.30%	0.0101	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	182.2027	-0.14%	183.1239	+0.36%	0.0048	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	185.1365	-0.19%	182.4621	-1.63%	0.0139	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	187.1963	-0.30%	185.492	-1.20%	0.0009	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	193.0181	-0.35%	187.7511	-3.07%	0.0269	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	195.992	-0.42%	193.7013	-1.59%	0.0059	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	197.4782	-0.46%	196.8275	-0.79%	0.0131	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	198.4095	-0.42%	198.3972	-0.42%	0.0077	✗	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	202.0335	-0.37%	199.2405	-1.74%	0.0124	✓	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	199.6159	-0.31%	202.775	+1.27%	0.0129	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	203.9836	-0.27%	200.2331	-2.10%	0.0175	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	206.304	-0.23%	204.5351	-1.08%	0.0054	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	205.1119	-0.17%	206.7726	+0.64%	0.0089	✗	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	203.6143	-0.12%	205.4656	+0.79%	0.0186	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	201.5727	-0.09%	203.8498	+1.04%	0.0094	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	203	-0.08%	201.751	-0.70%	0.0084	✓	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	202.6394	-0.08%	203.1663	+0.18%	0.0060	✓	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	211.4231	-0.09%	202.7993	-4.16%	0.0278	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	208.1151	-0.07%	211.6062	+1.60%	0.0162	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	202.7322	-0.08%	208.2707	+2.65%	0.0223	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	204.2956	-0.11%	202.8908	-0.80%	0.0057	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	200.4057	-0.14%	204.5183	+1.91%	0.0235	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	222.0315	-0.19%	200.68	-9.79%	0.0966	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	221.329	-0.21%	222.4611	+0.30%	0.0113	✗	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	221.7922	-0.19%	221.8012	-0.19%	0.0128	✗	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	227.7028	-0.30%	222.2199	-2.70%	0.0356	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	246.755	-0.33%	228.3821	-7.75%	0.0704	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	239.8613	-0.30%	247.5702	+2.91%	0.0389	✗	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	243.5283	-0.31%	240.5782	-1.52%	0.0094	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	242.3346	-0.38%	244.2902	+0.42%	0.0015	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	244.672	-0.41%	243.2573	-0.99%	0.0087	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	259.6713	-0.47%	245.6895	-5.83%	0.0565	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	254.1356	-0.40%	260.8894	+2.25%	0.0350	✗	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	262.8882	-0.44%	255.1516	-3.37%	0.0334	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	258.4749	-0.46%	264.0396	+1.69%	0.0140	✗	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	261.3608	-0.50%	259.6586	-1.15%	0.0157	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	261.1382	-0.50%	262.6737	+0.09%	0.0067	✗	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	263.9884	-0.53%	262.4384	-1.11%	0.0092	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	248.3676	-0.59%	265.3872	+6.22%	0.0525	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	245.3014	-0.63%	249.8432	+1.21%	0.0143	✗	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	242.7553	-0.64%	246.8498	+1.04%	0.0207	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	237.976	-0.62%	244.3125	+2.03%	0.0336	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	238.9968	-0.59%	239.4538	-0.40%	0.0107	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	244.8595	-0.79%	240.4076	-2.60%	0.0253	✓	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	237.2909	-0.85%	246.8195	+3.13%	0.0380	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	238.181	-0.93%	239.3317	-0.45%	0.0106	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	239.6882	-0.97%	240.4245	-0.66%	0.0026	✓	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	237.325	-0.88%	242.0296	+1.09%	0.0062	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	238.9725	-0.85%	239.428	-0.66%	0.0017	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	231.9296	-0.71%	241.0308	+3.19%	0.0220	✗	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	237.4124	-0.84%	233.5885	-2.44%	0.0010	✓	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	238.9668	-0.91%	239.4263	-0.72%	0.0126	✗	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	233.8629	-0.75%	241.1719	+2.36%	0.0154	✗	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	260.5682	-0.80%	235.6184	-10.30%	0.1033	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	266.7359	-0.74%	262.677	-2.25%	0.0209	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	273.3494	-0.71%	268.7346	-2.39%	0.0148	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	268.4221	-0.56%	275.3103	+1.99%	0.0075	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	278.2247	-0.70%	269.944	-3.66%	0.0099	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	281.5296	-0.75%	280.1861	-1.22%	0.0055	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	282.9967	-0.74%	283.65	-0.52%	0.0082	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	285.296	-0.76%	285.12	-0.83%	0.0070	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	286.0472	-0.79%	287.4921	-0.29%	0.0124	✗	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	283.6951	-0.76%	288.3202	+0.86%	0.0135	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	289.873	-0.81%	285.8666	-2.18%	0.0124	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	293.9518	-0.86%	292.2391	-1.44%	0.0230	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	287.0174	-0.88%	296.5	+2.40%	0.0292	✗	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	288.3478	-0.92%	289.5533	-0.51%	0.0035	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	287.7384	-0.96%	291.033	+0.18%	0.0235	✗	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	285.6096	-1.00%	290.5238	+0.71%	0.0181	✗	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	282.6201	-1.02%	288.4871	+1.03%	0.0054	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	279.5414	-1.02%	285.5425	+1.10%	0.0132	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	281.088	-1.02%	282.4259	-0.55%	0.0085	✓	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	283.5699	-1.04%	283.9924	-0.89%	0.0018	✓	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	283.8797	-1.08%	286.5556	-0.15%	0.0338	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	285.4489	-1.11%	286.9869	-0.58%	0.0299	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	286.3182	-1.10%	288.6543	-0.29%	0.0007	✓	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	282.1466	-1.08%	289.4908	+1.49%	0.0290	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	285.3921	-1.04%	285.2288	-1.09%	0.0323	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	282.3322	-1.03%	288.3836	+1.09%	0.0325	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	278.7712	-1.03%	285.2849	+1.29%	0.0395	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	280.223	-1.00%	281.6591	-0.49%	0.0009	✓	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	289.3546	-1.04%	283.0578	-3.19%	0.0088	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	284.5652	-1.15%	292.3958	+1.57%	0.0539	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	289.4004	-1.25%	287.8671	-1.77%	0.0031	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	284.0338	-1.32%	293.0667	+1.82%	0.0130	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	282.7466	-1.48%	287.8375	+0.30%	0.0027	✓	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	281.9469	-1.80%	286.9874	-0.05%	0.0149	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	284.7112	-2.26%	287.1263	-1.43%	0.0044	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	267.4854	-2.48%	291.2892	+6.20%	0.0821	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	243.5713	-2.61%	274.2802	+9.66%	0.1164	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	223.6808	-2.65%	250.1096	+8.85%	0.0973	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	236.3634	-3.04%	229.7689	-5.74%	0.0541	✓	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	226.9086	-3.38%	243.7696	+3.80%	0.0853	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	226.1224	-3.79%	234.8456	-0.08%	0.0465	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	222.6269	-4.49%	235.0381	+0.83%	0.0820	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	207.2899	-4.68%	233.0921	+7.19%	0.1356	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	194.725	-4.83%	217.4655	+6.28%	0.0643	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	194.373	-5.44%	204.6076	-0.46%	0.0568	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	145.5125	-5.07%	205.5447	+34.10%	0.3168	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	127.0916	-5.08%	153.2768	+14.47%	0.1998	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	123.536	-5.69%	133.8969	+2.22%	0.0690	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	90.0466	-5.74%	130.9839	+37.11%	0.3937	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	31.6896	-0.99%	95.535	+198.50%	1.1097	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.4149	-0.08%	32.0054	+42.67%	0.3222	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	22.1164	-0.07%	22.4332	+1.36%	0.0192	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.2257	-0.09%	22.132	-0.51%	0.0223	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.8687	-0.14%	22.2461	-2.86%	0.0247	✓	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.7304	-0.15%	22.9018	+0.60%	0.0078	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	22.153	-0.12%	22.7649	+2.64%	0.0185	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.763	-0.10%	22.1787	+1.81%	0.0141	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.3122	-0.13%	21.7848	-2.49%	0.0153	✓	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.5862	-0.15%	22.3419	-1.23%	0.0009	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.4925	-0.15%	22.6204	+0.42%	0.0051	✗	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	23.2732	-0.20%	22.5257	-3.41%	0.0247	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.4676	-0.14%	23.3204	+3.65%	0.0295	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.3538	-0.12%	22.5	+0.53%	0.0144	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.9389	-0.12%	22.3803	+1.89%	0.0278	✗	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.8742	-0.14%	21.9658	+0.28%	0.0212	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.3888	-0.18%	21.9054	-2.33%	0.0097	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	22.1408	-0.15%	22.4283	+1.15%	0.0146	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.3489	-0.13%	22.1734	-0.91%	0.0178	✓	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	22.2747	-0.11%	22.3773	+0.35%	0.0169	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.6022	+0.12%	22.299	+8.36%	0.0027	✓	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	22.0138	-0.10%	20.5777	-6.62%	0.0512	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.5473	-0.16%	22.0357	-2.43%	0.0060	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.449	-0.18%	22.5834	+0.42%	0.0341	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.5531	-0.08%	22.4885	+4.25%	0.0277	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.4996	-0.18%	21.5711	-4.30%	0.0267	✓	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	22.0584	-0.19%	22.5394	+1.99%	0.0760	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.8885	-0.11%	22.1003	+5.68%	0.0603	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.4011	-0.10%	20.9116	+2.40%	0.0744	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	20.2113	-0.06%	20.4224	+0.99%	0.0099	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.3097	-0.10%	20.2232	-5.19%	0.0612	✓	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.5657	-0.07%	21.3303	+3.64%	0.0193	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.7661	-0.13%	20.5804	-5.57%	0.0308	✓	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.8006	-0.14%	21.7946	-0.16%	0.0036	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.8514	-0.15%	21.8302	-0.24%	0.0011	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	22.0955	-0.17%	21.8837	-1.13%	0.0106	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.6116	-0.19%	22.1339	+2.23%	0.0136	✗	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.3751	-0.22%	21.6518	-7.58%	0.0376	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	23.1956	-0.20%	23.4273	+0.80%	0.0196	✗	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.8986	-0.20%	23.2421	-2.94%	0.0146	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.8674	-0.18%	23.9459	+0.15%	0.0068	✗	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.9861	-0.20%	23.9111	-0.51%	0.0024	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.5214	-0.21%	24.0331	-2.20%	0.0079	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.6346	-0.27%	24.5732	-0.52%	0.0127	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	23.0825	-0.33%	24.7011	+6.66%	0.0419	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.8222	-0.41%	23.1593	-3.18%	0.0302	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.7083	-0.44%	23.9192	+0.44%	0.0057	✗	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.708	-0.44%	23.8134	+0.00%	0.0054	✗	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	24.0034	-0.46%	23.8132	-1.25%	0.0046	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.4176	-0.48%	24.1148	-1.71%	0.0109	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.5532	-0.52%	24.5347	-4.48%	0.0265	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.3291	-0.54%	25.6867	+0.86%	0.0149	✗	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.8127	-0.56%	25.467	-1.89%	0.0284	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.4464	-0.56%	25.957	+1.44%	0.0140	✗	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.525	-0.55%	25.5897	-0.30%	0.0019	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.4528	-0.48%	25.667	+4.46%	0.0402	✗	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.6953	-0.40%	24.5707	+3.28%	0.0281	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	24.0986	-0.42%	23.7913	-1.69%	0.0069	✓	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.892	-0.39%	24.2007	+0.89%	0.0041	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.2529	-0.43%	23.9863	-1.52%	0.0059	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.2729	-0.42%	24.3566	-0.08%	0.0030	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.6592	-0.39%	24.3761	+2.63%	0.0264	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.4307	-0.37%	23.7524	+0.99%	0.0128	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.891	-0.44%	23.5185	-9.57%	0.0932	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.7016	-0.48%	26.0062	-3.07%	0.0276	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.7331	-0.51%	26.8291	-0.15%	0.0111	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.4374	-0.50%	26.8696	+1.13%	0.0168	✗	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.6915	-0.50%	26.5705	-0.96%	0.0065	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.6461	-0.49%	26.8269	+0.19%	0.0053	✗	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	26.1871	-0.39%	26.7768	+1.86%	0.0065	✗	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	29.717	-0.90%	26.2886	-12.34%	0.1182	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.8404	-0.21%	29.9878	+37.01%	0.3286	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.6055	-0.17%	21.8866	+1.13%	0.0029	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.2329	-0.18%	21.6415	-2.84%	0.0150	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.9655	-0.29%	22.2734	-3.30%	0.0169	✓	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.751	-0.36%	23.0332	-3.37%	0.0305	✓	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.758	-0.30%	23.8373	+9.22%	0.1072	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.8012	-0.35%	21.8244	-4.62%	0.0473	✓	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.2843	-0.43%	22.8815	-2.15%	0.0125	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.5684	-0.28%	23.3848	+3.33%	0.0202	✗	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.2178	-0.29%	22.6316	-2.81%	0.0275	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.6865	-0.25%	23.2849	-1.94%	0.0260	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.2737	-0.19%	23.7457	+1.83%	0.0207	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.3718	-0.32%	23.319	-4.63%	0.0234	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.3017	-0.42%	24.4511	-3.77%	0.0243	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.6347	-0.13%	25.408	+7.37%	0.0575	✗	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.5781	+0.25%	23.6644	+9.94%	0.0612	✓	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	23.166	+0.04%	21.5241	-7.05%	0.0502	✗	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.4915	+0.04%	23.1575	-1.38%	0.0113	✗	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.7534	+0.08%	23.481	-1.07%	0.0110	✗	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	24.1356	+0.09%	23.7343	-1.57%	0.0140	✗	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.3737	+0.18%	24.1139	-0.89%	0.0165	✗	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.8426	+0.40%	24.3308	+2.46%	0.0011	✓	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	24.0764	+0.47%	23.7477	-0.91%	0.0073	✗	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.8667	+0.61%	23.9648	+1.03%	0.0084	✗	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.4562	+0.76%	23.7215	+1.90%	0.0046	✓	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.3569	+0.83%	23.2791	+0.49%	0.0004	✓	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	24.1484	+0.81%	23.1645	-3.30%	0.0308	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.7201	+0.84%	23.9538	+1.84%	0.0459	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.6153	+0.61%	23.5218	-17.30%	0.1873	✗	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.8264	+0.56%	28.4432	-7.22%	0.0856	✗	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.3725	+0.62%	30.6551	+1.55%	0.0205	✓	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	31.0487	+0.60%	30.1868	-2.19%	0.0214	✗	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	33.2039	+0.54%	30.8623	-6.55%	0.0787	✗	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	39.92	+0.18%	33.0263	-17.12%	0.1768	✗	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	40.2382	+0.16%	39.8493	-0.80%	0.0051	✗	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	40.3967	+0.17%	40.1724	-0.39%	0.0026	✗	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	43.3485	+0.05%	40.3298	-6.92%	0.0677	✗	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	42.3088	+0.16%	43.3289	+2.57%	0.0219	✓	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	42.2622	+0.24%	42.2415	+0.19%	0.0044	✗	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	43.1114	+0.17%	42.1604	-2.04%	0.0208	✗	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	42.0867	+0.19%	43.038	+2.45%	0.0193	✓	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	44.1614	-0.01%	42.0086	-4.88%	0.0472	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	52.5497	-0.19%	44.1646	-16.11%	0.1802	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	52.2304	-0.30%	52.6475	+0.49%	0.0210	✗	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	56.8793	-0.47%	52.3884	-8.33%	0.0774	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	55.2235	-0.47%	57.15	+3.00%	0.0337	✗	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	55.496	-0.50%	55.4853	-0.52%	0.0008	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	54.0749	-0.51%	55.7768	+2.62%	0.0294	✗	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	55.4574	-0.61%	54.3527	-2.59%	0.0184	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	53.9708	-0.69%	55.7967	+2.67%	0.0363	✗	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	55.1194	-0.75%	54.3445	-2.14%	0.0131	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	57.1336	-0.80%	55.5335	-3.58%	0.0280	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	56.7238	-0.82%	57.5933	+0.70%	0.0124	✗	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	56.6969	-0.83%	57.1906	+0.03%	0.0080	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	56.4682	-0.84%	57.1726	+0.40%	0.0113	✗	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	55.7576	-0.83%	56.9443	+1.28%	0.0177	✗	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	55.5601	-0.85%	56.2255	+0.34%	0.0129	✗	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	56.8748	-0.91%	56.035	-2.38%	0.0129	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	55.0944	-0.87%	57.4	+3.28%	0.0393	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	53.6131	-0.84%	55.5789	+2.80%	0.0347	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	53.7497	-0.89%	54.0674	-0.30%	0.0051	✓	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	55.1173	-1.31%	54.232	-2.90%	0.0150	✓	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	38.5377	-0.48%	55.8495	+44.23%	0.3810	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	39.3988	-0.55%	38.7231	-2.25%	0.0095	✓	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	39.9265	-0.61%	39.6162	-1.38%	0.0009	✓	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	39.3801	-0.64%	40.1722	+1.36%	0.0193	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	38.1434	-0.62%	39.6347	+3.26%	0.0242	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	38.2732	-0.67%	38.3818	-0.39%	0.0098	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	39.2519	-0.78%	38.5326	-2.60%	0.0028	✓	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	39.7242	-0.80%	39.5594	-1.21%	0.0018	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	38.3465	-0.75%	40.0443	+3.64%	0.0406	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	39.7069	-0.80%	38.6379	-3.47%	0.0261	✓	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	37.8335	-0.80%	40.0257	+4.95%	0.0560	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	34.4026	-0.77%	38.1369	+10.00%	0.1031	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	34.9245	-0.79%	34.6692	-1.52%	0.0073	✓	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	35.4642	-0.81%	35.2035	-1.54%	0.0079	✓	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	35.6294	-0.84%	35.7534	-0.50%	0.0021	✓	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	34.2333	-0.86%	35.9315	+4.06%	0.0462	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	34.9006	-0.93%	34.53	-1.98%	0.0105	✓	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	34.9632	-0.96%	35.227	-0.21%	0.0054	✓	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	34.5811	-0.96%	35.3014	+1.10%	0.0168	✗	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	35.0041	-0.96%	34.9165	-1.21%	0.0025	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	33.6911	-0.94%	35.3441	+3.92%	0.0469	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	34.328	-1.01%	34.0119	-1.92%	0.0104	✓	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	33.8975	-1.06%	34.679	+1.22%	0.0228	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	31.8276	-1.08%	34.2595	+6.47%	0.0738	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	29.4554	-1.19%	32.1767	+7.93%	0.0915	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	24.1848	-1.44%	29.8116	+21.50%	0.2100	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	30.9851	-1.40%	24.5372	-21.92%	0.2334	✓	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	29.8967	-1.49%	31.4257	+3.54%	0.0530	✗	0.25

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.