KSKD
Kaskad · Igra · gru_s2
- token id
- #438
- symbol
- KSKD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Igra
- address
- 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-25
- predictions
- 426
Track record at +1d
assessed
141
of 142 predictions shown
direction hit
45.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0546
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0057
actual -0.0041
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004919 | 0.004863 | -1.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004914 | 0.004862 | -1.07% | 0.004919 | +0.08% | 0.0119 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004922 | 0.004873 | -1.01% | 0.004914 | -0.16% | 0.0105 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004812 | -0.87% | 0.004922 | +1.41% | 0.0247 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00524 | 0.005179 | -1.17% | 0.004854 | -7.37% | 0.0653 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.0054 | 0.005342 | -1.09% | 0.00524 | -2.97% | 0.0173 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.006489 | 0.006385 | -1.61% | 0.0054 | -16.78% | 0.1679 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.007413 | 0.007105 | -4.16% | 0.006489 | -12.46% | 0.0932 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004916 | 0.00485 | -1.34% | 0.007413 | +50.79% | 0.4269 | ✗ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004991 | 0.004912 | -1.57% | 0.004916 | -1.49% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.005084 | 0.005007 | -1.51% | 0.004991 | -1.83% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005203 | 0.005109 | -1.82% | 0.005084 | -2.31% | 0.0161 | ✓ | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005152 | 0.005065 | -1.69% | 0.005203 | +0.99% | 0.0306 | ✗ | -0.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005563 | 0.005422 | -2.54% | 0.005152 | -7.38% | 0.0492 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005154 | 0.004963 | -3.69% | 0.005563 | +7.95% | 0.1182 | ✗ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003492 | 0.003437 | -1.59% | 0.005154 | +47.56% | 0.4023 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.003406 | 0.003356 | -1.48% | 0.003492 | +2.54% | 0.0362 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.003381 | 0.003329 | -1.54% | 0.003406 | +0.74% | 0.0225 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003272 | 0.003224 | -1.48% | 0.003381 | +3.32% | 0.0464 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003436 | 0.003372 | -1.84% | 0.003272 | -4.74% | 0.0277 | ✓ | -0.12 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.003394 | 0.003332 | -1.83% | 0.003436 | +1.22% | 0.0310 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.003457 | 0.003376 | -2.35% | 0.003394 | -1.82% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00302 | 0.002966 | -1.79% | 0.003457 | +14.47% | 0.1561 | ✗ | -0.18 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003004 | 0.00295 | -1.78% | 0.00302 | +0.53% | 0.0231 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003096 | 0.00304 | -1.83% | 0.003004 | -2.99% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.003466 | 0.003383 | -2.38% | 0.003096 | -10.66% | 0.0915 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00388 | 0.003672 | -5.36% | 0.003466 | -10.67% | 0.0576 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002221 | 0.002151 | -3.15% | 0.00388 | +74.70% | 0.5907 | ✗ | -0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001571 | 0.001549 | -1.38% | 0.002221 | +41.37% | 0.3597 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001353 | 0.001341 | -0.86% | 0.001571 | +16.11% | 0.1580 | ✗ | -0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001315 | 0.001306 | -0.72% | 0.001353 | +2.89% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001338 | 0.001328 | -0.74% | 0.001315 | -1.72% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001392 | 0.001378 | -1.03% | 0.001338 | -3.88% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.001368 | 0.001353 | -1.07% | 0.001392 | +1.75% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001328 | 0.001315 | -0.98% | 0.001368 | +3.01% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0013 | 0.001289 | -0.87% | 0.001328 | +2.15% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.001252 | 0.001243 | -0.71% | 0.0013 | +3.83% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00124 | 0.001231 | -0.75% | 0.001252 | +0.97% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.001208 | 0.0012 | -0.66% | 0.00124 | +2.65% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.001195 | -0.72% | 0.001208 | +0.33% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.00118 | -0.57% | 0.001204 | +1.43% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.001178 | 0.001172 | -0.50% | 0.001187 | +0.76% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.00118 | -0.57% | 0.001178 | -0.76% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.001169 | 0.001163 | -0.50% | 0.001187 | +1.54% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.001152 | 0.001147 | -0.45% | 0.001169 | +1.48% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.001171 | 0.001162 | -0.78% | 0.001152 | -1.62% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.001061 | 0.001059 | -0.15% | 0.001171 | +10.42% | 0.1093 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.001063 | 0.001063 | -0.03% | 0.001061 | -0.24% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.001026 | 0.001029 | +0.25% | 0.001063 | +3.61% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00103 | 0.001036 | +0.58% | 0.001026 | -0.39% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.001032 | 0.001037 | +0.48% | 0.00103 | -0.19% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.001081 | 0.001086 | +0.44% | 0.001032 | -4.53% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.001086 | 0.001092 | +0.59% | 0.001081 | -0.46% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.001139 | 0.001145 | +0.49% | 0.001086 | -4.65% | 0.0603 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.0012 | 0.001206 | +0.49% | 0.001139 | -5.08% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.00121 | +0.48% | 0.0012 | -0.33% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.001218 | 0.001226 | +0.66% | 0.001204 | -1.15% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.001322 | 0.001327 | +0.38% | 0.001218 | -7.87% | 0.0976 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.001371 | 0.001374 | +0.25% | 0.001322 | -3.57% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.001323 | 0.001328 | +0.38% | 0.001371 | +3.63% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.001295 | 0.001299 | +0.32% | 0.001323 | +2.16% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.001334 | 0.001337 | +0.24% | 0.001295 | -2.92% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.001455 | 0.001457 | +0.13% | 0.001334 | -8.32% | 0.0750 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.00134 | 0.001338 | -0.17% | 0.001455 | +8.58% | 0.0346 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.001375 | 0.001368 | -0.49% | 0.00134 | -2.55% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.001374 | 0.001366 | -0.61% | 0.001375 | +0.07% | 0.0517 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.001366 | 0.001358 | -0.60% | 0.001374 | +0.59% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001388 | -0.65% | 0.001366 | -2.22% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001388 | -0.65% | 0.001397 | +0.00% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.00142 | -0.73% | 0.001397 | -2.31% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.001419 | -0.75% | 0.00143 | +0.00% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.001488 | 0.001474 | -0.96% | 0.00143 | -3.90% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.001402 | 0.001391 | -0.77% | 0.001488 | +6.13% | 0.0689 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.001393 | 0.001382 | -0.78% | 0.001402 | +0.65% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.001395 | 0.001384 | -0.81% | 0.001393 | -0.14% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.00139 | 0.001379 | -0.80% | 0.001395 | +0.36% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.001413 | 0.001401 | -0.87% | 0.00139 | -1.63% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.001412 | 0.0014 | -0.83% | 0.001413 | +0.07% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.001415 | 0.001403 | -0.86% | 0.001412 | -0.21% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001411 | -0.88% | 0.001415 | -0.63% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.001425 | 0.001413 | -0.85% | 0.001424 | -0.07% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.001416 | 0.001404 | -0.82% | 0.001425 | +0.64% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.001404 | 0.001395 | -0.67% | 0.001416 | +0.85% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001392 | -0.61% | 0.001404 | +0.21% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001413 | -0.78% | 0.001401 | -1.62% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.001476 | 0.001463 | -0.87% | 0.001424 | -3.52% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.001396 | 0.001387 | -0.63% | 0.001476 | +5.73% | 0.0614 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.001373 | 0.001367 | -0.47% | 0.001396 | +1.68% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001302 | -0.37% | 0.001373 | +5.05% | 0.0780 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.001325 | 0.001322 | -0.26% | 0.001307 | -1.36% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.00129 | 0.00129 | -0.03% | 0.001325 | +2.71% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.001261 | 0.001262 | +0.05% | 0.00129 | +2.30% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.001246 | 0.001247 | +0.08% | 0.001261 | +1.20% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.001288 | 0.001288 | -0.00% | 0.001246 | -3.26% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.00157 | 0.001563 | -0.44% | 0.001288 | -17.96% | 0.2177 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.001618 | 0.001612 | -0.38% | 0.00157 | -2.97% | 0.0363 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.001677 | 0.00167 | -0.42% | 0.001618 | -3.52% | 0.0295 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.001787 | 0.001779 | -0.46% | 0.001677 | -6.16% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001737 | -0.27% | 0.001787 | +2.58% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.001788 | 0.00178 | -0.44% | 0.001742 | -2.57% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.001712 | 0.001709 | -0.16% | 0.001788 | +4.44% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.001805 | 0.001807 | +0.12% | 0.001712 | -5.15% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.001932 | 0.001929 | -0.16% | 0.001805 | -6.57% | 0.0328 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.002067 | 0.002061 | -0.29% | 0.001932 | -6.53% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.002167 | 0.002157 | -0.45% | 0.002067 | -4.61% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.001999 | 0.002001 | +0.09% | 0.002167 | +8.40% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.00203 | 0.002035 | +0.23% | 0.001999 | -1.53% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.001974 | 0.00198 | +0.32% | 0.00203 | +2.84% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001995 | +0.37% | 0.001974 | -0.70% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.0021 | 0.002109 | +0.45% | 0.001988 | -5.33% | 0.0688 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.002318 | 0.002327 | +0.39% | 0.0021 | -9.40% | 0.1145 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.00231 | 0.002324 | +0.59% | 0.002318 | +0.35% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.002346 | 0.002364 | +0.78% | 0.00231 | -1.53% | 0.0483 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.002523 | 0.002545 | +0.88% | 0.002346 | -7.02% | 0.1231 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.002781 | 0.002807 | +0.92% | 0.002523 | -9.28% | 0.1522 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.003049 | 0.003071 | +0.71% | 0.002781 | -8.79% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 1.85 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.002636 | 0.002667 | +1.17% | 0.003049 | +15.67% | 0.1147 | ✓ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.002773 | 0.002804 | +1.12% | 0.002636 | -4.94% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.003072 | 0.003102 | +0.98% | 0.002773 | -9.73% | 0.1102 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.003242 | 0.003271 | +0.88% | 0.003072 | -5.24% | 0.0713 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.003936 | 0.003954 | +0.45% | 0.003242 | -17.63% | 0.1641 | ✗ | 1.62 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.006008 | 0.005991 | -0.29% | 0.003936 | -34.49% | 0.3932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.006455 | 0.006424 | -0.48% | 0.006008 | -6.92% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.006542 | 0.006511 | -0.47% | 0.006455 | -1.33% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.006544 | 0.006511 | -0.50% | 0.006542 | -0.03% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.006634 | 0.006601 | -0.50% | 0.006544 | -1.36% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.006546 | 0.006517 | -0.44% | 0.006634 | +1.34% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.006567 | 0.006533 | -0.51% | 0.006546 | -0.32% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.006569 | 0.006534 | -0.55% | 0.006567 | -0.04% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.006596 | 0.006558 | -0.57% | 0.006569 | -0.40% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.006523 | 0.00649 | -0.51% | 0.006596 | +1.12% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.006549 | 0.00652 | -0.44% | 0.006523 | -0.40% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.00655 | 0.006526 | -0.36% | 0.006549 | -0.02% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.006531 | 0.00651 | -0.32% | 0.00655 | +0.29% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.006586 | 0.006576 | -0.15% | 0.006531 | -0.84% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.006576 | 0.006569 | -0.11% | 0.006586 | +0.15% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.006607 | 0.006597 | -0.16% | 0.006576 | -0.47% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.006771 | 0.006758 | -0.20% | 0.006607 | -2.42% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.006585 | 0.006591 | +0.08% | 0.006771 | +2.82% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.006446 | 0.006456 | +0.15% | 0.006585 | +2.16% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.006345 | 0.006347 | +0.03% | 0.006446 | +1.59% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006917 | -0.12% | 0.006345 | -8.38% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 1.00 |