RE

RE · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #279
symbol: RE
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-18
predictions: 351

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

116

of 117 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0455

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.39085	0.387529	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.3878	0.384821	-0.77%	0.39085	+0.79%	0.0183	✗	0.93
2026-10-19	oos	0.38025	0.377662	-0.68%	0.3878	+1.99%	0.0147	✗	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.3807	0.3782	-0.66%	0.38025	-0.12%	0.0073	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.3939	0.391287	-0.66%	0.3807	-3.35%	0.0343	✓	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.4072	0.404556	-0.65%	0.3939	-3.27%	0.0254	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.41905	0.416051	-0.72%	0.4072	-2.83%	0.0150	✓	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.42225	0.419807	-0.58%	0.41905	-0.76%	0.0076	✓	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.43205	0.428808	-0.75%	0.42225	-2.27%	0.0002	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.42635	0.423895	-0.58%	0.43205	+1.34%	0.0050	✓	0.85
2026-10-11	oos	0.44755	0.444305	-0.72%	0.42635	-4.74%	0.0226	✓	0.80
2026-10-10	oos	0.4449	0.442315	-0.58%	0.44755	+0.60%	0.0042	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.4408	0.43862	-0.49%	0.4449	+0.93%	0.0106	✗	0.82
2026-10-08	oos	0.4381	0.436239	-0.42%	0.4408	+0.62%	0.0019	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.4626	0.459612	-0.65%	0.4381	-5.30%	0.0328	✓	0.79
2026-10-06	oos	0.4822	0.478327	-0.80%	0.4626	-4.06%	0.0129	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.5048	0.500214	-0.91%	0.4822	-4.48%	0.0348	✓	0.77
2026-10-04	oos	0.5176	0.513341	-0.82%	0.5048	-2.47%	0.0099	✓	0.78
2026-10-03	oos	0.50915	0.504188	-0.97%	0.5176	+1.66%	0.0102	✗	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	0.5062	0.501582	-0.91%	0.50915	+0.58%	0.0128	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.5149	0.510619	-0.83%	0.5062	-1.69%	0.0055	✓	0.78
2026-09-30	oos	0.4815	0.47884	-0.55%	0.5149	+6.94%	0.0615	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.47595	0.473855	-0.44%	0.4815	+1.17%	0.0168	✗	0.81
2026-09-28	oos	0.46175	0.460561	-0.26%	0.47595	+3.08%	0.0312	✗	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.4892	0.487859	-0.27%	0.46175	-5.61%	0.0446	✓	0.87
2026-09-26	oos	0.49105	0.49003	-0.21%	0.4892	-0.38%	0.0022	✓	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.47765	0.477217	-0.09%	0.49105	+2.81%	0.0249	✗	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.4691	0.469351	+0.05%	0.47765	+1.82%	0.0208	✓	0.93
2026-09-23	oos	0.4464	0.447452	+0.24%	0.4691	+5.09%	0.0472	✓	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.4724	0.473471	+0.23%	0.4464	-5.50%	0.0379	✗	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.46815	0.469242	+0.23%	0.4724	+0.91%	0.0118	✓	1.12
2026-09-20	oos	0.45915	0.45941	+0.06%	0.46815	+1.96%	0.0605	✗	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.46645	0.466526	+0.02%	0.45915	-1.57%	0.0148	✗	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.459	0.458945	-0.01%	0.46645	+1.62%	0.0107	✗	1.25
2026-09-17	oos	0.444	0.442728	-0.29%	0.459	+3.38%	0.0405	✓	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.44075	0.439514	-0.28%	0.444	+0.74%	0.0062	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.41745	0.416658	-0.19%	0.44075	+5.58%	0.0453	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.4368	0.436171	-0.14%	0.41745	-4.43%	0.0063	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.4253	0.424782	-0.12%	0.4368	+2.70%	0.0015	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.4416	0.441138	-0.10%	0.4253	-3.69%	0.0277	✓	1.48
2026-09-11	oos	0.4528	0.452481	-0.07%	0.4416	-2.47%	0.0254	✓	1.48
2026-09-10	oos	0.4323	0.432562	+0.06%	0.4528	+4.74%	0.0329	✓	1.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.4244	0.425488	+0.26%	0.4323	+1.86%	0.0502	✓	1.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.45435	0.455246	+0.20%	0.4244	-6.59%	0.0670	✗	1.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.462	0.463221	+0.26%	0.45435	-1.66%	0.0070	✗	1.51
2026-09-06	oos	0.4594	0.461308	+0.42%	0.462	+0.57%	0.0254	✓	1.53
2026-09-05	oos	0.4504	0.452871	+0.55%	0.4594	+2.00%	0.0046	✓	1.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.4372	0.440256	+0.70%	0.4504	+3.02%	0.0198	✓	1.53
2026-09-03	oos	0.4678	0.470325	+0.54%	0.4372	-6.54%	0.0434	✗	1.50
2026-09-02	oos	0.4633	0.465416	+0.46%	0.4678	+0.97%	0.0752	✗	1.61
2026-09-01	oos	0.4791	0.480607	+0.31%	0.4633	-3.30%	0.0348	✗	1.61
2026-08-31	oos	0.489	0.490005	+0.21%	0.4791	-2.02%	0.0015	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.4687	0.469661	+0.21%	0.489	+4.33%	0.0220	✓	1.60
2026-08-29	oos	0.4914	0.49146	+0.01%	0.4687	-4.62%	0.0358	✗	1.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.51565	0.514849	-0.16%	0.4914	-4.70%	0.0547	✓	1.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.5365	0.534637	-0.35%	0.51565	-3.89%	0.0134	✗	1.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.5266	0.523979	-0.50%	0.5365	+1.88%	0.0016	✓	1.61
2026-08-25	oos	0.5521	0.547681	-0.80%	0.5266	-4.62%	0.0495	✓	1.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.53905	0.53279	-1.16%	0.5521	+2.42%	0.0450	✗	1.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.5417	0.534433	-1.34%	0.53905	-0.49%	0.0177	✓	1.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.5018	0.495213	-1.31%	0.5417	+7.95%	0.0755	✗	1.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.5242	0.514406	-1.87%	0.5018	-4.27%	0.0017	✓	1.62
2026-08-20	oos	0.51015	0.50617	-0.78%	0.5242	+2.75%	0.0987	✓	1.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.5374	0.527517	-1.84%	0.51015	-5.07%	0.1553	✓	2.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.3976	0.396457	-0.29%	0.5374	+35.16%	0.1946	✗	1.59
2026-08-17	oos	0.4054	0.404391	-0.25%	0.3976	-1.92%	0.0220	✓	1.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.4192	0.418846	-0.08%	0.4054	-3.29%	0.0776	✓	1.75
2026-08-15	oos	0.4616	0.460143	-0.32%	0.4192	-9.19%	0.0882	✓	1.72
2026-08-14	oos	0.4469	0.445838	-0.24%	0.4616	+3.29%	0.0336	✗	1.72
2026-08-13	oos	0.44	0.439022	-0.22%	0.4469	+1.57%	0.0302	✗	1.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.4319	0.431101	-0.19%	0.44	+1.88%	0.0201	✗	1.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.41915	0.418627	-0.12%	0.4319	+3.04%	0.0345	✗	1.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.4086	0.40833	-0.07%	0.41915	+2.58%	0.0367	✗	1.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.40445	0.404016	-0.11%	0.4086	+1.03%	0.0376	✗	1.81
2026-08-08	oos	0.4089	0.407939	-0.24%	0.40445	-1.09%	0.0069	✓	1.81
2026-08-07	oos	0.38965	0.38839	-0.32%	0.4089	+4.94%	0.0510	✗	1.81
2026-08-06	oos	0.39565	0.394482	-0.30%	0.38965	-1.52%	0.0301	✓	1.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.38465	0.382737	-0.50%	0.39565	+2.86%	0.0428	✗	1.86
2026-08-04	oos	0.385	0.383312	-0.44%	0.38465	-0.09%	0.0125	✓	1.86
2026-08-03	oos	0.40515	0.403398	-0.43%	0.385	-4.97%	0.0642	✓	1.91
2026-08-02	oos	0.4209	0.418899	-0.48%	0.40515	-3.74%	0.0324	✓	1.91
2026-08-01	oos	0.4414	0.439389	-0.46%	0.4209	-4.64%	0.0661	✓	1.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.4421	0.440522	-0.36%	0.4414	-0.16%	0.0039	✗	1.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.44585	0.445044	-0.18%	0.4421	-0.84%	0.0565	✗	2.12
2026-07-29	oos	0.496	0.492124	-0.78%	0.44585	-10.11%	0.1281	✓	2.28
2026-07-28	oos	0.4515	0.44993	-0.35%	0.496	+9.86%	0.0957	✗	2.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.44995	0.4484	-0.34%	0.4515	+0.34%	0.0014	✓	2.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.4815	0.47854	-0.61%	0.44995	-6.55%	0.0041	✓	2.25
2026-07-25	oos	0.5458	0.538926	-1.26%	0.4815	-11.78%	0.1533	✓	2.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.5818	0.567788	-2.41%	0.5458	-6.19%	0.0479	✓	2.54
2026-07-23	oos	0.5535	0.537264	-2.93%	0.5818	+5.11%	0.1198	✗	2.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.4747	0.46433	-2.18%	0.5535	+16.60%	0.2238	✗	3.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.3954	0.394174	-0.31%	0.4747	+20.06%	0.2069	✗	3.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.375	0.3766	+0.43%	0.3954	+5.44%	0.0154	✗	3.24
2026-07-19	oos	0.3923	0.393903	+0.41%	0.375	-4.41%	0.0761	✗	3.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.3954	0.396692	+0.33%	0.3923	-0.78%	0.0053	✗	3.30
2026-07-17	oos	0.4476	0.448053	+0.10%	0.3954	-11.66%	0.1390	✗	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.4905	0.490122	-0.08%	0.4476	-8.75%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.4868	0.486563	-0.05%	0.4905	+0.76%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.5268	0.526456	-0.07%	0.4868	-7.59%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.5264	0.525571	-0.16%	0.5268	+0.08%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.55705	0.556268	-0.14%	0.5264	-5.50%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.5811	0.579991	-0.19%	0.55705	-4.14%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.57485	0.57366	-0.21%	0.5811	+1.09%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.5845	0.582978	-0.26%	0.57485	-1.65%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.603	0.600838	-0.36%	0.5845	-3.07%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.6298	0.627036	-0.44%	0.603	-4.26%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.6573	0.653309	-0.61%	0.6298	-4.18%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.6457	0.641236	-0.69%	0.6573	+1.80%	0.0182	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.6332	0.628302	-0.77%	0.6457	+1.97%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.6217	0.616302	-0.87%	0.6332	+1.85%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.6877	0.677494	-1.48%	0.6217	-9.60%	0.1027	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.5835	0.577215	-1.08%	0.6877	+17.86%	0.1501	✗	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.6483	0.636528	-1.82%	0.5835	-10.00%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.7829	0.763137	-2.52%	0.6483	-17.19%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6058	0.602647	-0.52%	0.7829	+29.23%	0.2502	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.6924	0.687815	-0.66%	0.6058	-12.51%	0.1193	✓	1.00