KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s2

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,082

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0611

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual -0.0018

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03884	0.03788	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-21	oos	0.03856	0.037767	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036697	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034725	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.035092	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.035035	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035847	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035663	-0.79%	0.03884	+8.05%	0.0555	✗	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036686	-0.90%	0.03856	+4.16%	0.0145	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.038039	-1.47%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0154	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.037951	-1.23%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0795	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040482	-2.16%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1101	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.039996	-1.91%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1048	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.040607	-1.91%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.1028	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038635	-1.37%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0778	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039724	-2.00%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0484	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.042077	-2.66%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0563	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.042322	-2.66%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0477	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.041609	-2.50%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0289	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.042072	-2.42%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0083	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.04113	-2.27%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0311	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.04053	-2.18%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0058	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.04245	-2.36%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0425	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.042008	-2.14%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0047	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.044409	-2.31%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0502	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.045743	-2.51%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0950	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.046217	-3.33%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0736	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.041015	-2.72%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0205	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.038939	-2.41%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0561	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.037727	-2.03%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1526	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.040608	-2.34%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0874	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.042025	-2.80%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1175	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038988	-2.37%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1440	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038193	-2.37%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1849	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037097	-2.48%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0876	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033413	-1.14%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0844	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032677	-0.71%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0695	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.03272	-0.62%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1156	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034528	-1.02%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1312	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033156	-0.39%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1362	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.034995	-0.61%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0667	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035715	-0.69%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0213	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035134	-0.60%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0365	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036296	-0.64%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0733	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035341	-0.32%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0378	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.035963	-1.50%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0202	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032527	+0.70%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0674	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030982	+1.35%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1597	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029994	+1.88%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2123	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.030523	+2.38%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2060	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028373	+1.42%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2422	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027966	+1.67%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2258	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028476	+2.08%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2440	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027582	+1.82%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1341	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.028163	+1.82%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0681	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028475	+1.55%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0172	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.030196	+2.18%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0208	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028531	+1.79%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0054	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.028055	+1.46%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0103	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029458	+1.11%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0511	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029442	+0.48%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0827	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029179	+0.29%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0635	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029823	+0.43%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0576	✗	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027759	-0.90%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0031	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026584	-1.54%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0306	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024888	-1.51%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0067	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.02526	-1.56%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0225	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025168	-1.38%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0243	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025415	-1.47%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0154	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.025069	-1.38%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0398	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024954	-1.37%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0307	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025186	-1.39%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0125	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025576	-1.44%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0235	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025496	-1.45%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0007	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025572	-1.46%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0191	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026263	-1.53%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0017	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.026073	-1.41%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0049	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025311	-1.21%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0085	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025739	-1.27%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0049	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026069	-1.29%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0011	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025741	-1.22%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0000	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026447	-1.39%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0343	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.0264	-1.38%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0139	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026818	-1.42%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0373	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027201	-1.59%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0548	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.026996	-1.44%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0428	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027542	-1.44%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0442	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027732	-1.40%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0596	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028797	-1.68%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0510	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027671	-1.42%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0166	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.02738	-1.28%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0071	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027638	-1.26%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0035	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.027934	-1.22%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0035	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028269	-1.19%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0165	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028034	-1.17%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0192	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028022	-1.09%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0374	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027535	-0.90%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0245	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027614	-0.96%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0024	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.02787	-1.03%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0094	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028578	-1.11%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0255	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028311	-1.03%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0063	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028128	-0.96%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0271	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.02819	-0.98%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0065	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028972	-1.10%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0545	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029162	-1.11%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0420	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029186	-1.10%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0435	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028957	-1.00%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0346	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028949	-1.00%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0338	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029861	-1.12%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0271	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030552	-1.25%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0727	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031407	-1.36%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0790	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.031	-1.21%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0717	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030636	-1.05%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0608	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030537	-0.95%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0756	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.029095	-0.51%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0624	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.030005	-1.04%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0458	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027654	-0.34%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0577	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.027715	-0.29%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.0976	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.028038	-0.26%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0793	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027567	+0.03%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.0924	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027895	-0.20%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1139	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028691	-0.58%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0772	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.029113	-0.77%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.0940	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028967	-0.66%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0105	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029564	-0.71%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0082	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.02973	-0.64%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0130	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.03021	-0.66%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0505	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031613	-0.99%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0800	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.032125	-1.12%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0701	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032606	-1.25%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0809	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.032027	-1.15%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0684	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.031102	-0.90%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0414	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030781	-0.67%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0277	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030888	-0.65%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0080	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.030303	-0.20%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0191	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.030152	-0.09%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0315	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031867	-0.57%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0021	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.031179	-0.26%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0135	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.030209	+0.73%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0014	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.031098	+0.64%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0291	✗	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029742	+0.65%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0471	✓	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031973	+0.04%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0225	✗	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.028621	+0.64%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1193	✓	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.030244	-0.64%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1509	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030399	-0.98%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1433	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030518	-1.04%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1291	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030724	-0.95%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1469	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030798	-0.95%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0663	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031702	-1.21%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1218	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032157	-1.40%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0250	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033066	-1.73%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0209	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032813	-1.58%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0315	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033267	-1.58%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0465	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033267	-1.40%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0484	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034633	-1.75%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0674	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.03427	-1.65%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0340	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.033194	-1.33%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0083	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034318	-1.53%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0227	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.03349	-1.38%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0003	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033723	-1.35%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0165	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034658	-1.36%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0089	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037038	-1.44%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0165	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036662	-1.55%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0337	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037496	-1.51%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0738	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039608	-1.98%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0862	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038016	-1.69%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0706	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036639	-1.74%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0468	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035868	-1.68%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0104	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034854	-1.49%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0657	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.035975	-1.71%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0582	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.033988	-1.30%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1181	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.032952	-1.28%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1835	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033105	-1.62%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1152	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032665	-1.61%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1101	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032128	-1.57%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1044	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.031962	-1.66%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0559	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032021	-1.64%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0636	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032242	-1.70%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032804	-1.78%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0129	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.033325	-1.72%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0111	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.03301	-1.87%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033068	-1.84%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0226	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033726	-1.66%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.033715	-1.66%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0044	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033551	-2.03%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0222	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034076	-2.19%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0390	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033424	-2.30%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0478	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033567	-2.14%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0223	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035344	-2.26%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0525	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.03331	-2.29%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0102	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032479	-2.14%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0115	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031658	-2.12%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0506	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032357	-2.27%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0557	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030817	-2.14%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0636	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032183	-2.25%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0296	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.03262	-2.36%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0506	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031492	-2.17%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0356	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031276	-2.09%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0104	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032043	-2.25%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030622	-1.93%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0036	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030825	-1.89%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0026	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030674	-1.57%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0086	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030564	-1.34%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0051	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.030879	-1.22%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0271	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.03161	-1.46%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0310	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.03213	-1.50%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0315	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031535	-1.11%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0404	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032501	-1.15%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0783	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.034274	-1.43%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1094	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.034059	-1.22%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.1037	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035459	-1.56%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.0989	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.037772	-2.07%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1190	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035645	-1.70%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0567	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034497	-1.40%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0207	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035832	-1.61%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0575	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035269	-1.37%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0247	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037436	-1.59%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0211	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.036763	-1.41%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0037	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038637	-2.08%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0025	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.035846	-1.20%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0618	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033492	-0.73%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.1037	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030839	-0.52%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2426	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030487	-0.56%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1953	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030344	-0.48%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2329	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030397	-0.47%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2139	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030233	-0.42%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2504	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030121	-0.43%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1260	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029931	-0.43%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0213	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029502	-0.23%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0576	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029525	-0.15%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0247	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030114	-0.15%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0320	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030408	-0.07%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0099	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030745	-0.02%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0260	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030499	-0.13%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0357	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030298	-0.07%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029494	+0.22%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0010	✓	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030188	+0.16%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0259	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030347	+0.26%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0466	✗	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.03136	+0.03%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0891	✗	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030925	+0.03%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0859	✗	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029266	+0.60%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0353	✗	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029853	+0.48%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0638	✗	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030469	+0.19%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0004	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031154	+0.16%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0142	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031232	+0.21%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0099	✓	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.030258	+0.46%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0255	✓	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.031169	+0.40%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0387	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031981	+0.22%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0280	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.0323	+0.16%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0014	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.032155	+0.30%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0335	✗	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033485	+0.12%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0395	✗	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.032283	+0.45%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0197	✗	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031685	+0.92%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0656	✗	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031766	+0.91%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0111	✗	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.031326	+0.89%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0445	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031754	+0.86%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0392	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.034076	+0.64%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0324	✗	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031769	+1.37%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0411	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.032384	+1.23%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0247	✓	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.028171	+4.11%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0405	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.031504	+1.68%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1255	✓	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032456	+1.24%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.0915	✓	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033354	+0.71%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1113	✓	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.031267	+1.88%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2081	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.033573	+1.25%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1161	✓	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.03722	-0.37%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.0971	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.038208	-0.66%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0739	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039212	-1.40%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0557	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039269	-1.31%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0392	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039301	-1.23%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0058	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.03919	-0.99%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0726	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040918	-1.69%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0301	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039603	-1.54%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0290	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039304	-1.42%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0598	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040419	-1.54%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0129	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039708	-1.18%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0111	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041752	-2.15%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0214	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041763	-2.17%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0625	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043222	-2.23%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0593	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.04412	-2.28%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0047	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044524	-2.25%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0122	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046891	-2.29%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0128	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047069	-2.49%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0422	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045205	-2.34%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0810	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.045588	-2.42%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1130	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045407	-2.33%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1078	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045972	-2.23%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1041	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.045956	-2.20%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0859	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047727	-2.28%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1072	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.050213	-2.44%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0722	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.04964	-2.51%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0163	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048059	-2.77%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0156	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.044708	-2.21%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0436	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.045031	-2.17%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0318	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043913	-1.85%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0210	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042263	-1.44%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0680	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043131	-1.69%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0711	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042816	-1.53%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0386	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043755	-1.74%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0493	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.044691	-1.89%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0330	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044154	-1.66%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0115	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.043055	-1.29%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0069	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043952	-1.30%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0224	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044547	-1.27%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0346	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.04591	-1.50%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0257	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046137	-1.54%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0204	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044408	-1.16%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0356	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.042923	-0.76%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0608	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.04068	+0.27%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0356	✓	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041961	-0.02%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0317	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044464	-0.77%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0229	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042854	-0.25%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0423	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043975	-0.69%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0545	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046259	-1.20%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0077	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045848	-0.96%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0165	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047189	-1.17%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0148	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047985	-1.27%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0214	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049233	-1.45%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0016	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051307	-1.60%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0931	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050688	-1.60%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0911	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050282	-1.46%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0908	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051761	-1.43%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1301	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.054202	-1.61%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1354	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055754	-1.74%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1102	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.053697	-1.47%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0988	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051441	-1.00%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0783	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.056266	-1.78%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0890	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055468	-1.54%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0517	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.056881	-1.65%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0483	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.057289	-1.75%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0547	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.056923	-2.08%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0624	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.050104	-0.98%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0060	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.045036	-0.23%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1835	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.040343	+0.82%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.2806	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.038733	+1.69%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2526	✓	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.039303	+1.83%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2713	✓	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.040637	+1.57%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2679	✓	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.042515	+0.64%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3327	✓	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.043437	+0.41%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2655	✓	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042984	+0.70%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1269	✓	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.043632	+0.44%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0642	✓	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.045245	+0.22%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0510	✓	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044747	+0.58%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0468	✓	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.048125	-0.30%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0800	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.04923	-0.51%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0461	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.049128	-0.47%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0699	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.052068	-0.85%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0665	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051745	-0.70%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0277	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.05161	-0.40%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0013	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051904	-0.47%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0150	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050982	-0.17%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0228	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046889	+0.23%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.0972	✓	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.044436	+0.97%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0752	✓	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046779	+0.13%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1268	✓	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051861	-0.55%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1143	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052923	-0.58%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1279	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052575	-0.46%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1120	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.053386	-0.45%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.0931	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057926	-0.91%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0970	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.056056	-0.72%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0165	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056836	-0.79%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0517	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057609	-0.88%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0242	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058175	-1.01%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0570	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.05278	-0.50%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0303	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.051283	-0.31%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0808	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.04932	+0.14%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1212	✓	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051663	-0.07%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0003	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054665	-0.54%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0213	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.052709	-0.08%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0142	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.050764	+0.42%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0598	✓	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.052117	+0.54%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0722	✗	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.053713	+0.34%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0808	✗	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.056895	-0.07%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0816	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.060392	-0.42%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0655	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.064303	-0.86%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0688	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.061312	-0.58%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0318	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.05725	+0.21%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0568	✗	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.05536	+0.09%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0608	✓	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072754	-1.47%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1095	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.073909	-1.44%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0831	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.073849	-1.42%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0788	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077011	-1.42%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0388	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073874	-1.41%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0613	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.075193	-1.53%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1045	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.079114	-1.69%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2228	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.080038	-1.79%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0961	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078397	-1.82%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1115	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.074127	-1.43%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0982	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075787	-1.50%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1212	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.076539	-1.50%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1927	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.075441	-1.16%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1884	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.077132	-1.33%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1556	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.074718	-1.00%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0964	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.077551	-1.52%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0565	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.077109	-1.35%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0593	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.077485	-1.73%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0343	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.079851	-1.89%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0247	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.082468	-1.99%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0312	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082449	-1.88%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0541	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086231	-2.09%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0107	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.