MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 78
Track record at +1d
assessed
25
of 26 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1015
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0082
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004788 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004402 | -1.13% | 0.004854 | +9.02% | 0.1046 | ✗ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004334 | -1.20% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004204 | -1.04% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004278 | -1.18% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.004958 | -2.12% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003669 | +0.09% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003047 | +1.99% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003414 | +1.55% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.1145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003823 | +1.23% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004708 | +0.33% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005166 | +0.27% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.006194 | -0.16% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006674 | -0.33% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.007263 | -1.18% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007466 | -2.08% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007378 | -2.41% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007277 | -2.65% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007164 | -2.19% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007568 | -2.47% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007694 | -1.92% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008161 | -1.24% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008251 | -0.13% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009257 | -0.31% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.014002 | -1.20% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.3987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.013023 | -0.82% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.0840 | ✗ | 1.00 |