TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 270

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 90 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1266

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual -0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003815	0.00381	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.003821	0.003826	+0.14%	0.003815	-0.14%	0.0090	✗	2.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004403	-0.51%	0.003821	-13.67%	0.1740	✓	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003455	+1.03%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2154	✓	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003538	+1.07%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0293	✗	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003889	+1.01%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1221	✗	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003807	+1.18%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0146	✓	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004386	+0.91%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1366	✗	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004971	+0.65%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1494	✗	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.00507	+0.55%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0160	✓	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004509	+1.19%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0751	✓	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005455	+0.56%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1527	✗	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005506	+0.70%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0344	✗	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004762	+1.37%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1288	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005112	+1.35%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.1066	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005265	+1.28%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0015	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006702	+0.50%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.2007	✗	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007467	+0.04%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1082	✗	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006776	+0.66%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1145	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006781	+0.88%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0494	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006948	+0.91%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0387	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008499	+0.15%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.2024	✗	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008494	+0.37%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0317	✗	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008975	+0.27%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0568	✗	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009776	+0.07%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0925	✗	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010295	-0.08%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0286	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011176	-0.41%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0824	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010853	-0.21%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0258	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010263	+0.15%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0649	✓	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010689	+0.08%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0423	✗	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.01164	-0.24%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0441	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.01331	-0.80%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1228	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012772	-0.32%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0857	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013627	-0.51%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0596	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014741	-1.14%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0826	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011751	+0.28%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1356	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.012055	+0.29%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0331	✗	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012763	+0.18%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0732	✗	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.01411	-0.26%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0437	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.013068	+0.13%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0492	✓	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.014043	-0.04%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0632	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016637	-0.50%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1703	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018232	-1.11%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1012	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015675	-0.47%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2056	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016635	-0.69%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0507	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016211	-0.70%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0486	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017689	-0.72%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0507	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020844	-0.86%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1690	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019441	-0.66%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0745	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028925	-1.61%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3616	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.031571	-4.85%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1696	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.01766	-1.27%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6332	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015429	-0.84%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1827	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018249	-1.25%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1871	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017682	-1.51%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0620	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014292	-1.09%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2158	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016406	-0.91%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0548	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017541	-1.37%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.0954	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.01537	-1.15%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1307	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020571	-1.91%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2672	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.017939	-2.50%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1220	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013478	-1.98%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2931	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.01302	-1.96%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0905	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014186	-2.36%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3115	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013428	-2.56%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1353	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009612	+0.49%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1784	✓	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010124	+0.34%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0652	✗	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.011066	+0.15%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1859	✗	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012648	-0.33%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1248	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014651	-0.74%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1444	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017497	-1.20%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.018616	-1.35%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021013	-1.76%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1057	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.022232	-2.41%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019082	-1.79%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1917	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020065	-2.31%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016657	-1.44%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2093	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017815	-1.52%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.024687	-3.49%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3057	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019611	-2.53%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2571	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017516	-2.31%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.014309	-1.11%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2261	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.01269	-0.32%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1196	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012903	-0.29%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017766	-2.60%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2872	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012964	-0.66%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3286	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009896	+0.57%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2759	✓	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.01131	+0.18%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1417	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013294	-0.27%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1378	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013356	-0.25%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0181	✓	1.00