MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s2

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1117

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0025

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.009069	+0.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.00923	+0.20%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0191	✗	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011531	-0.21%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2279	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010909	+0.07%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0582	✓	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010983	+0.22%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0094	✗	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.0122	-0.06%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1070	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.01412	-0.94%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1443	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010726	+0.81%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2842	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011765	+0.56%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.1015	✗	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012178	+0.73%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0390	✗	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012484	+0.48%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0329	✗	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012319	+1.01%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0093	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.013028	+1.03%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0657	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012303	+2.22%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0487	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013715	+1.07%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1362	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016549	-1.38%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2183	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.017599	-2.04%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0495	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017009	-1.59%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0486	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015652	+0.53%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016524	+0.75%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0623	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017205	+0.64%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021471	-0.02%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2433	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024828	-0.49%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1441	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.028872	-0.85%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1482	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026741	-0.70%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0972	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.02826	-0.95%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.029755	-1.31%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.02736	-1.33%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.1006	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.033458	-2.82%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.1879	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.030734	-2.49%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026411	-1.34%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1814	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027139	-0.46%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0785	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.0303	-1.04%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1046	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030454	-0.96%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036947	-0.20%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2412	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.030222	+1.52%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2002	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032869	+1.62%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.1064	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043731	-0.83%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049224	-0.60%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1278	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.