KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s2

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

70.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1552

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0226

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003864	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.003845	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003706	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003536	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003714	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.003902	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.003936	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004012	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004098	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004169	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004361	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004355	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004354	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004256	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004408	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.00451	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004614	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004606	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004573	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004604	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004733	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.004812	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004692	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.00473	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005001	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.004949	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005005	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004865	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.004803	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005019	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.004864	-0.79%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004616	-1.76%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1453	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.00463	-1.88%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1568	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004613	-1.66%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.1987	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004271	-1.02%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1278	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004196	-0.32%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0779	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.00417	+0.80%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0889	✗	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004397	-0.04%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0857	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004482	+0.22%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.1179	✗	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004748	-0.46%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1366	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004822	+0.87%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.1177	✗	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004902	+1.15%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1363	✗	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.006105	-3.35%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.3265	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004848	+1.01%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.1192	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004771	+2.66%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0724	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004933	+3.92%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0840	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.00488	+4.77%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0547	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004912	+5.67%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0749	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004914	+8.35%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0554	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004822	+8.70%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0758	✓	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004928	+9.82%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0710	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.005152	+9.81%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0661	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004951	+11.47%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0792	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.00502	+11.66%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0754	✓	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.00501	+11.76%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0229	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.005226	+12.40%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0549	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.005118	+11.68%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0348	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004966	+11.80%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0496	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.005111	+11.80%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0946	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.005238	+10.54%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.1101	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.005177	+10.21%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.1493	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.005398	+10.12%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.1671	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004953	+6.88%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.1342	✗	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004497	+0.47%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0862	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.004217	-1.68%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.1182	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.004234	-1.59%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.1483	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004344	-1.93%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.2156	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004262	-0.98%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.1628	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.004221	-0.67%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.1222	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004282	-1.57%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0699	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004259	-1.84%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0651	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004329	-2.95%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0565	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004427	-3.76%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1656	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004512	-4.62%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.1186	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004413	-4.48%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1346	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004381	-4.76%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1208	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.00433	-4.63%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1325	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004194	-5.00%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0982	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004218	-5.84%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1566	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004136	-5.58%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1191	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004078	-5.16%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0869	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.00411	-4.41%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0825	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004234	-3.56%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1546	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004279	-3.30%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1368	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004162	-2.07%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0988	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004415	-2.97%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1489	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004365	-2.67%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1411	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004641	-2.81%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1986	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004657	-2.88%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1980	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004654	-3.05%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1265	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004595	-1.72%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0969	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004756	-0.91%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0603	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004858	-0.35%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.1004	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004806	+0.03%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.1040	✗	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004742	+1.00%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.1005	✗	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004847	+1.72%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.1162	✗	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004889	+1.75%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0883	✗	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.00509	+0.30%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1604	✗	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004901	+2.10%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.1223	✗	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.005008	+2.62%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.1224	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.005029	+1.28%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1627	✗	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.005216	+3.19%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.1539	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005576	+2.88%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1943	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005715	+3.16%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1992	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.005197	+5.10%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.1406	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004839	+5.43%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0844	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.005028	+4.97%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.1137	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.00523	+3.57%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1767	✗	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.005193	+3.34%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1535	✗	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.005298	+2.78%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1952	✗	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005246	+2.87%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.2106	✗	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.005186	+2.80%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.2029	✗	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.005124	+3.09%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1897	✗	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.005012	+3.34%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.2040	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.005148	+5.38%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.2401	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.005139	+5.42%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1759	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.005282	+4.08%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.2089	✗	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.005092	+3.09%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.1284	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004944	+2.14%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0859	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005166	+0.61%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.1127	✗	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005273	-1.35%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1429	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005176	-3.35%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.0960	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005304	-1.95%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1169	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005562	-4.43%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1566	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005417	-4.80%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1543	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005098	-4.36%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.0857	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005348	-5.18%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1019	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005385	-5.44%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0406	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005439	-5.66%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1093	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.00545	-5.55%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1032	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005566	-5.51%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.0912	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.005915	-5.81%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1593	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006269	-6.58%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1478	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006394	-5.83%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1747	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.00587	-5.17%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.1891	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005137	-4.69%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1016	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.004961	-4.60%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0353	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004906	-3.05%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0133	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005011	-3.82%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0315	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005424	-7.12%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0426	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006028	-8.80%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1496	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.005921	-9.47%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.0959	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.00654	-10.04%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1589	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006506	-9.96%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1308	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006499	-9.42%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1399	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006533	-9.20%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1429	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006571	-8.99%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1125	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.006978	-9.26%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.1978	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007046	-9.89%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2099	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007411	-10.12%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2102	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007455	-8.30%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.1966	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007677	-8.44%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2398	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.00748	-7.08%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.2109	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.007692	-9.93%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.1673	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007699	-9.85%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.1844	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007627	-9.31%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2413	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007527	-8.32%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.1837	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007703	-6.52%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.2039	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.008198	-5.01%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2574	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008324	-3.77%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2586	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.008554	-5.90%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2483	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008547	-5.45%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1876	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009093	-7.69%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.1906	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009665	-7.15%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2281	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.00967	-5.57%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3175	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009533	-5.89%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4612	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009326	-4.35%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4811	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.009179	-2.24%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4763	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009504	-0.59%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4772	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.009448	+0.51%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3800	✗	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009897	-1.03%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.3015	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.009293	-1.24%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.2828	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.00993	+0.50%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.2716	✗	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.009856	+0.06%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.2855	✗	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.010158	-4.89%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.3299	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.010116	-7.36%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.3237	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010734	-6.74%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3775	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010914	-4.18%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.3291	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011896	-2.81%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.4029	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.014663	-5.64%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.5726	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.022085	-10.55%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.9954	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.013682	-3.24%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.4674	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.009077	-3.12%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0806	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.009087	-5.00%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0800	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.009049	-5.45%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0821	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.008327	-7.79%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0328	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.00918	-5.16%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.1280	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.009435	-2.84%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.1397	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.008016	-6.57%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.00756	-7.35%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007379	-7.88%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1196	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007686	-7.29%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.0992	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.007187	-8.80%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.1864	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007765	-8.54%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1814	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.007911	-8.02%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1394	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007882	-7.92%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1346	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.008083	-7.63%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008323	-7.31%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007899	-8.10%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.007997	-7.87%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008516	-7.08%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.008307	-6.67%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008474	-6.16%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009604	-4.81%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.010001	-4.57%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0463	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010438	-5.46%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.01074	-5.71%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011419	-5.55%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1566	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.011273	-5.27%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0881	✓	1.00