OTC

OTC · Solana · gru_s2

token id: #810
symbol: OTC
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: MukLDtJ8Cx9DxLbeyLRSWPSposTMWuwHANbuaudpump
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-01
predictions: 126

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 42 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0212

actual -0.0095

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00802	0.007875	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	3.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.00718	0.007069	-1.54%	0.00802	+11.70%	0.1356	✗	3.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.00615	0.006103	-0.77%	0.00718	+16.75%	0.1206	✗	3.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00623	0.006187	-0.69%	0.00615	-1.28%	0.0004	✓	3.14
2026-10-17	oos	0.006705	0.006651	-0.80%	0.00623	-7.08%	0.0897	✓	3.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.007635	0.007542	-1.22%	0.006705	-12.18%	0.1130	✓	3.16
2026-10-15	oos	0.008356	0.00818	-2.10%	0.007635	-8.63%	0.0452	✓	3.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.006277	0.006223	-0.85%	0.008356	+33.12%	0.2740	✗	3.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.006016	0.00597	-0.77%	0.006277	+4.34%	0.1089	✗	3.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.006045	0.006015	-0.49%	0.006016	-0.48%	0.0527	✓	3.20
2026-10-11	oos	0.00643	0.006363	-1.05%	0.006045	-5.99%	0.0241	✗	3.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.005902	0.005888	-0.24%	0.00643	+8.95%	0.0586	✗	3.19
2026-10-09	oos	0.006872	0.006794	-1.14%	0.005902	-14.12%	0.1550	✓	3.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.009193	0.008955	-2.59%	0.006872	-25.25%	0.3002	✓	3.42
2026-10-07	oos	0.008138	0.007909	-2.82%	0.009193	+12.96%	0.2206	✗	3.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.00976	0.009385	-3.84%	0.008138	-16.62%	0.0499	✓	3.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.009547	0.009138	-4.28%	0.00976	+2.23%	0.0743	✗	3.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.007319	0.007026	-4.00%	0.009547	+30.44%	0.3393	✗	3.71
2026-10-03	oos	0.006463	0.006227	-3.66%	0.007319	+13.24%	0.0863	✗	3.65
2026-10-02	oos	0.006731	0.006467	-3.92%	0.006463	-3.98%	0.0109	✓	3.65
2026-10-01	oos	0.010041	0.00958	-4.60%	0.006731	-32.96%	0.3389	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.008327	0.007974	-4.24%	0.010041	+20.58%	0.2152	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.004592	0.004518	-1.61%	0.008327	+81.34%	0.6124	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.004503	0.00444	-1.40%	0.004592	+1.98%	0.0315	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.005458	0.005357	-1.84%	0.004503	-17.50%	0.1618	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.005492	0.005384	-1.97%	0.005458	-0.62%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004899	0.004807	-1.89%	0.005492	+12.10%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.008762	0.008526	-2.69%	0.004899	-44.09%	0.5507	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.009116	0.008809	-3.37%	0.008762	-3.88%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.013579	0.012865	-5.26%	0.009116	-32.87%	0.3232	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.004341	0.004249	-2.12%	0.013579	+212.81%	1.1665	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.006353	0.006178	-2.75%	0.004341	-31.67%	0.4178	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.007269	0.006998	-3.73%	0.006353	-12.60%	0.0958	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.006606	0.006359	-3.75%	0.007269	+10.04%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005193	0.00504	-2.94%	0.006606	+27.21%	0.2130	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.002827	0.002801	-0.93%	0.005193	+83.69%	0.6147	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.004285	0.004266	-0.43%	0.002827	-34.03%	0.4189	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008484	0.008302	-2.14%	0.004285	-49.49%	0.6277	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.004687	0.004738	+1.08%	0.008484	+80.99%	0.5648	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.009999	0.009957	-0.42%	0.004687	-53.12%	0.7474	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012071	0.011975	-0.80%	0.009999	-17.16%	0.1810	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.01169	0.011591	-0.86%	0.012071	+3.25%	0.0319	✗	1.00