ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s3
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
75.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3063
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0132
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008092 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007255 | -1.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006882 | +0.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005831 | +2.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006963 | +1.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007741 | +1.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008727 | +0.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.00872 | +0.81% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0602 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.00765 | +1.80% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008803 | +1.30% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011051 | -0.44% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010669 | +0.08% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.01245 | -1.03% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013399 | -1.48% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013783 | -1.62% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013379 | -1.26% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013774 | -1.34% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014123 | -1.34% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.01315 | -1.35% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015211 | -1.80% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013978 | -1.80% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.01372 | -2.28% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014283 | -2.70% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.01873 | -2.40% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020956 | -2.53% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023277 | -3.09% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023883 | -3.52% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4379 | ✓ | 1.00 |