ARK

ARK · native · gru_s3

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1352

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0118

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.166282	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.167016	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.166312	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.163304	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.166733	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.172012	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.174416	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.172855	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.180453	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.178151	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.192761	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.198034	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.198856	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.204432	-9.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.19635	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.194746	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.201485	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.205278	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.207874	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.192968	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.216909	-10.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.228045	-12.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.222858	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.210585	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.219836	-11.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.227308	-12.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.222236	-12.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.179144	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.153076	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.154082	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.151189	-1.83%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1836	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146455	-3.50%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1518	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.147557	-3.83%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1568	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.138444	-2.68%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1853	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.132168	-3.59%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.1989	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.141277	-5.66%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1632	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.137924	-4.99%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1843	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.156461	-7.19%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1044	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.133722	-2.92%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2834	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.132168	-0.57%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3047	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.11862	+3.50%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4815	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.114268	+3.83%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5477	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.120942	+2.80%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5258	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.119946	+3.11%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.5918	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.118834	+3.79%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5453	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.123639	+4.96%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4688	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.123219	+4.78%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5092	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.123253	+4.81%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5260	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.121574	+6.73%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6045	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.114845	+4.49%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5293	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.114842	+5.37%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6656	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.117243	+6.43%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7420	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.116245	+6.35%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7032	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.121391	+8.83%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6196	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.121085	+7.67%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6434	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.12407	+8.51%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.6977	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.121308	+7.77%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.6857	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.117303	+9.84%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4364	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.118259	+10.32%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2363	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.118293	+9.15%	0.158	+45.79%	0.1970	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.118644	+9.35%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1563	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.121137	+13.30%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.1931	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.10694	+10.22%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2720	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.097856	+6.43%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2481	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.088532	+2.92%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3086	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.090098	+2.99%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3779	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.08938	+1.61%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3354	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.090867	+1.39%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4442	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.089733	+1.51%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2679	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.091469	+1.58%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2137	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.091037	+1.95%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0671	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.093667	+2.66%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0078	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.09455	+2.19%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0496	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.095724	+2.42%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0339	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.097724	+3.37%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0083	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.097303	+3.24%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0112	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.096795	+2.29%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0110	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.094612	+1.71%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0392	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.094513	+1.21%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0145	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.095348	+0.60%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0274	✗	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.093401	+0.53%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0162	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092829	+0.26%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0182	✗	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093704	-0.06%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0250	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094588	+0.18%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0001	✓	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092765	-0.12%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0260	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.09676	+0.10%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0261	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097288	-0.35%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0375	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.104079	-0.16%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1169	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103104	-0.48%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1226	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101406	-0.58%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0855	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.102944	-0.50%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0811	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.10506	-0.07%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1156	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.105639	+0.10%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1581	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.10282	-0.04%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1574	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.102524	-0.16%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1755	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105032	-0.38%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1791	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.103586	-0.48%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1505	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103901	-0.42%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1385	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.106689	-0.20%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1667	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107438	-0.28%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1574	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103959	-0.98%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1667	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.106025	-0.91%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1475	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.106733	-0.99%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1446	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.107303	-1.01%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1472	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.105021	-0.91%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1270	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.103158	-1.06%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1237	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105286	-1.45%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1185	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.108542	-2.01%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1616	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.10885	-1.68%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1590	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.10975	-1.76%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1514	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.110144	-1.66%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1823	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.107384	-1.66%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1641	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.104187	-1.64%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1408	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.10936	-2.75%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2312	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.107911	-2.26%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1691	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.109734	-2.76%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1678	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105424	-1.33%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0826	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102668	-1.41%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0527	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.104928	-1.55%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0692	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.10685	-1.61%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0638	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109159	-1.84%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0650	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110593	-2.02%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0895	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.113913	-2.26%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1150	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111682	-2.01%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1000	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112924	-2.45%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0946	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118388	-2.39%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1214	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.120925	-2.56%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1235	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.121792	-2.52%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1097	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121224	-2.71%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1084	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.119033	-2.03%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0947	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.117542	-1.76%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0968	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.119102	-1.91%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1027	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.118498	-1.42%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1284	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114203	-0.83%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0968	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.137704	-4.00%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1857	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.142741	-3.83%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1976	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.153122	-2.97%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2297	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.152718	-2.53%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1161	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.149341	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.146642	-1.58%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1170	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.14543	-0.98%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0915	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.149661	-0.89%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1679	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.15343	-0.61%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1989	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.158314	-0.49%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.2055	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.157803	-0.20%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.2081	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162066	-0.63%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2293	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157433	-0.51%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1899	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.163692	-0.04%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1884	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.161884	+1.13%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1907	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.160198	+1.26%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1649	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.165209	+1.26%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1655	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.165777	+2.05%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1561	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.172506	+3.38%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1907	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.176904	+3.77%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1981	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.185704	+4.27%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2369	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.183064	+3.77%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2341	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.188429	+3.19%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2401	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.19575	+3.49%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2500	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.197848	+5.29%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.3058	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.1885	+5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.194135	+7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.193566	+9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.187851	+7.34%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0284	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.186894	+5.12%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0501	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.181796	+4.75%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0808	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.177358	+2.12%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1186	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.178944	+1.93%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1477	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.186574	+2.57%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1976	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.178136	+3.63%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1201	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.184494	+4.48%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1369	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.181507	+4.51%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1260	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.179972	+4.37%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1223	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.179321	+4.44%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0711	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.179702	+4.10%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0867	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.17818	+2.55%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.1021	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.175664	+2.24%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1167	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.169077	+1.33%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1098	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.177986	+2.06%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.1045	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.182624	+2.10%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1215	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.177882	+1.09%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.1067	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.175512	+1.76%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0901	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.171952	+1.99%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0638	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.173877	+1.83%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0554	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.165098	+0.80%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0448	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.17028	+1.05%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0214	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.172126	+0.86%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0464	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.170161	+0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.168934	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.172997	+1.13%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0867	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.166948	+0.54%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.1123	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.167338	+0.77%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1200	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.165308	+0.01%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1368	✗	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.166393	-0.24%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1148	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.16117	+0.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.166041	-0.28%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1129	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.162011	-0.45%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0575	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159358	-1.16%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0475	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.15647	-0.62%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0147	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.160303	-0.72%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.1044	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160695	-0.80%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0984	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165713	-0.49%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0917	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.172467	-0.25%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0949	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.170763	-0.41%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1138	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.170956	-0.28%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.1029	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.16303	-0.70%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0717	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168419	-1.37%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0900	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.174161	-1.06%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0955	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.174169	-1.07%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0901	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.178319	-0.35%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0877	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.188984	-0.09%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0903	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.188444	-0.04%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0878	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.175303	+0.25%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0596	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.170854	+0.17%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0503	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.172898	+0.13%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0511	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.175677	+0.69%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0819	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.170438	+0.19%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0426	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.166141	+0.09%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0089	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.163429	-0.30%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0118	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.16166	-0.82%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0422	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.162746	-0.80%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0068	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.167957	-1.13%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0263	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.170194	-0.91%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0311	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.172633	-1.15%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0594	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.169757	-1.41%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0283	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.169545	-1.38%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0056	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.168527	-1.64%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0786	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.172073	-1.86%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0609	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.171125	-1.98%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0851	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.175023	-2.24%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0595	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.176501	-2.35%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0562	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.167771	-1.63%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0942	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.169327	-1.74%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0975	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.176486	-2.20%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0799	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.181365	-2.39%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1071	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.18004	-2.36%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0898	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.178153	-2.34%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0772	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.177278	-2.45%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0797	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.183508	-3.03%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0839	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.185585	-3.04%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0771	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.183624	-3.33%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0562	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.196742	-4.00%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1257	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.192214	-4.21%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1613	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.180161	-2.71%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1390	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.176073	-3.04%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0835	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.179495	-2.95%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0565	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.1765	-3.08%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0386	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.175305	-3.43%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0495	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.178337	-3.95%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0709	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.177917	-3.83%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0117	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.156909	-1.94%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0318	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.193973	-4.56%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0711	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.197821	-5.00%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0852	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.204584	-5.74%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0903	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.198426	-5.65%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0404	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.207992	-5.27%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0667	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.223402	-4.98%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0398	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.229136	-3.66%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0528	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.247509	-3.30%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0808	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.251508	-3.37%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0911	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.249856	-3.62%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0937	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.239255	-4.04%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0762	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.248986	-3.45%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0903	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.248019	-3.47%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0749	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.250056	-3.50%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0575	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.253257	-3.54%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0851	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.255609	-2.75%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0316	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.266328	-2.75%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0367	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.279796	-3.16%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0843	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.277477	-3.24%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0779	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.277855	-3.43%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0161	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.285964	-3.72%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0374	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.284996	-3.85%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0867	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.264384	-3.99%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0978	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.268844	-4.80%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1162	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.272532	-5.84%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1660	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.272629	-5.90%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1542	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.272406	-6.35%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1125	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.273221	-6.76%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0800	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.267611	-5.64%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0181	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.265777	-5.13%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0402	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.257198	-5.42%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0037	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.259247	-5.97%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0164	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.247952	-5.53%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0248	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.243733	-5.49%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0115	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.253399	-4.02%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0088	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.253703	-4.24%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0190	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.251032	-4.00%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0193	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.253897	-2.94%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0149	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.243556	-2.59%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0333	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.243715	-2.74%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0311	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.250316	-3.02%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0014	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.250724	-2.80%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0056	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.252888	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.247292	-2.66%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0642	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.250211	-3.14%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0066	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.24587	-3.33%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0351	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.236575	-2.60%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0733	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.245824	-3.11%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0328	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.252863	-3.67%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0293	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.253886	-4.61%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0191	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.26459	-3.61%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0200	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.272359	-3.73%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0011	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.269889	-3.63%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0376	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.276133	-3.59%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0751	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.279795	-4.27%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0546	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.281213	-4.11%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0552	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.27353	-3.98%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0608	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.276706	-3.60%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0177	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.278662	-4.03%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0545	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.284163	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.281967	-3.55%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0161	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.283666	-3.24%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0185	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.277988	-3.15%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0222	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.267949	-3.53%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0563	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.285044	-4.02%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0484	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.295805	-4.71%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0572	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.277437	-3.10%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0163	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.275614	-2.59%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0025	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.267844	-2.31%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0238	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.267259	-2.27%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0622	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.270685	-1.88%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0379	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.266111	-1.90%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0406	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.254583	-1.64%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0381	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.255947	-2.12%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0624	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.263673	-2.02%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0475	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.271319	-2.22%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0112	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.278454	-2.89%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0172	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.279358	-3.39%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0000	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.279358	-3.37%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0397	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.285747	-3.26%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0764	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.287	-2.89%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0577	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.290679	-3.13%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1279	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.302456	-3.43%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1083	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.309977	-3.83%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0879	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.303176	-2.79%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1896	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.298941	-3.65%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1628	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.278097	-2.59%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2318	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.27149	-0.92%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3202	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263494	-0.88%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2543	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.277937	-0.43%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2636	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.316691	-0.70%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1930	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.318013	-0.75%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2378	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.309148	-0.23%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2543	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.306897	-0.52%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2814	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.318545	-0.23%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1833	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.32215	+0.93%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2017	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.331139	+0.86%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1728	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.342211	+0.66%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.1981	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.332546	+0.25%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1847	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.328838	+0.40%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.1979	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.327702	+0.63%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1804	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.317869	+0.73%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1778	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.324073	+0.59%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1715	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.333028	+0.26%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1165	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.327983	+0.12%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1075	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.32056	-0.40%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1314	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.31869	-0.78%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0915	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.334428	-0.92%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0662	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.349229	-0.86%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0738	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.359773	-0.71%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0102	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.379911	-0.93%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0053	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.380763	-1.19%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0042	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.348603	-1.09%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0493	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.351367	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.424768	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.434232	-0.86%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1509	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.432954	-1.59%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2342	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.448272	-0.96%	0.274	-39.46%	0.3085	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.43722	-0.89%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.3013	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.440443	-0.67%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3152	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.444977	-1.41%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2300	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.443865	-1.99%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2317	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.423557	-2.27%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2385	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.410943	-3.12%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2376	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.403444	-3.17%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1925	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.405207	-4.20%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2457	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.396242	-4.64%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2329	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.399988	-4.81%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2118	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.389226	-4.71%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1869	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.417257	-4.10%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2197	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.41935	-5.14%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2339	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.397266	-5.54%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1774	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.426707	-5.46%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2140	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.433362	-6.23%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2146	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.422906	-6.66%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1852	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.436633	-7.42%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2054	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.429394	-8.00%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.1876	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.420265	-8.28%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1316	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.420637	-8.46%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1307	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.44571	-9.92%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.1837	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.425088	-6.89%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.0957	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.426928	-5.82%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0915	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.429243	-5.79%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1458	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.427123	-5.57%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1781	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.421472	-6.15%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0900	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.42191	-6.40%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0822	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.402907	-6.28%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0211	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.396112	-7.11%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0127	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.392788	-8.27%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0137	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.396164	-6.90%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0066	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.