SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
53.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0062
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0021
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 767.7514 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.0238 | -0.45% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 764.9355 | -0.43% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.7767 | -0.38% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 758.4846 | -0.31% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 760.0333 | -0.30% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.9255 | -0.45% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 764.6674 | -0.44% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.1347 | -0.57% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 774.3957 | -0.48% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 776.0357 | -0.63% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 774.7532 | -0.55% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 774.9904 | -0.52% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 771.3702 | -0.46% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 771.1399 | -0.86% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 771.3361 | -1.10% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 767.421 | -0.99% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 767.1991 | -0.48% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 765.5499 | -0.70% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 765.1352 | -0.61% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 762.1833 | -0.38% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 762.9747 | -0.37% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 763.617 | -0.32% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 763.9189 | -0.30% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 768.0322 | -0.24% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 768.8305 | -0.20% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 770.7804 | -0.14% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 766.3166 | +0.01% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 768.4975 | +0.10% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 775.7974 | +0.29% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 776.3367 | +0.34% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 763.4285 | +0.02% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 762.9466 | +0.03% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 762.8895 | -0.02% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 761.3381 | -0.15% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 756.865 | -0.15% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 757.3051 | -0.17% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 760.0045 | -0.14% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0017 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.7085 | -0.17% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 763.9011 | -0.15% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.4527 | -0.07% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.7534 | -0.01% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 763.8085 | +0.09% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 766.9551 | +0.16% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 770.9298 | +0.25% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 772.9534 | +0.39% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 774.9153 | +0.46% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 773.8397 | +0.52% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 776.5336 | +0.56% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 768.9409 | +0.45% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 765.2838 | +0.42% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 770.3715 | +0.36% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 767.434 | +0.12% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.017 | +0.02% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 769.1968 | +0.00% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 770.4485 | +0.09% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 770.9586 | +0.06% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0029 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 765.6135 | +0.06% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 763.8823 | +0.01% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 765.9274 | -0.01% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 765.2445 | -0.01% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0003 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 766.7196 | -0.00% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 763.6079 | +0.07% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 767.8779 | -0.31% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 764.5089 | -0.37% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 770.4658 | -0.37% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 775.945 | -0.22% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 775.3929 | -0.22% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 774.9636 | -0.21% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0026 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 776.4838 | -0.26% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 771.0075 | -0.25% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 769.3535 | -0.28% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 770.3 | -0.37% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 766.3076 | -0.52% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 768.3924 | -0.70% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 766.8167 | -0.87% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 763.5725 | -0.82% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 764.5118 | -0.96% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 766.2535 | -0.95% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 752.9899 | -0.80% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 746.3543 | -0.55% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 741.9305 | -0.43% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 742.9053 | -0.35% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 742.8831 | -0.24% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 732.2218 | -0.22% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 741.974 | -0.22% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 738.4095 | -0.21% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 744.7278 | -0.16% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 741.1248 | -0.17% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 739.0367 | -0.16% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 739.2203 | -0.10% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 747.182 | -0.05% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 749.1571 | -0.02% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 742.8578 | -0.06% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 746.508 | -0.01% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 744.8602 | -0.01% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 744.298 | -0.02% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 750.4943 | -0.03% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.00 |