MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
57.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0808
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0150
actual -0.0066
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.718485 | 0.708851 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.71641 | 0.707425 | -1.25% | 0.718485 | +0.29% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.748598 | -1.44% | 0.71641 | -5.68% | 0.0940 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.76219 | -1.55% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0557 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.767526 | -1.74% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.733027 | -1.76% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.639342 | -1.07% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1603 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.619277 | -0.98% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0730 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.603765 | -0.80% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.594212 | -0.82% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.592637 | -0.69% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.603524 | -0.88% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0916 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.605578 | -0.93% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.560659 | -0.47% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0820 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.512064 | +0.10% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.547078 | -0.24% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.681339 | -1.20% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.645845 | -1.03% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.663912 | -1.16% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.69484 | -1.35% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.69961 | -1.44% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.711664 | -1.57% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.73263 | -1.72% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.780175 | -2.03% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.76437 | -2.08% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.75894 | -2.14% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.749426 | -2.14% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.759949 | -2.24% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.718141 | -1.88% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.810153 | -2.39% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.877736 | -3.57% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.701008 | -2.89% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.513586 | -0.75% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.805356 | -2.86% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4415 | ✓ | 1.00 |