KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s2

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1666

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0008

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.038567	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039835	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038855	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.039256	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.041412	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039772	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.040045	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.040687	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.043752	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.042422	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.048594	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.053042	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.055619	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.035388	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.036256	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.037298	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.037819	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.035342	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035154	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.033946	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034536	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.033022	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032605	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031679	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032272	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033817	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033405	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031786	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030851	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031397	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.03208	-1.88%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.2911	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029535	-2.67%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3194	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029619	-2.89%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3115	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029152	-2.73%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3319	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.028045	-2.62%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3597	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027411	-1.51%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3308	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026735	-1.37%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3398	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028726	-0.84%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3449	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.029157	-0.37%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3642	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.029068	-0.45%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3602	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.029275	+0.09%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4550	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027692	+1.25%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6040	✓	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.030409	+1.13%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6162	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.032268	+1.44%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.0820	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.031795	+2.42%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1121	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.032378	+2.89%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1125	✓	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.031837	+3.13%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1375	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.031399	+3.05%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.0677	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.031497	+3.87%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1144	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.02938	+4.72%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.0840	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.030108	+4.25%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.0756	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.030767	+4.56%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0342	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.029224	+6.04%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.0530	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.030577	+6.06%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.030905	+6.77%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0223	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.033688	+6.24%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0158	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.034294	+4.76%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0578	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.03367	+5.05%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.1027	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.032974	+6.42%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.1161	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.033285	+5.50%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1627	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.033604	+5.13%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1667	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.032493	+8.28%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.1120	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.028051	+6.62%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0355	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.024511	+2.58%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0410	✓	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.022118	+2.85%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1084	✓	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.02358	+3.04%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0060	✓	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.023836	+4.25%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0521	✗	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.024915	+4.38%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0595	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.025637	+4.09%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0560	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.026732	+3.51%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0974	✗	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.027021	+3.17%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.1067	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.027486	+2.37%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1798	✗	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.027228	+2.01%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0900	✗	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.027251	+0.85%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0239	✗	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.027085	-0.53%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0492	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026675	-1.53%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0380	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.026611	-0.33%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0558	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026575	-1.17%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0621	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.026482	-1.32%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0878	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.02632	-0.04%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.1198	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.02643	+0.49%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0967	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025989	+1.60%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0843	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.025774	+2.30%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.1297	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.026611	+1.35%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0943	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.026484	+2.18%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0891	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.026588	+1.91%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0293	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.026334	+2.01%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.030533	+0.89%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0971	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.030106	+0.96%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.1331	✗	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.031594	+0.84%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.1536	✗	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.031991	+2.22%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.1357	✗	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.033016	+2.93%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.2297	✗	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.033769	+2.86%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.3232	✗	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.033169	+2.71%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3743	✗	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.033001	+2.30%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.4283	✗	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.033541	+1.85%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3784	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.033545	+1.64%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3700	✗	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.03421	+0.97%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.3502	✗	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.034058	+0.69%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.3006	✗	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.034109	+0.03%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2572	✗	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.03401	+0.25%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2779	✗	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.035023	+0.05%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2628	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.034779	+0.01%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2666	✗	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.034811	-0.25%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2631	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.03369	+0.24%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.2361	✗	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.033342	+0.35%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.2434	✗	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.033957	+0.29%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2531	✗	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.033912	+0.15%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.2401	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.03514	-0.37%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2759	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.035373	+0.29%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.3004	✗	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.035736	+0.89%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.3196	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.034981	+1.54%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.3299	✗	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.03425	+1.78%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.3451	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034828	-0.24%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3668	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.035568	+1.67%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3679	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.034727	+1.53%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.3474	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.034348	+1.80%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.3383	✗	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.034283	+0.73%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1983	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032919	+0.15%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1624	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.033294	-0.96%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.1046	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035658	-2.61%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1622	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.035924	-3.21%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1407	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.034622	-3.06%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0947	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034936	-3.25%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0908	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035107	-3.21%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0996	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035093	-3.34%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0877	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036139	-3.68%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0839	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036335	-3.70%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0469	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.036302	-3.66%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0513	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036241	-3.63%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0520	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034956	-3.49%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034697	-3.47%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0063	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.034911	-3.56%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0065	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.032956	-2.93%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0250	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034096	-3.41%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0323	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036017	-4.03%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0711	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.034968	-4.07%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0324	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.035052	-4.36%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0755	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.036025	-4.77%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0554	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.038602	-4.85%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0813	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.041414	-5.25%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1378	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.042298	-4.93%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1417	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.045809	-5.18%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1896	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044135	-5.14%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0637	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046022	-5.24%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1279	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046333	-5.06%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1526	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.046295	-5.12%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1705	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045412	-4.29%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1334	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047119	-3.34%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1882	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.048938	-2.61%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1962	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049723	-2.90%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1497	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.050773	-2.90%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1754	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.050613	-3.43%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2129	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.053646	-0.30%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2514	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.052061	+0.95%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.2085	✗	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049908	+0.02%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1667	✗	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.05101	-0.05%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1727	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050934	-0.54%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1751	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046223	+0.73%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0754	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046632	+0.65%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0664	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.04902	+2.57%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1154	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.047613	+0.63%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.1026	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.048623	+2.73%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.1060	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.050526	+4.12%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1788	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.051725	+4.59%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1624	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.050289	+5.07%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.1064	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.051261	+4.74%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1617	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.049471	+5.03%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0908	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.049135	+4.45%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0110	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.049492	+4.99%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0169	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.04856	+5.02%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.0929	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.047497	+4.23%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.0845	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.047656	+4.39%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1072	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.047974	+5.46%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0277	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.047962	+5.57%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.0442	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.047926	+4.30%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.0482	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.049602	+5.03%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0204	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.050563	+5.75%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0241	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.051757	+6.79%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0236	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.052111	+6.73%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0313	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.051659	+6.64%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0023	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.052041	+7.14%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0260	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.051117	+7.00%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.0615	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.050384	+4.18%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0498	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.050497	+3.73%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0006	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.047913	+1.68%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0002	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.050715	+3.13%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0102	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.053373	+3.63%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0456	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.049471	+2.51%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.1147	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.048562	+2.53%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.1036	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.048004	+2.14%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0965	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.049418	+2.90%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.1082	✗	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.047049	+1.06%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.1291	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.048434	+2.03%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.1154	✗	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.048528	+2.04%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.1056	✗	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.047989	+1.77%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.1249	✗	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.047631	+1.68%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0996	✗	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.048702	+1.60%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.1455	✗	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.047215	+0.55%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1829	✗	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.04747	+0.93%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1770	✗	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.048015	+0.83%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.2254	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.049267	+0.43%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2549	✗	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.049331	+0.38%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.2572	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.048472	+1.09%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.2184	✗	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.047227	+1.29%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1641	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.045438	+1.51%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.1300	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.045449	+1.12%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.1245	✗	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.045341	+1.18%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.1189	✗	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.046528	+0.75%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1494	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.04924	+0.43%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1435	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.051331	+1.19%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.1501	✗	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.051978	+0.66%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1844	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.051631	+1.21%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1878	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.050327	+0.08%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1746	✗	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.050797	+0.28%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1524	✗	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.052114	+1.05%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1534	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.052065	+1.00%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1485	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.054266	+1.16%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1437	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.055481	-0.11%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1588	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055641	-0.69%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1602	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054717	-0.07%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1739	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.054438	+0.14%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1783	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053989	-0.17%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1450	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054475	-0.55%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1804	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.0547	-0.73%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1867	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054427	-1.14%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1746	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050302	-0.61%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.1163	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049207	-0.68%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1290	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052498	-1.49%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1393	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.051979	-1.62%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1154	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053104	-1.48%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0467	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054097	-1.55%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0007	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.052638	-2.34%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0421	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.053919	-2.49%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.1043	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.052644	-3.71%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1674	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.053685	-3.36%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1775	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.053776	-3.34%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1812	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.054952	-2.89%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1821	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.055182	-3.29%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1475	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.051215	-3.45%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1322	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.05158	-3.39%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1376	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053598	-3.31%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0896	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.054954	-3.44%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1265	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.054579	-3.37%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0794	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.054039	-3.32%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.1001	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.05475	-3.19%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1342	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.055529	-3.36%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1183	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.056134	-3.48%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0875	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.055241	-3.33%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0837	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.058663	-3.61%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1327	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055646	-3.29%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0853	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054988	-2.91%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.1019	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053827	-2.96%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0661	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052629	-3.04%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0086	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.053513	-3.10%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0273	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.053773	-3.16%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0293	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.053481	-3.07%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0401	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.055165	-3.07%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0228	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.050416	+1.31%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0331	✗	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.056501	-2.74%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0344	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.057049	-3.42%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0396	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.060558	-4.42%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0206	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.052147	-3.54%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2012	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.053397	-3.49%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2318	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.056478	-2.09%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3538	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.056907	-1.35%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3418	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.063107	-3.86%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3322	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.069859	-5.85%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2147	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.068628	-5.01%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2086	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.07327	-5.93%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1498	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.086341	-9.44%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0123	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065915	-8.68%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2371	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051987	-0.62%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.4863	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.051776	-1.14%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.4803	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.0501	-0.79%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5060	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.053545	-1.82%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5283	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.055225	-0.21%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5050	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.059375	+0.23%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4311	✓	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.059779	+0.17%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4162	✓	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.060416	-0.06%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.4499	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.063191	-0.50%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.3873	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.064203	-0.58%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.3928	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.060894	+0.33%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.3424	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.063366	-0.41%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.2435	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.063732	-0.28%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2231	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.065355	-0.58%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2026	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.066482	-0.63%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2021	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.067204	-0.04%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.2837	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.070559	+0.57%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.3512	✓	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.068112	+1.46%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.2783	✓	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.064196	+3.01%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.2440	✓	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.061385	+4.27%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.2727	✓	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.06115	+4.32%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.1438	✓	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.059094	+4.52%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.1385	✓	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.057717	+4.40%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.0658	✓	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.058888	+5.21%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.0545	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.058056	+4.62%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.0845	✓	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.059047	+4.47%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2054	✓	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.060184	+3.91%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.1745	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.057875	+4.01%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3107	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.057767	+4.03%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.4660	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.059701	+3.26%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.1557	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.060316	+3.27%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1786	✗	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.06159	+2.98%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1763	✗	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.061233	+3.14%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1869	✗	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.061935	+3.08%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.2013	✗	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.062417	+3.76%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.2169	✗	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.060532	+9.41%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.1876	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.066771	+6.19%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.2697	✗	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.072559	+2.00%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.3095	✗	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.073718	+3.42%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.3233	✗	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.074977	+1.51%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2686	✗	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.075981	+0.00%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2403	✗	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.074788	+0.08%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1716	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.075614	-1.12%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1319	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.075031	-1.44%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.1068	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.077073	-2.43%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1139	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.076107	-2.45%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1345	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.076032	-2.88%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1352	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.075976	-2.66%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2008	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.075113	-2.41%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2232	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.077458	-3.52%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2492	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.078008	-3.66%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2267	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.076783	-3.25%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2616	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074528	-1.29%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3212	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076114	-2.73%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2710	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.076517	-2.87%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2525	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.07713	-2.93%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2551	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.078674	-3.15%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2417	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.079453	-3.12%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.2972	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080007	-2.13%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3622	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079239	-2.45%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3024	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078263	-1.74%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3049	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.076201	-1.18%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3192	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.074998	-1.32%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3043	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.078107	-2.34%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.2972	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.081058	-2.70%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2313	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083531	-2.67%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2630	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082635	-2.41%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1550	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.085149	-2.36%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0545	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085893	-2.30%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0050	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.08493	-2.04%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0141	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.091401	-2.04%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0026	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.096089	-1.89%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0331	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.097474	-1.47%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0528	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.102737	-1.53%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0503	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.099805	-1.05%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0180	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.099531	-1.36%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0258	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.098306	-0.60%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0078	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.091187	+1.30%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0631	✓	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.092298	+1.14%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.0815	✓	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.086212	+1.12%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.0962	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.092565	-0.19%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.0936	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.102969	-1.14%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0605	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.103509	-1.42%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.0966	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.102081	-1.39%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0578	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100435	-1.49%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0536	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.105455	-1.51%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0370	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.107914	-0.20%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0803	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.111218	+0.86%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.0937	✓	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.112602	+1.30%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1459	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.109258	+1.00%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1131	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.109718	+0.68%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1090	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.109436	+0.87%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1087	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.105292	+0.49%	0.076	-27.46%	0.0837	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.106875	+1.01%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1028	✓	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.109455	+1.87%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.0652	✓	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.107646	+1.27%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0531	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.104506	+1.37%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.0600	✓	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.103819	+1.59%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0427	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.108902	+2.42%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0058	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.113815	+3.27%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0076	✓	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.117157	+3.25%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0029	✓	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.120972	+1.69%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0111	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.115709	+4.14%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.0366	✓	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.11168	+6.13%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.0096	✓	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.109596	+6.23%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.0530	✓	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.139049	-0.07%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.1108	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.143117	-0.07%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1593	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.142125	+0.06%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2435	✗	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.149822	-0.67%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2893	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.14823	-0.85%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3317	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.148832	-1.33%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.3156	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.15137	-2.00%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2592	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.151735	-2.43%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2633	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.151174	-2.69%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2836	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.147757	-2.15%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.3077	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.150329	-1.98%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2915	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.151605	-2.02%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3460	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.148297	-2.27%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3479	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.14982	-2.31%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3551	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.14621	-2.10%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.3322	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.149148	-1.25%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2854	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.148846	-1.30%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2922	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.149269	-1.34%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2906	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.159509	-1.77%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.3296	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.154675	-1.38%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2983	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.154233	-1.61%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2839	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.155614	-2.28%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2849	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.1558	-2.64%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2963	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.