XRD

Radix · native · gru_s2

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1187

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0147

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000197915	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000205413	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000201163	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000165676	+3.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000162169	+4.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000151893	+4.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000204714	+1.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000266012	-1.40%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2502	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000295857	-2.13%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3198	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000305774	-2.62%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4097	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000322466	-2.75%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7017	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000308387	-2.62%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7012	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000307655	-2.33%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7662	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000300789	-1.80%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4078	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000310643	-1.73%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1370	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000324758	-2.39%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0879	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000326	-2.60%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0605	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000338534	-2.78%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0593	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000347949	-2.85%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1211	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000346557	-2.60%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1136	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000357318	-2.74%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1733	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000367932	-2.95%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1830	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.00036874	-2.81%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1056	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.00039444	-3.28%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1459	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000400971	-3.46%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1200	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000424477	-4.01%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1511	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000438307	-4.30%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2055	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000419166	-4.18%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1280	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000448665	-4.64%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1641	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000471806	-5.09%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2258	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000497506	-5.61%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2236	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000443864	-5.42%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.0945	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000517143	-5.30%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1356	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000498245	-5.13%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0642	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000536372	-5.52%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1846	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000548716	-4.75%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1017	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000488094	-3.04%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0719	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000535029	-3.71%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0522	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000489607	-3.02%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0007	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000484029	-1.84%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1440	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000500398	-2.03%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0698	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000481063	-0.71%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.1852	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000488676	-0.27%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1636	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000471741	+0.48%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0545	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000482314	+0.57%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1283	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000442989	+2.19%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1270	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000488468	+1.28%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0085	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000483246	+2.34%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0420	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000514882	+2.59%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0723	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000501101	+3.76%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0428	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000584982	+2.61%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2191	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000606312	+2.52%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2335	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000638847	+2.59%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3868	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000838924	+1.14%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5529	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000876823	+1.11%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6189	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000880281	+0.91%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5618	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000830189	+2.19%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5424	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000833178	+1.71%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3782	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000912682	+1.01%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4327	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000936243	+0.98%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4073	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000890037	+0.79%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0704	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000798469	+0.97%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0820	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000928348	+0.78%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0624	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000915515	-0.92%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1153	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.00094754	-1.95%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1492	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.00101	-2.88%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1517	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000872538	-2.06%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0271	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000906908	-2.11%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0707	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000938566	-2.29%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2128	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000900954	-2.01%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0226	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000919118	-2.11%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0239	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000957181	-2.38%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0096	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000907376	-2.10%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1323	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000889897	-2.00%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0007	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000900391	-2.10%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0351	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000912455	-2.16%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0575	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000905979	-2.16%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0206	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000893939	-2.11%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0517	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000940359	-2.33%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0453	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000925224	-2.23%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0032	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000958265	-2.38%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0552	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.00095992	-2.44%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0470	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000928527	-2.20%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0022	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.00094275	-2.21%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0242	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000941225	-2.17%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0288	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000943854	-2.11%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0176	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000957447	-2.10%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0124	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000973339	-2.13%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0092	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001	-2.15%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0106	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000973048	-1.95%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0200	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001074	-3.32%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1034	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000815938	-1.22%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1666	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000819884	-1.17%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1738	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000802519	-1.01%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2121	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.00082382	-1.11%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1971	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000834548	-1.13%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1988	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000852436	-1.16%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1549	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000882323	-1.30%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2290	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000865437	-1.19%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0541	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000854779	-1.09%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0390	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000842572	-0.98%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0487	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000837956	-0.87%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0267	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000913084	-1.30%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0843	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000848491	-0.96%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0094	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000880558	-1.05%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0166	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.00090058	-1.09%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0318	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000908668	-1.07%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0664	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000893	-0.96%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0593	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.00090245	-0.95%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0538	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000922876	-1.00%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0015	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000891038	-0.80%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0431	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000874923	-0.64%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0078	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000887265	-0.62%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0158	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.00088562	-0.40%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0226	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000851977	+0.14%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0298	✓	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000858363	-0.07%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0384	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000871895	+0.05%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0424	✓	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000866116	+0.11%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0179	✓	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000894576	-0.04%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0308	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000915895	-0.08%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0364	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.00094132	-0.39%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0497	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000965933	-0.73%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0972	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001046	-1.18%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1724	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001054	-1.13%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1657	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001097	-1.34%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2110	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001081	-1.22%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1667	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001089	-1.21%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1522	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001076	-1.24%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1098	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001091	-1.32%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0979	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001105	-1.39%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0303	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.0011	-1.31%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0172	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001113	-1.29%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0001	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.00109	-1.07%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0039	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001101	-1.09%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0051	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001103	-0.78%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0307	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001117	-0.82%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0342	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001088	-0.78%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0090	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001054	-0.51%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0421	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001039	+0.24%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0594	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001035	+0.44%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0466	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00108	-0.37%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0315	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001054	-0.11%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0715	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001012	-0.28%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1469	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001027	-1.26%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1373	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001061	-1.78%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0859	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001052	-1.66%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0965	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.00107	-1.62%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0781	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001068	-1.52%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1065	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.0011	-1.74%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0456	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001137	-2.14%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0391	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001094	-1.97%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0030	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001005	-1.26%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1030	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001004	-1.15%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0907	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001051	-1.24%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0549	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001058	-1.36%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0625	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001067	-1.32%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0792	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.00111	-1.48%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0547	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.00113	-1.53%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0158	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001131	-1.49%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1014	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001155	-1.57%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1152	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001175	-1.62%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0670	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001192	-1.47%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0759	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001203	-1.66%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0917	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001226	-1.65%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0539	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001232	-1.45%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0291	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.00123	-1.27%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0280	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.00124	-1.53%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0330	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001227	-1.48%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0171	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001241	-1.56%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0346	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001267	-1.30%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0125	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001257	-1.31%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0032	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001268	-1.50%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0375	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001243	-1.58%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0425	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001244	-1.58%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0131	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.00124	-1.59%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0211	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001237	-1.89%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0348	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001253	-2.00%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0583	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001257	-2.04%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0489	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001302	-2.07%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0451	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001339	-1.81%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0571	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001323	-2.07%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0602	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001301	-1.94%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0437	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001274	-1.50%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0198	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001271	-1.46%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0431	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001255	-2.19%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0226	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001255	-2.39%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0333	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001259	-2.70%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0114	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001255	-2.31%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0464	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001295	-2.04%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0193	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001214	-2.19%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0199	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001224	-2.14%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0053	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001214	-2.06%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0253	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001204	-1.92%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0455	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001155	-1.86%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0690	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001161	-1.80%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0639	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001175	-1.81%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0597	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001211	-1.97%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0242	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001228	-1.98%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0369	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001242	-2.08%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0356	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001289	-2.16%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1357	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001201	-1.57%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0482	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001172	-0.86%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0825	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001177	-0.63%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0780	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001163	-0.33%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0179	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001166	-0.42%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0248	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001198	-0.39%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0014	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001173	+0.36%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0813	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001198	+0.61%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0315	✗	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001251	+0.37%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0724	✗	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001334	+0.06%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1291	✗	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001447	-0.78%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1850	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001494	-1.14%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1941	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001508	-0.99%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1898	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001525	-0.97%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.2007	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001513	-0.52%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2082	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001567	-0.91%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1868	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001559	-1.06%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0897	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001744	-1.43%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1603	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001755	-1.53%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1505	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001816	-1.66%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1227	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001836	-1.67%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1136	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001834	-1.76%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1079	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001814	-1.78%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1003	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001817	-1.83%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1353	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001784	-1.78%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0015	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001788	-1.81%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0198	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001773	-1.82%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0209	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001843	-1.98%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0897	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001806	-1.68%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0797	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001897	-2.16%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0917	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001893	-2.32%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0684	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002028	-2.66%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1046	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002106	-2.74%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1073	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002019	-2.77%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1379	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002163	-3.04%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1342	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002139	-2.95%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1555	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002404	-3.71%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2196	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002348	-3.72%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2270	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002246	-3.52%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1274	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.00225	-3.64%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1092	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002112	-2.96%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0846	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002323	-3.68%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1066	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.00246	-4.43%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0812	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002307	-4.73%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0945	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.0018	-2.20%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3359	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001743	-1.71%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2818	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001726	-1.40%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2781	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001724	-1.51%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2846	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001578	-0.86%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4894	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001579	-0.65%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5066	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001633	-0.97%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4213	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001758	-1.16%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0587	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001788	-0.42%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0205	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001821	-0.53%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0298	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001947	-1.33%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0865	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001959	-1.40%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1892	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.002019	-1.48%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2175	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002051	-1.17%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2261	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.002025	-1.17%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.1039	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001776	+2.40%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0398	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.00206	-1.42%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0494	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002348	-3.07%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.1068	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002352	-3.71%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0881	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002198	-2.82%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0091	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002354	-3.67%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0415	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.00288	-5.82%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2756	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002849	-5.95%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3862	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002686	-6.38%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1564	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002419	-6.46%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0786	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.00185	-4.15%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3201	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001856	-3.97%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2414	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002295	-5.27%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0899	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002414	-5.61%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2502	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002767	-8.73%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1032	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002036	-6.45%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3435	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001571	-4.12%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4977	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001245	-2.30%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4595	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001215	-2.08%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5011	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001188	-1.81%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7447	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001227	-1.87%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7679	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001228	-1.83%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9379	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001136	-1.26%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6905	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001076	-1.00%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4614	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001066	-0.67%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1701	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001048	-0.51%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1526	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001059	-0.48%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1047	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001283	-1.08%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0578	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001409	-1.32%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1499	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001424	-1.30%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2628	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001464	-1.26%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3123	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001462	-1.19%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2858	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001493	-1.28%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3431	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001493	-1.24%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3368	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001495	-1.18%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1474	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001484	-1.03%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001478	-0.87%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0584	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001486	-0.87%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0501	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001518	-0.84%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0883	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001539	-0.87%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0519	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001536	-0.79%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0417	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001499	-0.57%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0159	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001509	-0.50%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0217	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001537	-0.54%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0291	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001497	-0.32%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0080	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001518	-0.38%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0220	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001555	-0.44%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0058	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001546	-0.32%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0062	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001525	-0.16%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0034	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001472	+0.39%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0144	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001591	-0.02%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0418	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.00157	-0.04%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0406	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001701	-0.24%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1303	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001755	-0.48%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1206	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001766	-0.58%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1120	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001739	-0.46%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1100	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001764	-0.55%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1200	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.0018	-0.59%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0703	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001835	-0.63%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1126	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001849	-0.54%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0427	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001858	-0.51%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0329	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001896	-0.49%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0742	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001942	-0.53%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1143	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001929	-0.55%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0880	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.00189	-0.44%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0293	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002097	-0.78%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1409	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002017	-0.28%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1288	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002075	-0.59%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.1052	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002042	-0.49%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0531	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002093	-0.53%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0534	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002143	-0.58%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1077	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002227	-0.70%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1895	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002124	-0.14%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0436	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002111	-0.11%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0227	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002073	+0.28%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0287	✗	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002068	+0.76%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0698	✗	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002047	+0.95%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0320	✗	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002128	+0.64%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0345	✗	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002132	+0.08%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0621	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002364	-0.61%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0441	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002366	-0.43%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0707	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002492	-0.90%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.1055	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002481	-0.93%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0674	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002478	-0.69%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0936	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002517	-1.25%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0235	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002353	-0.97%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0194	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002333	-0.96%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1368	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002401	-1.27%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1504	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002416	-1.21%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1618	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002324	-0.74%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1518	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002333	-0.84%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1678	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002285	-0.42%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1280	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002302	-0.72%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0564	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002336	-0.42%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0091	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002427	-1.21%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0087	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002517	-1.73%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0405	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002534	-1.71%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0138	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002497	-1.54%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0145	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002465	-1.27%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0118	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002524	-1.53%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0140	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.0025	-1.69%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0781	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002514	-1.75%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0680	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002524	-1.72%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0628	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002505	-1.33%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0484	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002557	-1.29%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0100	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002618	-1.24%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0245	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002538	-0.52%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0204	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002599	-0.60%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0772	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002738	-1.14%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1097	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002734	-0.72%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1307	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002607	+0.16%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0779	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002585	+0.62%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0502	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002355	+1.49%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.0949	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002623	+0.19%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0101	✓	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002743	-0.43%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0070	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002842	-0.94%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0300	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002854	-0.77%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0398	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002782	+0.25%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0230	✗	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003099	-0.89%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1091	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003616	-2.41%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3164	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003526	-2.34%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1717	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.00347	-2.38%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1432	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003553	-2.27%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1154	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003466	-2.14%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0993	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003652	-2.37%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1506	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003779	-2.42%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0914	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003879	-2.51%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0572	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003814	-2.40%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1023	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003713	-1.81%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1199	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003717	-1.74%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1340	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003746	-1.33%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1820	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003727	-0.78%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1412	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003804	-0.72%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1250	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003813	-0.60%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0896	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003981	-1.35%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0798	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004058	-1.30%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0950	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004074	-1.39%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0934	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004215	-1.76%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0675	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004156	-1.68%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0257	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.00449	-1.89%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0869	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004501	-1.92%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0613	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.