MON

Monad · native · gru_s2

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1454

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0700

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.019604	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.019704	-10.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.019865	-10.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019028	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.019216	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.019706	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.020622	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.020617	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.021661	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.021938	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.021856	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.024761	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.022589	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.02202	-9.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021673	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.023038	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.025919	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.028593	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030247	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.030522	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029208	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.030215	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.028341	-10.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.024328	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.025649	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.025295	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.024215	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.02396	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.022905	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022241	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.025094	-8.11%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.0880	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.023876	-6.83%	0.022069	-13.89%	0.0372	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.022968	-8.09%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.0714	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.022928	-7.59%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1036	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.022862	-7.34%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1019	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.02152	-7.46%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.0852	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.020734	-6.36%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0044	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.020393	-5.95%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0054	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.021642	-5.55%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0438	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021468	-5.20%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0106	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.0221	-4.49%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0096	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022448	-3.70%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0851	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022113	-3.53%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0085	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024158	-3.28%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0665	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.024797	-3.26%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.0916	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026146	-3.18%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1009	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.026502	-2.22%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0171	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024719	-0.85%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1415	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.024921	-0.46%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1766	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027157	+0.20%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1641	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.024828	-2.11%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1476	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.025902	-2.18%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1437	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026212	-0.93%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1156	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026092	-1.72%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0647	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.02662	-0.38%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0129	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027231	-0.38%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0726	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.029064	+1.59%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1474	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028657	+0.26%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1616	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027822	+0.25%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.1991	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031561	-0.08%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3582	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030105	-1.07%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2299	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027886	-0.88%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2326	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028857	+0.72%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1889	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.02534	-5.16%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1588	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021064	-6.67%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0232	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.019701	-7.19%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0376	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020081	-7.75%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1089	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.018841	-7.10%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.0818	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.019312	-7.52%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.0889	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.019451	-7.90%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.0870	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.019755	-8.21%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.0796	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.019973	-8.40%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.0860	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.019646	-8.22%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0667	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.019892	-8.53%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0130	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.019207	-8.41%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0529	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019132	-8.30%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0992	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.01917	-8.25%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0807	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.018841	-7.82%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0110	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.019231	-8.37%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0021	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.018889	-8.00%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0684	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.019613	-8.89%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0086	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019213	-8.34%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0671	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.018897	-7.64%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0512	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019167	-7.45%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0564	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.019998	-7.84%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0506	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019295	-7.06%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0894	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.019761	-6.94%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0693	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.01891	-5.97%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1289	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020045	-6.13%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0847	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.019497	-5.35%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.2128	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.020608	-5.73%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1336	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021167	-5.23%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0594	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.021819	-4.80%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0448	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.021852	-4.72%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0764	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.021647	-5.35%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0405	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020238	-4.63%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0478	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.020635	-4.33%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0601	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.020933	-4.59%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0082	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.020622	-4.35%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0294	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021368	-4.14%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0267	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.021718	-4.16%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0250	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021226	-4.77%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0001	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.021756	-4.60%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0114	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021355	-4.11%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0149	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022016	-4.11%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0658	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022122	-4.15%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1007	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022168	-4.00%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1255	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023319	-4.35%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1554	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.02377	-4.81%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1392	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021057	-2.47%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0371	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020656	-2.19%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0316	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020157	-1.67%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0142	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019709	-1.38%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0045	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019678	-1.81%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0252	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018198	-0.72%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0190	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018729	-1.01%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0085	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.01853	-0.70%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0212	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018764	-0.35%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0293	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019252	-0.45%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0349	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019087	-0.33%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0443	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019521	-0.78%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0311	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019886	-1.04%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0522	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020405	-1.09%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0591	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020464	-1.38%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0261	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020327	-1.26%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.0916	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020424	-1.14%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0056	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.02086	-1.04%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0190	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021525	-1.13%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0342	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022671	-1.60%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0003	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022265	-1.53%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0421	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022109	-1.70%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0437	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.02153	-1.33%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.0941	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020919	-0.76%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.0808	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021367	-1.12%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0356	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020899	-0.72%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0179	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021051	-1.03%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0496	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.0207	-0.77%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1331	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021697	-2.13%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1160	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020846	-1.11%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.0904	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020798	-1.24%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0362	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021037	-2.29%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0250	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020105	-1.64%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0624	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.019961	-2.39%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1514	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.021183	-5.90%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2724	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.021872	-8.02%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2583	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.021513	-7.41%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2426	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021634	-7.07%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2321	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.021937	-7.36%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2161	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.021606	-7.31%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2740	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.022801	-8.90%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2514	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.02374	-9.63%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.2209	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023073	-8.69%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.2181	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.023566	-8.55%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1581	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.023993	-8.25%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1418	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.025796	-9.96%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0749	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.024501	-8.94%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1476	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.023869	-7.88%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1935	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.024718	-8.38%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1596	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.02534	-8.85%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1738	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.025323	-8.75%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1546	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.025823	-8.69%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1602	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.027015	-9.25%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1559	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.027408	-9.25%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.1103	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.027987	-9.28%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.1331	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.030329	-9.79%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0993	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.031862	-10.22%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0449	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.031053	-10.43%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0117	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.030684	-10.41%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0422	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.029221	-9.76%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0948	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.029347	-9.12%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0517	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.028509	-8.95%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0065	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.026942	-8.52%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0263	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.026683	-8.40%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.0787	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.027624	-8.26%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.0926	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.02769	-7.94%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.0823	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025254	-7.02%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0444	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025202	-6.66%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0425	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027036	-7.25%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.0895	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028372	-7.34%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1506	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.029767	-7.24%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1307	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.029051	-7.19%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.0946	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028526	-7.05%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1138	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030255	-6.85%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1359	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.031342	-7.04%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1390	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.03025	-7.60%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0726	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.029449	-7.67%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1150	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.027733	-7.80%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1150	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.030046	-7.41%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1265	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.032371	-6.95%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1570	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.031648	-7.73%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1773	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032296	-8.09%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.1985	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.031668	-8.21%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1687	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.032909	-8.66%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1604	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.029722	-9.14%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1134	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.032383	-8.94%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.0908	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.03198	-8.91%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0319	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.030044	-8.85%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0110	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.028433	-8.69%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0497	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.027781	-8.61%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0320	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.024874	-8.21%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0722	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.02581	-8.73%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0140	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.024898	-8.66%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0217	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.024839	-8.92%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023059	-7.73%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0876	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022161	-7.00%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1470	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.022921	-7.84%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0410	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.020913	-6.26%	0.027	+21.02%	0.1129	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.020699	-6.09%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1772	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.021659	-6.96%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1717	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.020973	-6.33%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2327	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.022556	-7.25%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1926	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.024221	-8.32%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1462	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.021775	-6.68%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2880	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.020373	-5.51%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3974	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.019449	-5.27%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3937	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020174	-5.77%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3552	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021099	-5.97%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.3053	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.020735	-5.66%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3625	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.021674	-5.97%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3869	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.022396	-5.10%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.4080	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.023501	-5.09%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.4031	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022208	-5.33%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.4197	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021084	-4.94%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4859	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.020923	-4.53%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4499	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020312	-4.19%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.5189	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020468	-4.40%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4939	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.020646	-4.28%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4374	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020311	-4.33%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3827	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019528	-4.37%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3427	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.020679	-4.62%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2433	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.020798	-4.33%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2923	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021009	-3.36%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3212	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.021893	-2.96%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3145	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.019722	-3.23%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2611	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020451	-3.58%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1647	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020043	-3.87%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1751	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020328	-3.80%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0966	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.019911	-3.67%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.1001	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020318	-3.43%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1541	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.020793	-3.56%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0992	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019397	-3.16%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1559	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019788	-3.61%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1921	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019244	-3.08%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1510	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.019924	-3.38%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0373	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.02026	-3.71%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0153	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019708	-3.58%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0547	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019474	-3.40%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0831	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021116	-4.58%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0054	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022247	-5.37%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0027	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022605	-5.89%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0264	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022092	-5.55%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0456	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021481	-5.70%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0333	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019383	-3.81%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0679	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018506	-2.85%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1166	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018972	-3.64%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.0882	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017571	-2.16%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.1962	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017675	-2.46%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.2035	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018045	-3.04%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1738	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.017966	-3.20%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.1923	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.016834	-2.35%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1816	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.018678	-5.33%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2315	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.016927	-3.49%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3365	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.017571	-4.87%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3552	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017083	-4.19%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3324	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017189	-4.72%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3886	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.018593	-7.91%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4323	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.018375	-8.17%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4410	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.019125	-10.13%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4800	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.019658	-11.37%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.4373	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017309	-7.98%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5475	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.016622	-6.57%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5540	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017404	-8.83%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5447	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.016705	-8.79%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.5074	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016555	-8.54%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5482	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.016995	-9.41%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5406	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016307	-8.85%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5499	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.017561	-12.72%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4798	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.018665	-14.22%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4943	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.018892	-14.56%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5402	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.019051	-14.53%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5586	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.018878	-14.70%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.5284	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.019659	-15.21%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4818	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.020911	-15.51%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3426	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.019696	-14.63%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2602	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.0203	-14.85%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2364	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.020662	-14.80%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.1049	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.022122	-15.31%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0422	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.023374	-15.92%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0273	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.022461	-16.22%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0524	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.02465	-17.39%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.0415	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.023281	-17.73%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0360	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.023593	-17.94%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.1327	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.023905	-18.47%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.1337	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.022738	-18.65%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1085	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.0198	-16.46%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0086	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.019233	-15.27%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0745	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.019018	-15.85%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0810	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.018404	-14.28%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.1309	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.018924	-15.67%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1504	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.01937	-16.15%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0323	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.01958	-16.07%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.0908	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.01946	-15.94%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0321	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.01848	-14.80%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0221	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017289	-12.51%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.016827	-12.40%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0997	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.017711	-13.60%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.016639	-11.35%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.016976	-10.89%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1873	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.01569	-7.21%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2360	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017179	-8.28%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1580	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019234	-10.75%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018134	-8.74%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.018675	-9.52%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.2030	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.020819	-11.45%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0924	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.021426	-10.98%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.023066	-12.10%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.023701	-11.93%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.024113	-11.90%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1604	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.024892	-11.45%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.02299	-10.13%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.2247	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.024625	-9.43%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.0249	-8.56%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.1200	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025475	-8.00%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1569	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.028349	-7.17%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0240	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.