NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

23.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3096

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0313

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.121306	+2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.123645	+2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.117064	+2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.119972	+1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.121379	+1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.124808	+2.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.14181	+2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.149148	+1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.138975	+1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.136772	+2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.142979	+1.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.142485	+1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.139689	+1.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.136087	+2.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.139741	+1.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.140275	+1.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.146057	+1.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.151407	+1.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.147852	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.150927	+1.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.154078	+1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.154867	+2.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.164177	+2.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.164955	+2.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.168309	+1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.166818	+1.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.16278	+1.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.167986	+1.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.167551	+1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.17178	+1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.172967	+2.09%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3733	✗	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.166538	+2.47%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.3227	✗	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.166101	+2.42%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3760	✗	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.16136	+2.60%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.3135	✗	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.158813	+3.25%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2845	✗	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.167231	+2.91%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.3160	✗	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.170661	+2.93%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.2096	✗	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.155465	+2.80%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0666	✗	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.154666	+3.17%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.1366	✗	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.16457	+2.91%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.2133	✗	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.15521	+3.50%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.1070	✗	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.151267	+4.55%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0850	✗	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.120786	+4.54%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1106	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.128444	+4.85%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0231	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.137701	+5.00%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0176	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.135979	+5.57%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0088	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.137786	+6.44%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0224	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.147292	+6.89%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0105	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.149521	+7.23%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0375	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.148303	+7.97%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0264	✓	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.152007	+8.14%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0328	✓	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.155862	+7.92%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0487	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.168031	+7.71%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0681	✓	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.165665	+7.86%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0480	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.154773	+7.97%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.0404	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.156644	+9.12%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0269	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.163505	+9.51%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0477	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.176325	+9.86%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0940	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.153653	+12.15%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.0386	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.213455	+9.37%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.3023	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.224795	+9.47%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.3590	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.244127	+10.51%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.4283	✗	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.229238	+6.15%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.4156	✗	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.216939	+1.63%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.4302	✗	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.210475	+2.28%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.4359	✗	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.216599	+2.01%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.4108	✗	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.21975	+2.42%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.4295	✗	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.214072	+2.74%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.5226	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.214349	+2.28%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.5188	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.211292	+2.35%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.4430	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.205631	+2.49%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.4801	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.207253	+2.02%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.5147	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.208099	+1.94%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.7585	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.208463	+1.93%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6966	✗	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.210931	+0.93%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.6459	✗	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.205403	+1.00%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.6519	✗	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.205794	+1.05%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.6520	✗	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.198311	+0.89%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.5529	✗	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.204088	-0.10%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.6018	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.206882	+0.17%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5944	✗	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.206223	+0.80%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5693	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.21395	+1.27%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.6127	✗	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.209545	+1.21%	0.156	-24.65%	0.5037	✗	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.217025	+1.10%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.5333	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.221032	+0.72%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.6352	✗	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.219815	+1.12%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.6609	✗	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.227009	+1.01%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.6409	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.244476	+1.05%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5844	✗	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.244861	+0.97%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.7678	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.254976	+0.45%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.4447	✗	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.270132	+0.01%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.4436	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.270023	-0.25%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.3706	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.233671	+1.06%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.1720	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.232349	+1.48%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.1456	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.227056	+1.71%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.228334	+1.21%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0677	✗	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.239798	+0.76%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0945	✗	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.250851	+0.37%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.1737	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.241743	+0.91%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.1155	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.245523	+1.32%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.1490	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.247469	+0.53%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.2280	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.240114	+1.79%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.1639	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.270572	+1.43%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.2839	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.280434	+1.45%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.3269	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.277497	+1.44%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.3106	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.299323	+0.59%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.4283	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.282926	+1.18%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.3436	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.256529	+1.73%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.2756	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.275358	+1.22%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.3058	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.240809	+1.73%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.227146	+1.90%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.1202	✗	1.00