HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · gru_s2

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1155

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0257

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.076731	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.077422	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.077996	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.076933	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.078754	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.078375	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.077113	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.078593	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.078066	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.080497	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.080353	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.086826	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.085567	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.085719	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.084038	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.086285	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.092421	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.094221	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.096405	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.094403	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.094932	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.095353	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.097081	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.095164	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.11085	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.089129	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.08727	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.089208	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.087403	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.085708	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.093243	-5.90%	0.084215	-15.01%	0.0806	✓	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.088893	-4.81%	0.08386	-10.20%	0.0303	✓	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.082068	-5.14%	0.08427	-2.59%	0.0071	✓	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.078287	-3.85%	0.082935	+1.86%	0.0510	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.076561	-3.34%	0.085345	+7.75%	0.0960	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.071467	-4.12%	0.085225	+14.33%	0.1194	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.071045	-3.84%	0.083485	+13.00%	0.1011	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.071209	-4.08%	0.085125	+14.67%	0.1055	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.074801	-3.76%	0.0844	+8.59%	0.0847	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.072219	-3.80%	0.08691	+15.76%	0.1188	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.072243	-3.28%	0.08678	+16.18%	0.1356	✗	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.072363	-2.74%	0.094055	+26.42%	0.1930	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.072483	-3.05%	0.09238	+23.57%	0.1737	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.075051	-1.94%	0.092205	+20.47%	0.1603	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.077579	-1.86%	0.090265	+14.19%	0.1170	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.080435	-1.72%	0.09284	+13.43%	0.0999	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.081046	-0.69%	0.09966	+22.12%	0.1531	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.079907	-0.38%	0.10171	+26.80%	0.1801	✗	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.078584	+0.24%	0.10403	+32.69%	0.2104	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.080471	+1.52%	0.10197	+28.64%	0.2008	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.073928	-0.85%	0.10239	+37.33%	0.2519	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.073879	-0.23%	0.102615	+38.58%	0.2521	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.074607	+1.33%	0.10472	+42.22%	0.2884	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.074034	+0.77%	0.102385	+39.36%	0.2630	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.076598	+1.43%	0.122	+61.55%	0.4115	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.077395	+1.70%	0.09585	+25.95%	0.1458	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.082042	+4.15%	0.093485	+18.68%	0.0891	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.08128	+3.40%	0.095675	+21.71%	0.1121	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.080527	+3.56%	0.09309	+19.71%	0.0875	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.082348	+3.84%	0.09049	+14.11%	0.0418	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.081764	+2.44%	0.099085	+24.14%	0.1093	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.079454	+2.63%	0.093385	+20.62%	0.0687	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.082847	+3.82%	0.086515	+8.41%	0.0153	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.072651	-1.09%	0.08142	+10.85%	0.0356	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.068122	-3.48%	0.07921	+12.23%	0.0381	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.064194	-4.67%	0.07454	+10.69%	0.0276	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.06299	-4.46%	0.07388	+12.06%	0.0380	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.061725	-4.45%	0.074235	+14.91%	0.0503	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.062406	-4.62%	0.077725	+18.79%	0.0631	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.062914	-4.44%	0.075075	+14.03%	0.0324	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.062553	-4.46%	0.074695	+14.09%	0.0330	✓	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.063018	-4.52%	0.0744	+12.73%	0.0215	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.063444	-4.42%	0.07476	+12.62%	0.0270	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.064324	-4.85%	0.076535	+13.22%	0.0254	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.065155	-4.99%	0.07905	+15.27%	0.0526	✗	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.06553	-4.95%	0.081845	+18.72%	0.0762	✗	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.064903	-4.61%	0.08161	+19.94%	0.0658	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.064998	-4.65%	0.08021	+17.66%	0.0439	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.065677	-4.83%	0.0784	+13.61%	0.0154	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.065796	-5.13%	0.07927	+14.30%	0.0019	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.066624	-5.44%	0.07456	+5.82%	0.0425	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.06623	-5.41%	0.07405	+5.76%	0.0458	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.065391	-5.23%	0.07363	+6.71%	0.0576	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.065239	-5.12%	0.07347	+6.85%	0.0475	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.065143	-4.68%	0.07552	+10.51%	0.0064	✓	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.064848	-4.37%	0.0761	+12.23%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.065608	-4.01%	0.07877	+15.25%	0.0004	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.065386	-3.94%	0.07861	+15.48%	0.0119	✓	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.067355	-4.05%	0.07776	+10.77%	0.0016	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.067923	-4.24%	0.0793	+11.80%	0.0120	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.068035	-3.85%	0.07982	+12.80%	0.0030	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.068659	-3.39%	0.07742	+8.93%	0.0181	✓	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.070534	-3.19%	0.0798	+9.53%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.067662	-2.69%	0.07345	+5.64%	0.0061	✓	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.064907	-2.70%	0.07058	+5.80%	0.0361	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.064715	-2.71%	0.06734	+1.23%	0.0398	✗	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.06536	-2.56%	0.06593	-1.71%	0.0126	✓	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.064384	-2.27%	0.0646	-1.94%	0.0165	✓	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.065047	-2.24%	0.06543	-1.67%	0.0153	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.066581	-1.99%	0.06584	-3.08%	0.0099	✓	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.066183	-1.66%	0.06547	-2.72%	0.0082	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.065354	-1.78%	0.066	-0.81%	0.0051	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.066534	-1.54%	0.06638	-1.77%	0.0004	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.067421	-1.49%	0.0676	-1.23%	0.0009	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.06906	-1.79%	0.06858	-2.47%	0.0161	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.068682	-1.74%	0.06894	-1.37%	0.0183	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.068196	-1.61%	0.06804	-1.83%	0.0362	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.069764	-1.57%	0.06817	-3.82%	0.0350	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.072102	-1.66%	0.06901	-5.88%	0.0514	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.07468	-2.11%	0.06935	-9.10%	0.0802	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.075597	-2.08%	0.07046	-8.73%	0.0754	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.07224	-1.47%	0.07002	-4.50%	0.0439	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070053	-1.11%	0.069	-2.60%	0.0317	✓	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.07077	-1.53%	0.06876	-4.33%	0.0676	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.068597	-1.23%	0.06834	-1.60%	0.0856	✓	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.070412	-1.63%	0.06781	-5.27%	0.0863	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.069885	-1.46%	0.06835	-3.62%	0.0789	✓	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.070849	-1.35%	0.06807	-5.22%	0.0882	✓	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070154	-0.95%	0.0702	-0.89%	0.0669	✓	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.072323	-1.41%	0.07093	-3.31%	0.0787	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.074155	-1.82%	0.07076	-6.32%	0.0859	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.075835	-2.12%	0.07107	-8.27%	0.0948	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.076965	-2.14%	0.07286	-7.36%	0.0809	✓	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.076396	-2.06%	0.06953	-10.86%	0.1342	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.078813	-2.24%	0.06671	-17.25%	0.1789	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.078756	-2.11%	0.06652	-17.32%	0.1840	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.078619	-1.96%	0.06708	-16.35%	0.1829	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.079758	-1.81%	0.06588	-18.90%	0.1842	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.079368	-1.50%	0.06654	-17.42%	0.1527	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.08121	-1.61%	0.06793	-17.70%	0.1590	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.079798	-1.68%	0.0673	-17.08%	0.1613	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.077249	-1.32%	0.06654	-15.00%	0.1211	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.076901	-1.21%	0.067575	-13.19%	0.1319	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.07794	-1.54%	0.06844	-13.54%	0.1327	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.076507	-1.43%	0.07032	-9.40%	0.1201	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.077963	-1.90%	0.0699	-12.04%	0.1291	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.07943	-2.30%	0.06931	-14.75%	0.1253	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.079887	-2.51%	0.07088	-13.50%	0.1199	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.077936	-2.18%	0.07332	-7.97%	0.1017	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.078226	-2.64%	0.07629	-5.05%	0.0581	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.080672	-3.64%	0.0772	-7.79%	0.0349	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.081615	-4.12%	0.07332	-13.86%	0.0882	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.082933	-4.45%	0.07084	-18.39%	0.0930	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.087218	-5.43%	0.07187	-22.08%	0.0586	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.090654	-6.03%	0.06945	-28.01%	0.0922	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.089434	-5.85%	0.07158	-24.64%	0.0727	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.092125	-7.02%	0.07092	-28.42%	0.1040	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.085455	-5.98%	0.07182	-20.98%	0.0202	✓	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.081061	-5.24%	0.07083	-17.20%	0.0311	✓	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.081808	-5.37%	0.07336	-15.14%	0.0767	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.083138	-5.58%	0.07553	-14.22%	0.0962	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.083567	-5.40%	0.07748	-12.29%	0.0913	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.08467	-5.49%	0.07865	-12.21%	0.0722	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.083102	-5.37%	0.078	-11.18%	0.0785	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.08465	-5.78%	0.08062	-10.26%	0.1030	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.083716	-5.68%	0.08045	-9.36%	0.1214	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.083648	-5.46%	0.08019	-9.37%	0.1186	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.08502	-5.70%	0.08123	-9.90%	0.0980	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.08499	-5.64%	0.08058	-10.54%	0.0789	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.08619	-5.51%	0.08254	-9.52%	0.0880	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.087825	-5.39%	0.08116	-12.57%	0.0700	✗	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.090186	-5.05%	0.07828	-17.58%	0.0462	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.088263	-5.48%	0.07784	-16.64%	0.0608	✗	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.089263	-4.89%	0.07916	-15.65%	0.0751	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.092431	-4.62%	0.07762	-19.91%	0.0584	✗	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.093362	-4.27%	0.07947	-18.52%	0.0732	✗	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.088768	-4.42%	0.0813	-12.46%	0.1093	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.088406	-4.60%	0.08194	-11.58%	0.1138	✗	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.086458	-4.03%	0.07967	-11.57%	0.1375	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.088596	-3.04%	0.08035	-12.06%	0.1709	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.087597	-2.98%	0.08372	-7.28%	0.1726	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.084948	-3.18%	0.08512	-2.99%	0.2020	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.084231	-3.97%	0.0868	-1.04%	0.1788	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.085152	-3.86%	0.09223	+4.13%	0.1697	✗	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.084933	-3.68%	0.09647	+9.40%	0.1839	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.083537	-4.32%	0.09499	+8.80%	0.1597	✗	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.08459	-4.57%	0.09908	+11.78%	0.1878	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.084937	-4.47%	0.09089	+2.23%	0.1026	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.086212	-3.90%	0.08554	-4.65%	0.0296	✓	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.089111	-3.47%	0.08645	-6.35%	0.0040	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.087585	-4.03%	0.08805	-3.52%	0.0101	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.087419	-3.94%	0.08834	-2.92%	0.0164	✓	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.087851	-3.27%	0.08959	-1.35%	0.0394	✗	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.088146	-2.99%	0.08782	-3.35%	0.0302	✓	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.086746	-4.02%	0.08984	-0.60%	0.0203	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.086011	-4.18%	0.08876	-1.11%	0.0115	✓	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.083259	-4.60%	0.08848	+1.39%	0.0237	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.085553	-3.68%	0.09016	+1.51%	0.0374	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.088268	-2.77%	0.09007	-0.78%	0.0164	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.087185	-3.94%	0.09122	+0.51%	0.0082	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.083824	-3.79%	0.09283	+6.54%	0.0492	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.081763	-3.93%	0.09498	+11.60%	0.0641	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.084148	-4.19%	0.09338	+6.32%	0.0434	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.081006	-4.91%	0.09385	+10.17%	0.0204	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.084262	-4.64%	0.09691	+9.68%	0.0303	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.085672	-4.33%	0.09753	+8.91%	0.0132	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.085412	-4.41%	0.09287	+3.94%	0.0307	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.08508	-4.42%	0.09267	+4.11%	0.0331	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.087448	-4.77%	0.09009	-1.89%	0.0750	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.083174	-4.86%	0.09137	+4.52%	0.0709	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.083831	-4.76%	0.09029	+2.58%	0.0820	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.083669	-4.36%	0.08774	+0.30%	0.1230	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.084187	-4.03%	0.08771	-0.01%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.084476	-4.00%	0.08857	+0.65%	0.1149	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.085044	-3.85%	0.08818	-0.31%	0.1039	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.084473	-3.55%	0.08731	-0.31%	0.0815	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.084115	-3.55%	0.08864	+1.64%	0.0783	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.084841	-3.59%	0.08891	+1.03%	0.1034	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.086442	-3.72%	0.08971	-0.08%	0.1216	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.08606	-3.38%	0.09231	+3.64%	0.1054	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.087952	-3.42%	0.09126	+0.21%	0.0892	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.091588	-3.26%	0.091	-3.88%	0.0925	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.091307	-3.03%	0.09082	-3.55%	0.1137	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.09075	-2.61%	0.09086	-2.49%	0.1011	✓	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.086982	-2.50%	0.09038	+1.31%	0.0849	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.08908	-2.70%	0.08976	-1.96%	0.0926	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.091185	-2.14%	0.08727	-6.34%	0.0919	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.091056	-1.96%	0.08882	-4.37%	0.1083	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.094053	-1.81%	0.09078	-5.23%	0.1186	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.097876	-0.90%	0.09076	-8.10%	0.0930	✓	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.099855	-0.43%	0.08713	-13.12%	0.1356	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.095569	-0.78%	0.08511	-11.64%	0.1353	✓	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.092884	-0.76%	0.08783	-6.16%	0.1027	✓	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.094357	-0.82%	0.08519	-10.46%	0.0994	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.093969	-0.92%	0.08836	-6.83%	0.0994	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.093572	-0.72%	0.08955	-4.99%	0.0857	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.09441	-0.82%	0.08935	-6.14%	0.0827	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.093302	-1.12%	0.08901	-5.67%	0.0879	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.092423	-1.59%	0.09183	-2.23%	0.1006	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.094326	-1.56%	0.08742	-8.77%	0.1017	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.096455	-1.15%	0.08802	-9.80%	0.1057	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.09908	-0.51%	0.08748	-12.16%	0.0673	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.101224	+0.06%	0.08772	-13.29%	0.0526	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096357	-0.63%	0.088	-9.25%	0.0666	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.09747	-0.58%	0.08845	-9.78%	0.0853	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.096044	-0.94%	0.08758	-9.67%	0.1349	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.09908	-1.12%	0.08721	-12.96%	0.1236	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.09898	-1.42%	0.088	-12.36%	0.1193	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.101211	-1.40%	0.08978	-12.54%	0.0993	✓	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.100645	-1.16%	0.08907	-12.53%	0.0935	✓	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094117	-0.96%	0.09107	-4.17%	0.1158	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.094074	-0.89%	0.09467	-0.26%	0.1079	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.097097	-1.11%	0.09416	-4.10%	0.0803	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.098592	-1.18%	0.09318	-6.61%	0.1056	✓	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.09864	-1.01%	0.08921	-10.48%	0.0980	✓	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.096673	-0.94%	0.09155	-6.19%	0.0887	✓	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.097848	-1.23%	0.09318	-5.95%	0.1209	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.100398	-1.60%	0.09288	-8.97%	0.1208	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.100289	-1.33%	0.09579	-5.76%	0.0872	✓	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.099321	-0.96%	0.09876	-1.52%	0.0933	✓	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.102411	-1.38%	0.10029	-3.42%	0.1061	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.097905	-0.89%	0.09632	-2.49%	0.0847	✓	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.092832	-0.29%	0.0936	+0.54%	0.0793	✓	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.089312	+0.32%	0.09514	+6.86%	0.0056	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090746	+0.03%	0.09484	+4.54%	0.0139	✓	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.09198	-0.10%	0.09425	+2.37%	0.0225	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.091251	+0.03%	0.09519	+4.35%	0.0479	✓	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.090049	+0.11%	0.09436	+4.90%	0.0616	✓	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.090984	-0.26%	0.09392	+2.96%	0.1152	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.07898	+1.22%	0.09582	+22.80%	0.1091	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.088759	-0.55%	0.09758	+9.33%	0.1945	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.089757	-0.91%	0.09959	+9.95%	0.2008	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.09179	-1.49%	0.10116	+8.56%	0.2172	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.087769	-0.77%	0.09697	+9.63%	0.2725	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.091405	-1.57%	0.09804	+5.58%	0.2694	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.095751	-2.88%	0.09696	-1.65%	0.3971	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.097594	-3.34%	0.1002	-0.76%	0.3887	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.102638	-4.04%	0.10041	-6.12%	0.4628	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.103779	-3.96%	0.10265	-5.01%	0.4335	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.102303	-3.91%	0.10183	-4.36%	0.3996	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.099586	-3.44%	0.09503	-7.85%	0.4148	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.103838	-4.12%	0.09492	-12.35%	0.4014	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.10501	-3.99%	0.09819	-10.23%	0.3624	✗	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.103791	-3.99%	0.09977	-7.71%	0.3821	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.10437	-4.42%	0.09965	-8.75%	0.3750	✗	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.101237	-4.10%	0.09759	-7.56%	0.3802	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.105587	-4.70%	0.09907	-10.58%	0.4474	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.106604	-4.58%	0.10203	-8.67%	0.4612	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.113497	-4.50%	0.10164	-14.47%	0.3837	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.113654	-4.16%	0.10028	-15.44%	0.3779	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.113266	-3.84%	0.10384	-11.84%	0.3963	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.119035	-3.53%	0.09878	-19.94%	0.3405	✗	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.117422	-3.93%	0.0931	-23.83%	0.3335	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.110197	-4.13%	0.08903	-22.54%	0.2708	✗	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.112209	-4.23%	0.09072	-22.57%	0.2245	✗	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.112912	-4.04%	0.09207	-21.76%	0.1972	✗	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.115686	-3.75%	0.09122	-24.10%	0.1727	✗	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.115964	-3.70%	0.08995	-25.30%	0.1925	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.1189	-3.79%	0.09122	-26.19%	0.1821	✗	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.124247	-3.62%	0.07803	-39.47%	0.2307	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.126389	-4.03%	0.08925	-32.23%	0.0869	✗	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.12072	-3.70%	0.09058	-27.74%	0.0412	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.116718	-3.32%	0.09318	-22.82%	0.0199	✓	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.117634	-3.26%	0.08845	-27.26%	0.0128	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.111514	-2.34%	0.09286	-18.68%	0.0239	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.104782	-1.31%	0.09859	-7.14%	0.0054	✓	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.109499	-1.87%	0.10097	-9.52%	0.0060	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.110487	-1.99%	0.10696	-5.12%	0.0712	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.112735	-2.29%	0.10806	-6.34%	0.0656	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.11282	-2.03%	0.10647	-7.55%	0.0662	✓	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.110148	-1.27%	0.10313	-7.56%	0.0520	✓	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.107783	-0.97%	0.1083	-0.50%	0.0306	✓	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.108185	-0.96%	0.10938	+0.14%	0.0235	✓	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.109278	-1.02%	0.1081	-2.08%	0.0485	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.112561	-1.32%	0.1092	-4.27%	0.0451	✓	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.110851	-0.96%	0.10557	-5.68%	0.0427	✓	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.112809	-0.82%	0.11079	-2.59%	0.0948	✓	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.111683	-0.19%	0.11172	-0.16%	0.0995	✓	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.105439	+0.58%	0.11884	+13.36%	0.0541	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.109908	-0.01%	0.11859	+7.89%	0.0900	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.114047	-0.48%	0.11779	+2.78%	0.1044	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.113829	-0.29%	0.12339	+8.09%	0.1068	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.117418	-0.67%	0.12222	+3.39%	0.0877	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.121921	-0.89%	0.11494	-6.57%	0.0757	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.123093	-0.71%	0.11716	-5.49%	0.0601	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.128728	-0.92%	0.11767	-9.43%	0.0513	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.132861	-1.41%	0.12019	-10.81%	0.0730	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.136894	-1.50%	0.12042	-13.35%	0.0986	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.133012	-1.14%	0.12358	-8.15%	0.0848	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.129972	-0.78%	0.12892	-1.58%	0.0669	✓	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.132597	-1.07%	0.13169	-1.75%	0.0897	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.133138	-0.61%	0.12536	-6.41%	0.0994	✓	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.138649	-0.53%	0.12073	-13.39%	0.1112	✓	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.145074	-0.68%	0.1216	-16.75%	0.1135	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.14361	-0.75%	0.11419	-21.09%	0.1815	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.133136	-0.07%	0.10617	-20.31%	0.2499	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.140554	-0.55%	0.11159	-21.04%	0.1931	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.142699	-0.37%	0.11273	-21.29%	0.1648	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.145145	-0.17%	0.11538	-20.64%	0.1720	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.146713	-0.22%	0.11516	-21.68%	0.1756	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.147596	-0.19%	0.11157	-24.55%	0.2196	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.144979	+0.05%	0.10884	-24.89%	0.2837	✗	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.148165	-0.19%	0.10923	-26.42%	0.2920	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.147568	-0.21%	0.1104	-25.34%	0.3026	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.133344	+1.26%	0.11407	-13.37%	0.2322	✗	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.132563	+1.43%	0.11193	-14.36%	0.2391	✗	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.137519	+0.84%	0.11374	-16.59%	0.2244	✗	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.14478	+0.03%	0.1119	-22.68%	0.1912	✗	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.149702	-0.60%	0.10483	-30.39%	0.2088	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.145457	-0.17%	0.10992	-24.56%	0.1633	✓	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.146098	-0.31%	0.1146	-21.80%	0.1185	✓	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.153206	-0.99%	0.11416	-26.22%	0.1154	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.151895	-0.61%	0.11821	-22.65%	0.1271	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.161924	-1.69%	0.12302	-25.31%	0.0958	✓	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.169853	-2.38%	0.12397	-28.75%	0.1012	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.173014	-2.61%	0.12992	-26.87%	0.0940	✓	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.186486	-3.80%	0.13476	-30.49%	0.0783	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.171888	-2.65%	0.13898	-21.28%	0.0014	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.170928	-2.65%	0.13455	-23.37%	0.0267	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.172097	-2.75%	0.13099	-25.98%	0.0443	✓	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.160302	-1.73%	0.13403	-17.83%	0.0340	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.170607	-2.62%	0.13395	-23.54%	0.0087	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.165076	-2.07%	0.13939	-17.31%	0.0063	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.170584	-2.65%	0.14607	-16.64%	0.0747	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.187273	-3.71%	0.1447	-25.60%	0.0697	✗	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.189082	-3.64%	0.13323	-32.10%	0.0675	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.192833	-4.03%	0.14133	-29.66%	0.0256	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.189214	-3.72%	0.14323	-27.12%	0.0300	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.193523	-3.77%	0.14539	-27.70%	0.0493	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.188945	-2.86%	0.14703	-24.41%	0.1342	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.180358	-2.42%	0.14787	-20.00%	0.2278	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.176143	-2.13%	0.1449	-19.49%	0.3049	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.169537	-1.77%	0.14845	-13.99%	0.3048	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.168501	-1.37%	0.14788	-13.44%	0.3299	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.16363	-0.92%	0.13168	-20.27%	0.2745	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.164664	-0.86%	0.1307	-21.31%	0.2135	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.168448	-1.20%	0.13637	-20.02%	0.2143	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.1722	-1.89%	0.14473	-17.54%	0.1923	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.168407	-1.24%	0.1506	-11.69%	0.1879	✗	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.164608	-0.83%	0.1457	-12.22%	0.1681	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.162298	-0.20%	0.14655	-9.88%	0.1311	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.169245	-0.92%	0.15474	-9.41%	0.1461	✗	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.176264	-1.53%	0.15283	-14.62%	0.1613	✗	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.186145	-2.19%	0.1647	-13.46%	0.1216	✗	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.189446	-2.58%	0.174	-10.52%	0.1589	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.181531	-2.09%	0.17766	-4.18%	0.1913	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.166655	-0.96%	0.19386	+15.21%	0.2342	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.174511	-1.78%	0.17656	-0.63%	0.1613	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.206263	-3.19%	0.17559	-17.59%	0.1585	✗	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.212905	-3.11%	0.17696	-19.47%	0.1398	✗	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.2109	-3.38%	0.16312	-25.27%	0.0864	✗	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.222829	-3.21%	0.1752	-23.90%	0.1090	✗	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.209888	-3.02%	0.16856	-22.11%	0.1534	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.210354	-3.13%	0.17522	-19.31%	0.0811	✗	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.218422	-3.17%	0.19448	-13.78%	0.0765	✗	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.219199	-3.69%	0.19622	-13.78%	0.0656	✗	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.215475	-4.00%	0.20092	-10.48%	0.0854	✗	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.206554	-3.92%	0.19653	-8.59%	0.0547	✗	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.207948	-4.12%	0.2011	-7.28%	0.0448	✗	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.20695	-4.25%	0.19451	-10.00%	0.0750	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.20425	-4.01%	0.18484	-13.14%	0.1827	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.205991	-3.98%	0.17997	-16.11%	0.2262	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.199965	-3.65%	0.17259	-16.84%	0.1974	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.210857	-4.69%	0.17084	-22.78%	0.1666	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.208642	-4.76%	0.16515	-24.61%	0.1969	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.211211	-5.04%	0.1661	-25.32%	0.1412	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.220906	-5.70%	0.1705	-27.22%	0.1284	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.228075	-5.76%	0.17551	-27.48%	0.1626	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.225541	-5.63%	0.17053	-28.65%	0.1435	✓	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.232041	-5.77%	0.16598	-32.59%	0.1417	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.