ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s3

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 339

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 113 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3626

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0695

actual +0.0949

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.2285	0.209281	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.211997	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.209871	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.214907	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.218488	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.21994	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.212664	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.222082	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.229861	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.227775	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.254892	-9.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.25093	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.231653	-9.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.236293	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.244047	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.242735	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.259975	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.245861	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.25	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.255525	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.250673	-11.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.245294	-11.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.238128	-11.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.228157	-11.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.220566	-12.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.201219	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.219964	-11.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.221275	-12.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.2047	-11.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.197304	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.179269	-10.61%	0.2285	+13.94%	0.2808	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.176814	-10.09%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.2477	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.175035	-9.98%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.2552	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.172733	-9.75%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2867	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.158658	-8.34%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3575	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.155679	-8.05%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3833	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.150199	-7.46%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3709	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.151072	-6.95%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.4411	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.144506	-6.01%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.4985	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.14532	-5.97%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.5066	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.134313	-3.44%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6857	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.131183	-2.65%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.6970	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.141882	-3.68%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5564	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.145811	-4.32%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5619	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.142096	-2.64%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.6148	✗	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.139818	-1.05%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.6148	✗	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.132208	+0.08%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7445	✓	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.136505	+0.15%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6445	✓	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.131438	+1.89%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7316	✓	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.123869	-1.93%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.7819	✗	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.12149	-1.39%	0.284	+130.52%	0.7794	✗	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.12862	-0.18%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.7270	✗	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.118374	-0.90%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.7730	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.123347	+0.16%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.6950	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.122402	+0.58%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.6611	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.137205	+3.94%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.4689	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.132482	+2.54%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.5929	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.133127	+1.90%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.5913	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.13836	+3.60%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.4708	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.147503	+0.68%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.3389	✓	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.127197	+2.33%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.3801	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.13265	+2.51%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3712	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.112168	-4.13%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.5095	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.107017	-7.98%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5239	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.103127	-9.06%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4714	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.102462	-9.17%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4564	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.10038	-8.50%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4456	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.098635	-8.29%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4557	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.101814	-8.48%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3727	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.101948	-8.48%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3745	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.104338	-8.72%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.2461	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.10804	-9.10%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1823	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.114462	-9.80%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.2149	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.113972	-9.98%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2499	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.116723	-10.32%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.1814	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.125285	-10.86%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0749	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.129943	-11.06%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0341	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.133177	-11.36%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0246	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.126348	-10.87%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0203	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.1314	-11.16%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0780	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.134854	-11.51%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.1289	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.142671	-12.07%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1576	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.139324	-11.85%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.2069	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.135349	-11.88%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.1716	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.13741	-11.92%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.2025	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.134942	-11.63%	0.132	-13.56%	0.1153	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.132888	-11.53%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.1141	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.140971	-11.89%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.1320	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.156844	-12.62%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.2605	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.150194	-12.42%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.1143	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.151577	-12.15%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.2824	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.14796	-11.95%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.2362	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.135831	-10.40%	0.117	-22.82%	0.2424	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.138428	-10.37%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.2350	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.133739	-9.45%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.1650	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.13732	-9.18%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.1918	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.147152	-9.44%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.2770	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.148303	-8.57%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.3094	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.149793	-7.90%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.2702	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.153281	-7.41%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.2948	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.159738	-7.45%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3530	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.156491	-6.79%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2719	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.169751	-6.42%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.2931	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.167418	-6.10%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.2906	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.168487	-5.95%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.2852	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.170128	-5.88%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.2327	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.185177	-5.71%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2518	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.206421	-5.48%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3270	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.224819	-5.85%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4685	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.19418	-5.83%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2783	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.201792	-5.92%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.2963	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.212062	-6.00%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.2883	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.209023	-6.18%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3262	✓	1.00