STONK
STONK · Solana · gru_s2
- token id
- #304
- symbol
- STONK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-21
- predictions
- 69
Track record at +1d
assessed
22
of 23 predictions shown
direction hit
40.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0774
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0005
actual -0.0299
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.129745 | 0.128722 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.65 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.12992 | 0.128927 | -0.76% | 0.129745 | -0.13% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12545 | 0.124273 | -0.94% | 0.12992 | +3.56% | 0.0314 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114195 | 0.113762 | -0.38% | 0.12545 | +9.86% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1019 | 0.101836 | -0.06% | 0.114195 | +12.07% | 0.1166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.10575 | 0.105777 | +0.03% | 0.1019 | -3.64% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11242 | 0.112539 | +0.11% | 0.10575 | -5.93% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.12122 | 0.121427 | +0.17% | 0.11242 | -7.26% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.110945 | 0.111479 | +0.48% | 0.12122 | +9.26% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.12159 | 0.122056 | +0.38% | 0.110945 | -8.75% | 0.0768 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.131815 | 0.132286 | +0.36% | 0.12159 | -7.76% | 0.1008 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14763 | 0.147875 | +0.17% | 0.131815 | -10.71% | 0.0916 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.139145 | 0.139889 | +0.53% | 0.14763 | +6.10% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.140195 | 0.141187 | +0.71% | 0.139145 | -0.75% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.154645 | 0.155499 | +0.55% | 0.140195 | -9.34% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.171875 | 0.172633 | +0.44% | 0.154645 | -10.02% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.216735 | 0.216547 | -0.09% | 0.171875 | -20.70% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.194225 | 0.194778 | +0.28% | 0.216735 | +11.59% | 0.1093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.229225 | 0.229155 | -0.03% | 0.194225 | -15.27% | 0.1566 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.217215 | 0.217217 | +0.00% | 0.229225 | +5.53% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.24939 | 0.248224 | -0.47% | 0.217215 | -12.90% | 0.1363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.255775 | 0.255079 | -0.27% | 0.24939 | -2.50% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.24725 | 0.246942 | -0.12% | 0.255775 | +3.45% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |