ONE
ONEchain · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #286
- symbol
- ONE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x6bf62ca91e397b5a7d1d6bce97d9092065d7a510
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
51.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0376
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0037
actual -0.0106
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.10343 | 0.103027 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.103945 | 0.103568 | -0.36% | 0.10343 | -0.50% | 0.0024 | ✓ | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.10201 | 0.101785 | -0.22% | 0.103945 | +1.90% | 0.0261 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1011 | 0.100977 | -0.12% | 0.10201 | +0.90% | 0.0094 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.102135 | 0.102182 | +0.05% | 0.1011 | -1.01% | 0.0077 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.10497 | 0.105082 | +0.11% | 0.102135 | -2.70% | 0.0290 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.10694 | 0.107061 | +0.11% | 0.10497 | -1.84% | 0.0227 | ✗ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.10938 | 0.109597 | +0.20% | 0.10694 | -2.23% | 0.0219 | ✗ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.118885 | 0.11865 | -0.20% | 0.10938 | -8.00% | 0.0912 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.122635 | 0.122425 | -0.17% | 0.118885 | -3.06% | 0.0211 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.1296 | 0.128859 | -0.57% | 0.122635 | -5.37% | 0.0645 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.13565 | 0.134708 | -0.69% | 0.1296 | -4.46% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.129045 | 0.128413 | -0.49% | 0.13565 | +5.12% | 0.0576 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13182 | 0.131203 | -0.47% | 0.129045 | -2.11% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.13752 | 0.136229 | -0.94% | 0.13182 | -4.14% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.147335 | 0.145314 | -1.37% | 0.13752 | -6.66% | 0.0283 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.148475 | 0.146326 | -1.45% | 0.147335 | -0.77% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.145265 | 0.143502 | -1.21% | 0.148475 | +2.21% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.147165 | 0.144957 | -1.50% | 0.145265 | -1.29% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1419 | 0.140493 | -0.99% | 0.147165 | +3.71% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.13909 | 0.138174 | -0.66% | 0.1419 | +2.02% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.13935 | 0.138623 | -0.52% | 0.13909 | -0.19% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.13304 | 0.132564 | -0.36% | 0.13935 | +4.74% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15352 | 0.152906 | -0.40% | 0.13304 | -13.34% | 0.1413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15001 | 0.149569 | -0.29% | 0.15352 | +2.34% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.15468 | 0.154333 | -0.22% | 0.15001 | -3.02% | 0.0290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.146485 | 0.146301 | -0.13% | 0.15468 | +5.59% | 0.0519 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.15333 | 0.153316 | -0.01% | 0.146485 | -4.46% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.144105 | 0.144311 | +0.14% | 0.15333 | +6.40% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.15384 | 0.154268 | +0.28% | 0.144105 | -6.33% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.151575 | 0.152033 | +0.30% | 0.15384 | +1.49% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.144335 | 0.14436 | +0.02% | 0.151575 | +5.02% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.154195 | 0.154149 | -0.03% | 0.144335 | -6.39% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.14332 | 0.143282 | -0.03% | 0.154195 | +7.59% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |