GRVT

GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #373
symbol: GRVT
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-30
predictions: 225

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 75 predictions shown

direction hit

40.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0375

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0039

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.2669	0.265633	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.25965	0.257804	-0.71%	0.2669	+2.79%	0.0351	✗	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.23295	0.231856	-0.47%	0.25965	+11.46%	0.1119	✗	0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.21595	0.215137	-0.38%	0.23295	+7.87%	0.0798	✗	0.11
2026-10-17	oos	0.21555	0.214933	-0.29%	0.21595	+0.19%	0.0039	✗	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.2179	0.217354	-0.25%	0.21555	-1.08%	0.0082	✓	0.11
2026-10-15	oos	0.2297	0.22902	-0.30%	0.2179	-5.14%	0.0491	✓	0.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.2142	0.213722	-0.22%	0.2297	+7.24%	0.0715	✗	0.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.20665	0.206042	-0.29%	0.2142	+3.65%	0.0409	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.2119	0.211371	-0.25%	0.20665	-2.48%	0.0246	✓	0.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.2314	0.230452	-0.41%	0.2119	-8.43%	0.0827	✓	0.05
2026-10-10	oos	0.234	0.233076	-0.39%	0.2314	-1.11%	0.0077	✓	0.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.22515	0.224315	-0.37%	0.234	+3.93%	0.0420	✗	0.05
2026-10-08	oos	0.2283	0.227468	-0.36%	0.22515	-1.38%	0.0108	✓	0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.223	0.222053	-0.42%	0.2283	+2.38%	0.0292	✗	0.08
2026-10-06	oos	0.2265	0.224932	-0.69%	0.223	-1.55%	0.0069	✓	0.06
2026-10-05	oos	0.22355	0.221946	-0.72%	0.2265	+1.32%	0.0205	✗	0.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.22175	0.220292	-0.66%	0.22355	+0.81%	0.0153	✗	0.07
2026-10-03	oos	0.2159	0.214481	-0.66%	0.22175	+2.71%	0.0322	✗	0.06
2026-10-02	oos	0.2158	0.21458	-0.57%	0.2159	+0.05%	0.0060	✗	0.06
2026-10-01	oos	0.20775	0.207055	-0.33%	0.2158	+3.87%	0.0416	✗	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.2074	0.206801	-0.29%	0.20775	+0.17%	0.0036	✗	0.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.2034	0.202851	-0.27%	0.2074	+1.97%	0.0222	✗	0.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.2057	0.205115	-0.28%	0.2034	-1.12%	0.0085	✓	0.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.2017	0.201166	-0.26%	0.2057	+1.98%	0.0233	✗	0.08
2026-09-26	oos	0.20385	0.203225	-0.31%	0.2017	-1.05%	0.0076	✓	0.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.20935	0.208605	-0.36%	0.20385	-2.63%	0.0234	✓	0.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.2047	0.203995	-0.34%	0.20935	+2.27%	0.0262	✗	0.09
2026-09-23	oos	0.1944	0.193798	-0.31%	0.2047	+5.30%	0.0547	✗	0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.19575	0.195518	-0.12%	0.1944	-0.69%	0.0037	✓	0.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.19225	0.192003	-0.13%	0.19575	+1.82%	0.0198	✗	0.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.1913	0.190141	-0.61%	0.19225	+0.50%	0.0047	✓	0.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.1938	0.192399	-0.72%	0.1913	-1.29%	0.0056	✓	0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.1894	0.187755	-0.87%	0.1938	+2.32%	0.0313	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.1787	0.177658	-0.58%	0.1894	+5.99%	0.0668	✗	-0.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.1675	0.166742	-0.45%	0.1787	+6.69%	0.0694	✗	-0.05
2026-09-15	oos	0.16815	0.167501	-0.39%	0.1675	-0.39%	0.0003	✓	-0.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.1705	0.169475	-0.60%	0.16815	-1.38%	0.0099	✓	-0.06
2026-09-13	oos	0.17025	0.169423	-0.49%	0.1705	+0.15%	0.0075	✗	-0.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.1717	0.170791	-0.53%	0.17025	-0.84%	0.0036	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.17495	0.173918	-0.59%	0.1717	-1.86%	0.0128	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.16865	0.167579	-0.64%	0.17495	+3.74%	0.0438	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.16025	0.15943	-0.51%	0.16865	+5.24%	0.0562	✗	-0.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.1672	0.165772	-0.85%	0.16025	-4.16%	0.0339	✓	-0.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.1687	0.166801	-1.13%	0.1672	-0.89%	0.0023	✓	-0.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1635	0.161646	-1.13%	0.1687	+3.18%	0.0432	✗	0.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.1627	0.160907	-1.10%	0.1635	+0.49%	0.0158	✗	0.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1619	0.160552	-0.83%	0.1627	+0.49%	0.0132	✗	0.04
2026-09-03	oos	0.1622	0.161703	-0.31%	0.1619	-0.18%	0.0022	✓	0.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.1587	0.158501	-0.13%	0.1622	+2.21%	0.0248	✗	-0.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.1504	0.150959	+0.37%	0.1587	+5.52%	0.0500	✓	-0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.1633	0.163774	+0.29%	0.1504	-7.90%	0.0867	✗	-0.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.1744	0.174784	+0.22%	0.1633	-6.36%	0.0670	✗	-0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.1704	0.170866	+0.27%	0.1744	+2.35%	0.0201	✓	-0.05
2026-08-28	oos	0.1649	0.165392	+0.30%	0.1704	+3.34%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.1717	0.172584	+0.51%	0.1649	-3.96%	0.0147	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.1827	0.183731	+0.56%	0.1717	-6.02%	0.0834	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.1968	0.198041	+0.63%	0.1827	-7.16%	0.0870	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.2039	0.205361	+0.72%	0.1968	-3.48%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.2315	0.233059	+0.67%	0.2039	-11.92%	0.1496	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.2462	0.247827	+0.66%	0.2315	-5.97%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.2856	0.287301	+0.60%	0.2462	-13.80%	0.1380	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.2785	0.279976	+0.53%	0.2856	+2.55%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.3042	0.304032	-0.06%	0.2785	-8.45%	0.1399	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.2932	0.291537	-0.57%	0.3042	+3.75%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.2813	0.280097	-0.43%	0.2932	+4.23%	0.0426	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.2828	0.282319	-0.17%	0.2813	-0.53%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.2924	0.291872	-0.18%	0.2828	-3.28%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.3029	0.302415	-0.16%	0.2924	-3.47%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.3229	0.322286	-0.19%	0.3029	-6.19%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.3174	0.316896	-0.16%	0.3229	+1.73%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.3169	0.316303	-0.19%	0.3174	+0.16%	0.0054	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.3277	0.326698	-0.31%	0.3169	-3.30%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.3111	0.309936	-0.37%	0.3277	+5.34%	0.0703	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.2961	0.294839	-0.43%	0.3111	+5.07%	0.0546	✗	1.00