KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s2
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
60.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1977
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0025
actual -0.0587
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003428 | 0.003364 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003486 | 0.003422 | -1.83% | 0.003428 | -1.66% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003508 | -2.02% | 0.003486 | -2.63% | 0.0617 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003128 | -1.15% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002519 | +0.38% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2369 | ✓ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002925 | -0.12% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1864 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002914 | +0.11% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003249 | -0.37% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003043 | +0.15% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.003004 | +0.30% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.0959 | ✓ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003361 | +0.15% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1922 | ✗ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004431 | -1.53% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1740 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003252 | +0.40% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.2858 | ✓ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002999 | +0.83% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003621 | +0.45% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.2073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003311 | +0.71% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005108 | -1.05% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.4137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002451 | -0.22% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7474 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003695 | +0.93% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002385 | -5.95% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.4080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002702 | -5.78% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005061 | +1.73% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006834 | +1.67% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007417 | +1.66% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006798 | +1.78% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.008288 | +1.69% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.2038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011436 | +0.93% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009776 | +1.41% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014219 | +0.20% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3852 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.0152 | -0.07% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.015044 | -0.04% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022244 | -1.05% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021576 | -0.98% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021629 | -1.12% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |