SODA
SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #607
- symbol
- SODA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-14
- predictions
- 183
Track record at +1d
assessed
60
of 61 predictions shown
direction hit
51.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0748
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0102
actual -0.0098
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.0093 | 0.009208 | -0.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0093 | 0.009221 | -0.85% | 0.0093 | +0.00% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00922 | 0.009152 | -0.73% | 0.0093 | +0.87% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.009435 | 0.009355 | -0.85% | 0.00922 | -2.28% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00924 | 0.009152 | -0.96% | 0.009435 | +2.11% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.009955 | 0.009817 | -1.38% | 0.00924 | -7.18% | 0.0642 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00921 | 0.009103 | -1.16% | 0.009955 | +8.09% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00979 | 0.009648 | -1.45% | 0.00921 | -5.92% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009696 | -1.42% | 0.00979 | -0.46% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009662 | -1.76% | 0.009835 | +0.00% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01042 | 0.010229 | -1.83% | 0.009835 | -5.61% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009239 | -2.38% | 0.01042 | +10.09% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.009 | 0.008826 | -1.94% | 0.009465 | +5.17% | 0.0643 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.009095 | 0.00893 | -1.82% | 0.009 | -1.04% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.009145 | 0.008981 | -1.79% | 0.009095 | -0.55% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.009585 | 0.009289 | -3.09% | 0.009145 | -4.59% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00934 | 0.009023 | -3.39% | 0.009585 | +2.62% | 0.0781 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00901 | 0.008731 | -3.09% | 0.00934 | +3.66% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.009785 | 0.009536 | -2.54% | 0.00901 | -7.92% | 0.0511 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00857 | 0.008435 | -1.58% | 0.009785 | +14.18% | 0.1367 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00839 | 0.008309 | -0.97% | 0.00857 | +2.15% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.008833 | -0.76% | 0.00839 | -5.73% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0103 | 0.010229 | -0.68% | 0.0089 | -13.59% | 0.1486 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01182 | 0.011719 | -0.85% | 0.0103 | -12.86% | 0.1285 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.013025 | 0.012892 | -1.02% | 0.01182 | -9.25% | 0.0880 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014008 | -1.22% | 0.013025 | -8.15% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012859 | -1.09% | 0.01418 | +9.08% | 0.0975 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01406 | 0.013897 | -1.16% | 0.013 | -7.54% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01284 | 0.0127 | -1.09% | 0.01406 | +9.50% | 0.1037 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0138 | 0.013623 | -1.29% | 0.01284 | -6.96% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014189 | -2.11% | 0.0138 | -4.79% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012945 | 0.012632 | -2.42% | 0.014495 | +11.97% | 0.1403 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.01035 | -1.29% | 0.012945 | +23.46% | 0.2167 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010376 | -1.42% | 0.010485 | -0.38% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.009745 | 0.009647 | -1.00% | 0.010525 | +8.00% | 0.0865 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009605 | 0.009608 | +0.03% | 0.009745 | +1.46% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009664 | +0.25% | 0.009605 | -0.36% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011078 | +0.03% | 0.00964 | -12.96% | 0.1396 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.011995 | 0.011919 | -0.64% | 0.011075 | -7.67% | 0.0758 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011278 | -0.11% | 0.011995 | +6.24% | 0.0637 | ✗ | -0.12 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.012015 | 0.011955 | -0.50% | 0.01129 | -6.03% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012266 | -0.64% | 0.012015 | -2.67% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011905 | 0.011851 | -0.45% | 0.012345 | +3.70% | 0.0321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.012875 | 0.012752 | -0.95% | 0.011905 | -7.53% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015315 | 0.015039 | -1.80% | 0.012875 | -15.93% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012585 | 0.012412 | -1.38% | 0.015315 | +21.69% | 0.2184 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012795 | 0.012548 | -1.93% | 0.012585 | -1.64% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.01463 | 0.014181 | -3.07% | 0.012795 | -12.54% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011469 | -1.30% | 0.01463 | +25.90% | 0.2415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00913 | 0.009184 | +0.60% | 0.01162 | +27.27% | 0.2550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00859 | 0.008687 | +1.13% | 0.00913 | +6.29% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.01134 | 0.01137 | +0.26% | 0.00859 | -24.25% | 0.2792 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01109 | 0.011122 | +0.29% | 0.01134 | +2.25% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01266 | 0.012676 | +0.12% | 0.01109 | -12.40% | 0.1451 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.014018 | +0.06% | 0.01266 | -9.64% | 0.0946 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0142 | 0.014211 | +0.07% | 0.01401 | -1.34% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014222 | +0.29% | 0.0142 | +0.14% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.014915 | 0.014962 | +0.32% | 0.01418 | -4.93% | 0.0694 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.01639 | 0.016445 | +0.34% | 0.014915 | -9.00% | 0.1040 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.01679 | +0.42% | 0.01639 | -1.97% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.017095 | 0.017162 | +0.39% | 0.01672 | -2.19% | 0.0421 | ✗ | 1.00 |