4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
66.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0952
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual -0.0334
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00411 | 0.004042 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004111 | 0.004049 | -1.51% | 0.00411 | -0.02% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003491 | -1.05% | 0.004111 | +16.54% | 0.1133 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003561 | -0.89% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003171 | -0.89% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1332 | ✗ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003717 | -0.78% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003438 | -0.84% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0915 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003449 | -0.94% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0366 | ✗ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003782 | -0.73% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1108 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004357 | -0.81% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0574 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004552 | -0.69% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1043 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005297 | -0.86% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005139 | -0.72% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005294 | -0.62% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004762 | -0.97% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.1018 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005559 | -0.82% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007021 | -0.92% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.1983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006823 | -0.97% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007168 | -1.02% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007294 | -0.94% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007277 | -1.04% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008923 | -0.98% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009322 | -0.94% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008509 | -0.98% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009677 | -0.97% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1209 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010996 | -1.10% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010649 | -1.09% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010169 | -1.03% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0532 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011315 | -1.04% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013315 | -1.20% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014898 | -1.82% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011131 | -1.04% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009167 | -1.41% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1398 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011351 | -1.01% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1986 | ✓ | 1.00 |