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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3416
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0573
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.1752-7.21%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1242-7.64%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.8428-8.14%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.7935-9.16%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8681-7.92%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9438-7.29%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8385-6.17%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9211-5.29%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.122-6.74%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.1876-5.58%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.4844-9.13%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3401-8.17%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3383-7.94%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3493-7.12%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.2733-8.38%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.4167-10.45%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.5436-11.82%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.3098-9.67%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.2405-9.15%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.2504-8.47%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.4364-9.68%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.5552-9.99%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.5454-9.85%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44133.9282-11.55%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.0952-12.02%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.2699-11.85%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.3079-11.22%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.55-10.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.82-9.39%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.7325-6.60%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.4491-6.11%3.4219-27.79%0.1964✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.288-10.19%3.3826-29.15%0.2730✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3171-10.23%3.0947-35.65%0.3451✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.2734-10.39%3.0752-35.51%0.3518✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.2847-10.93%3.1146-35.26%0.4355✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.0942-11.06%3.1752-31.03%0.3772✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.6134-10.10%3.0253-24.73%0.3281✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.9318-10.41%3.0842-29.72%0.3178✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7135-9.72%3.3476-18.61%0.2409✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.7971-9.93%3.3759-19.92%0.2151✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.9491-9.25%3.8347-11.88%0.1681✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.9005-9.13%3.6372-15.26%0.2087✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.1387-8.56%3.6262-19.88%0.2234✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.4115-8.66%3.6061-25.33%0.2727✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.3985-6.91%3.5727-24.38%0.3002✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.2668-5.49%3.8154-15.49%0.2216✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.472-5.95%4.0187-15.48%0.2322✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.5303-6.18%3.6643-24.12%0.3496✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.2121-5.18%3.5667-19.71%0.2398✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6288-4.29%3.5512-6.34%0.1565✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.3999-3.41%3.8048+8.09%0.0306✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4356-3.67%3.9499+10.75%0.0554✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.3955-3.76%3.9328+11.46%0.0786✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.4395-3.21%4.4413+24.97%0.1959✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.3926-2.96%4.6547+33.14%0.2409✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6434-1.82%4.844+30.54%0.2396✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.393-1.70%4.8522+40.57%0.3033✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2403-1.32%5.0729+54.48%0.3861✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3663-0.99%5.3196+56.46%0.3997✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5187-1.49%5.0667+41.84%0.2640✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.1517-1.18%4.7386+48.58%0.2961✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.1314+0.15%4.7745+52.70%0.3873✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6338-1.29%4.8092+80.24%0.5152✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4803-4.74%4.7687+83.15%0.5009✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2578-4.28%4.8107+103.95%0.6000✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2356-4.05%4.6035+97.57%0.5594✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.2076-3.05%4.0195+76.51%0.4161✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1955-2.94%4.3885+94.01%0.4815✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1711-2.86%4.1132+84.03%0.4435✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1946-3.38%4.2158+85.61%0.4608✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2483-3.74%4.3518+86.32%0.4598✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.3152-4.26%4.2923+77.50%0.4298✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.277-4.43%4.5262+89.98%0.4800✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1916-4.86%4.8297+109.67%0.5870✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1599-5.36%4.7248+107.03%0.5706✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1643-5.84%4.5148+96.43%0.5101✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.234-5.91%4.7547+100.25%0.5245✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.045-6.41%4.8289+121.01%0.6320✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9351-5.99%4.4421+115.80%0.5821✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.9012-5.20%3.7914+89.05%0.4863✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.94-4.57%3.52+73.16%0.3863✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9432-3.67%3.5664+76.80%0.3749✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9882-3.81%3.5283+70.70%0.3537✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1503-5.69%3.5537+55.87%0.3205✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0704-4.95%3.4962+60.52%0.3392✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.169-5.63%3.7108+61.45%0.3276✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0228-4.97%3.4518+62.16%0.3411✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0271-5.42%3.2837+53.22%0.3198✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9549-5.22%3.3999+64.84%0.3673✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9294-5.05%3.5721+75.80%0.4450✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0418-5.56%3.1894+47.52%0.3012✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1671-5.80%3.1267+35.92%0.2271✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2069-5.90%2.6682+13.77%0.1134✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0566-5.62%2.6037+19.49%0.1908✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0878-5.52%2.3588+6.74%0.1221✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1246-5.84%2.33+3.26%0.0959✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1515-6.01%2.2771-0.53%0.0703✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1407-6.35%2.262-1.05%0.0651✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2354-7.50%2.235-7.51%0.0216✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3686-8.65%2.2713-12.40%0.0227✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1252-7.77%2.3356+1.36%0.0820✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4011-8.77%2.4181-8.12%0.0090✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3496-8.84%2.3824-7.56%0.0126✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4477-8.99%2.3035-14.36%0.0683✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.184-8.87%2.2822-4.77%0.0268✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1191-9.05%2.2984-1.35%0.0527✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2508-8.41%2.3744-3.38%0.0438✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3713-7.98%2.1849-15.21%0.0881✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2589-8.10%2.0584-16.26%0.0979✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0283-7.84%2.0055-8.88%0.0152✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9457-7.94%2.0328-3.82%0.0339✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8978-8.27%2.0172-2.50%0.0480✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8862-8.93%2.0669-0.21%0.0610✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6833-8.96%2.28+23.31%0.2476✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6997-8.64%2.1781+17.08%0.2146✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5868-8.14%2.2984+33.05%0.3299✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5743-8.45%2.1286+23.78%0.2678✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6534-9.29%2.1431+17.57%0.2115✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4587-9.34%2.0626+28.18%0.3064✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.522-10.25%2.0319+19.82%0.2625✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3479-10.42%2.162+43.68%0.4461✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4354-10.81%2.3005+42.95%0.4501✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.399-10.76%2.3453+49.61%0.4840✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.3837-11.11%2.179+39.98%0.4445✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.3741-11.10%2.2098+42.97%0.4624✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4329-11.10%2.2564+39.99%0.4333✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5227-11.51%2.2892+33.04%0.4131✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5363-11.38%2.2859+31.87%0.4153✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5072-10.79%2.4166+43.03%0.4883✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5024-10.93%2.5928+53.72%0.5528✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4523-11.00%2.3042+41.20%0.4846✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3733-10.67%2.6319+71.19%0.6485✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.391-10.72%2.5774+65.42%0.6147✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2504-10.15%2.6896+93.27%0.7429✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.417-10.49%2.3965+51.38%0.5125✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3161-10.74%2.33+58.02%0.5789✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2775-10.87%2.4575+71.44%0.6540✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.2835-10.29%2.5769+80.11%0.6666✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3518-10.38%2.458+62.95%0.5715✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3023-10.38%2.201+51.47%0.5330✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6047-10.12%2.1136+18.38%0.2933✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4611-8.90%2.0689+28.99%0.4255✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.228-8.62%2.0712+54.13%0.7669✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2534-8.94%1.849+34.33%0.7172✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2451-9.05%1.8603+35.89%0.6785✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1426-9.25%1.7274+37.19%0.6958✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0671-8.96%1.7196+46.70%0.7533✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0355-8.67%1.8228+60.77%0.8605✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0797-8.75%1.6091+35.99%0.7274✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2481-9.53%1.6959+22.92%0.5959✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1716-9.27%1.5047+16.53%0.4995✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1228-8.53%1.6094+31.11%0.5751✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1015-7.49%1.5676+31.67%0.5628✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3131-7.92%1.5567+9.16%0.3753✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1834-7.29%1.5456+21.09%0.4858✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0598-7.16%1.6118+41.20%0.6350✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.887807-6.64%1.7207+80.95%0.8616✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.815344-5.57%1.7335+100.76%0.9463✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.831157-5.53%1.6896+92.04%0.9002✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.826814-3.63%1.6867+96.59%0.9278✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.912374-0.31%1.6319+78.31%0.8461✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.880354-1.86%1.5373+71.39%0.8265✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.92851+0.21%1.5581+68.16%0.8012✓1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.979084-2.07%1.3916+39.19%0.6883✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0196-3.52%1.5831+49.80%0.7800✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0226-2.99%1.4745+39.87%0.6595✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0423-3.58%1.4334+32.60%0.6003✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.95926-3.17%1.4307+44.42%0.7245✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.910032-4.59%1.5084+58.14%0.8626✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.918323-5.02%1.4531+50.29%0.7060✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.857675-5.01%1.7854+97.74%0.9501✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.863978-6.30%1.6039+73.94%0.7836✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.854666-5.87%1.3438+48.00%0.5523✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.852046-5.69%1.3765+52.35%0.5420✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.846889-4.17%1.369+54.91%0.5151✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.899507-5.16%1.2591+32.75%0.3694✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.862841-3.71%1.1722+30.81%0.3486✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.846146-2.01%1.1338+31.30%0.3383✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.914733-0.18%1.1832+29.12%0.2996✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.928505-0.12%1.3796+48.41%0.4020✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.94716+0.17%1.2913+36.57%0.3174✓1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.937316+1.40%1.2275+32.79%0.2949✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.902984+2.71%1.1906+35.42%0.3195✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.889667-0.93%1.426+58.80%0.4530✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.880178-2.10%1.2764+41.96%0.3463✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.858713-3.60%1.1415+28.15%0.2372✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.947642-3.19%0.9509-2.86%0.0155✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0254-2.23%0.86345-17.67%0.1767✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0006-4.33%0.8798-15.88%0.1747✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.996121-4.39%0.858-17.65%0.2150✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.980716-4.39%0.9152-10.78%0.1755✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0869-4.93%0.897-21.54%0.2673✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0475-4.13%0.92655-15.20%0.2776✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1474-4.86%0.99975-17.11%0.2698✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0866-4.42%1.0568-7.04%0.1678✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.984565-2.95%1.0542+3.91%0.0662✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.972622-2.66%1.081+8.18%0.0335✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0374-3.61%0.99065-7.96%0.1687✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.995876-2.82%0.95385-6.92%0.2358✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.979388-2.84%0.96685-4.09%0.1955✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.957504-3.00%0.9029-8.53%0.2553✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.961472-2.82%0.9221-6.80%0.2254✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.92667-2.31%0.908-4.28%0.2064✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.878268-1.38%0.9035+1.45%0.1327✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.861749-1.23%0.88375+1.29%0.1048✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.802749-0.56%0.94845+17.48%0.0221✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.820886-0.71%0.89605+8.38%0.0799✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.852679-0.65%0.8635+0.61%0.1642✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.876565-0.67%0.9164+3.84%0.1513✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.88348-3.09%0.9296+1.97%0.0894✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.979154-1.66%0.94555-5.04%0.1292✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0171.0062-1.06%0.9244-9.10%0.2039✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.959018+0.42%0.8792-7.94%0.1995✗1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.950952+1.26%0.898-4.38%0.1945✗1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0505-0.20%0.8991-14.59%0.2660✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.07+0.62%0.89075-16.24%0.2366✗1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1663-2.22%0.97885-17.94%0.2691✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1853-2.17%1.0488-13.44%0.2152✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2549-3.18%1.0459-19.30%0.2014✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1394-2.01%1.0419-10.39%0.0886✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0584-2.46%1.0257-5.47%0.0527✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0763-2.85%1.1433+3.20%0.0083✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0633-3.21%1.0926-0.55%0.0303✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1077-3.87%1.2061+4.66%0.0428✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0314-3.77%1.1368+6.07%0.0515✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0139-3.98%1.0145-3.92%0.0298✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.980924-3.86%0.99925-2.07%0.0260✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.981097-3.80%1.0763+5.55%0.0103✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0737-4.94%1.0248-9.27%0.0743✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0797-5.17%1.008-11.47%0.0841✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.155-4.48%0.9871-18.36%0.0959✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3157-4.07%0.98935-27.86%0.1911✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.228-5.41%0.9486-26.93%0.2333✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2858-5.40%0.8906-34.48%0.3550✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2756-6.11%0.8725-35.78%0.4243✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3078-5.62%0.8073-41.74%0.4782✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.2814-5.56%0.82675-39.07%0.4400✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3539-5.20%0.85825-39.91%0.4348✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3825-5.00%0.8825-39.35%0.4194✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3498-5.59%0.91165-36.24%0.4834✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3157-5.27%0.9957-28.32%0.4050✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3768-4.81%1.017-29.69%0.3575✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4525-4.71%0.955-37.35%0.4739✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4601-4.69%0.9391-38.70%0.4393✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4053-4.83%1.0527-28.71%0.3175✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3756-4.87%1.0634-26.46%0.3170✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5102-4.94%1.1928-24.92%0.2717✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6044-4.94%1.2116-28.22%0.3149✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.592-5.07%1.2961-22.71%0.2777✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5632-5.13%1.1627-29.44%0.3665✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5142-5.19%1.0852-32.06%0.3899✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3551-5.15%1.1078-22.46%0.2746✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.345-5.02%1.0986-22.42%0.2592✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.3963-5.02%1.1523-21.62%0.2168✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4682-5.20%1.0717-30.80%0.3163✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5345-5.26%1.0559-34.81%0.3693✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5439-5.05%1.0204-37.25%0.4024✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5684-5.68%1.0198-38.67%0.3637✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4317-0.53%1.1295-21.53%0.3059✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4875-5.57%1.1386-27.72%0.1979✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3942-5.86%1.2091-18.36%0.0773✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4974-6.22%1.3715-14.10%0.0087✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4227-6.05%1.2982-14.27%0.0265✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4712-6.07%1.3592-13.22%0.0541✓1.00