FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s2

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +30d

assessed

242

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

36.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2635

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0175

actual -0.2379

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004379	+2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004366	+2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004384	+2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.00402	+4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003971	+3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.004085	+2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004279	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004322	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004649	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004613	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004524	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004828	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004822	-0.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004768	+0.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004749	+2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005056	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005455	+0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.00555	+0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005323	+2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005346	+1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005321	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.00535	+1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005315	+0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005394	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005323	+1.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005784	+1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006091	+1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006533	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.00642	+0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006342	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007331	+0.65%	0.00429	-41.10%	0.5101	✗	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006926	+0.55%	0.004269	-38.02%	0.4506	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006408	-2.22%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4290	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006563	-1.95%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5416	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006766	-1.80%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5864	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006253	-0.42%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.5157	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005985	+0.63%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.4099	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006156	+1.83%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.4390	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006392	+0.76%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3536	✗	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006523	+1.34%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.4261	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006663	+2.21%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4458	✗	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006666	+3.36%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.4085	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006471	+5.17%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3768	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006715	+3.49%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.4042	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007334	+2.61%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.5024	✗	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007435	+3.60%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4546	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007558	+5.08%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.4038	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007587	+6.17%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.4016	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007703	+7.38%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4833	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007725	+8.52%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.4264	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007829	+11.07%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.5058	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.008063	+13.54%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.5378	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.00836	+14.75%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.5300	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.008262	+15.11%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.5177	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.008631	+14.88%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.5622	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.008652	+15.95%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4972	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.01084	+15.83%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.6311	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.010593	+14.94%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.5393	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.010395	+15.90%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.5494	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.010623	+15.59%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.5784	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.010589	+13.22%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.4672	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.010484	+12.52%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.5249	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010962	+12.93%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.5459	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009634	+7.67%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.4520	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008698	+3.23%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3555	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008146	+0.97%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3944	✗	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008299	+0.29%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4476	✗	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.00855	-0.33%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4817	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008576	-0.16%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4588	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008524	+0.28%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.4264	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008691	+0.16%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.4335	✗	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008725	+0.25%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4585	✗	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008928	-0.06%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.5180	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008893	-0.09%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4751	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.00889	-0.90%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3700	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008803	-0.55%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3623	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008697	-0.36%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3608	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008415	+0.81%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.3341	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008225	+0.62%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.3053	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008256	+1.03%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.3365	✗	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008489	-0.14%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3459	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008371	-0.05%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.3236	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008323	+0.14%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.3176	✗	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008394	+0.78%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.3311	✗	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008289	+1.12%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2650	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008175	+1.34%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2626	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008351	+0.99%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0850	✗	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.00832	+0.96%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0860	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008847	+0.74%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1417	✗	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008753	+1.53%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.1255	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008728	+2.87%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0991	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.009219	+3.53%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.1346	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009604	+4.39%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.1331	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009614	+4.39%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1506	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.009379	+4.25%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1545	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.009251	+3.80%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.1369	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.00933	+3.96%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.1164	✗	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.009217	+2.77%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0601	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009252	+2.03%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0661	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009665	+1.61%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.1094	✗	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009883	+2.62%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.1130	✗	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009389	-0.37%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0887	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009933	+2.70%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.1037	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.010016	+3.28%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.1196	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010317	+3.11%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1482	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009726	+4.88%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.1135	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.00972	+3.92%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.1364	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009539	+5.71%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.1440	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.010262	+3.27%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.2338	✗	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009903	+4.24%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1969	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009981	+4.76%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1645	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.010385	+4.79%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.2263	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009998	+7.82%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1990	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.009942	+11.58%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.2085	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.010402	+13.93%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.3071	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.010628	+14.68%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.3174	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.010373	+16.74%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.2739	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.011448	+10.12%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.3680	✗	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.012055	+5.87%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.3717	✗	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013406	+0.84%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4914	✗	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011939	+1.64%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3811	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011745	-1.84%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3085	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012081	-4.44%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3000	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.011921	-4.08%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3005	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012234	-4.66%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3194	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012021	-3.54%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3139	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012365	-3.66%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3439	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012185	-3.96%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.2997	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012448	-4.36%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.2944	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012526	-4.32%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2558	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.01228	-4.37%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2340	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012182	-4.27%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2289	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011763	-3.83%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.1982	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.011886	-4.24%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2061	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010749	-2.15%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1015	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011161	-2.80%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2018	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.010926	-3.97%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1460	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011162	-4.99%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2129	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011148	-4.33%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1509	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.010729	-4.23%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1508	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.011766	-5.87%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2041	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013053	-6.73%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2624	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012536	-6.47%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2512	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013576	-6.56%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3433	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013062	-5.21%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2388	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013111	-4.66%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2554	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013083	-4.51%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.2892	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013165	-4.40%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1427	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013473	-4.35%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0584	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014107	-4.34%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0545	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014495	-4.28%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1115	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.0145	-4.54%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1082	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.014718	-4.43%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.0968	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015236	-4.24%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1482	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.01611	-2.61%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1710	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015779	-0.69%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1669	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020783	-5.07%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4033	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016447	-2.11%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1878	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016621	-0.79%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1803	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017095	-1.39%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.2043	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017727	-1.72%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2518	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019527	-1.36%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3504	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019405	-2.28%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3777	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.02022	-1.01%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.4036	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020889	-0.71%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5404	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021875	-0.93%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5348	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021656	-0.87%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5492	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021451	-0.44%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.5135	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.020049	+0.58%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4281	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019974	+0.20%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4140	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019774	+0.22%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3060	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019839	-0.03%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.2039	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.019073	-0.23%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2371	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018535	+0.63%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1747	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017824	+1.25%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.2147	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017763	+1.88%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.2312	✗	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017717	+0.85%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2336	✗	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018732	+1.66%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2779	✗	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018972	+1.17%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2659	✗	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019501	+0.06%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2498	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018662	+1.55%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.2048	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.01887	+1.36%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.2119	✗	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.019276	+4.04%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.2073	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.019733	+5.38%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1860	✗	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.020004	+1.32%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.2031	✗	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019421	+0.95%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.2186	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019539	-2.48%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0784	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019905	+0.29%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1840	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.020311	+2.09%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1963	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019309	-0.47%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1433	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018586	-0.16%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0804	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018606	-1.15%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0197	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017765	-0.42%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0534	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016792	+0.04%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.0794	✓	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017332	-0.33%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.0926	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017899	-0.71%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1022	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.01869	-1.50%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0490	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018547	-1.19%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0392	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.01831	-0.55%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0135	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017975	-1.99%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0541	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018723	-1.82%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0971	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017317	-0.80%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0200	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016746	-0.04%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0126	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016916	+0.13%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0622	✗	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016857	+1.35%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0834	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.017024	+1.52%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0785	✗	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.017076	+1.15%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0883	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016803	+1.83%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0414	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.017072	+2.48%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0471	✗	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.017517	+2.92%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0494	✗	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.019067	+4.26%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.1468	✗	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.020428	+4.32%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.1669	✗	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.019501	+5.69%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.1432	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.019989	+4.85%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.1522	✗	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.020233	+5.69%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.1312	✗	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.020121	+3.81%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.1319	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.020383	+3.39%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0591	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.021318	+2.03%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.1449	✗	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021873	+3.34%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1675	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.023923	+5.53%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.2245	✗	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.024898	+4.76%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2901	✗	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.025237	+6.63%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.3100	✗	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.025587	+7.70%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.4011	✗	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.025281	+9.70%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.4071	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.025841	+10.23%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.4287	✗	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.026042	+12.12%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.4034	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.026152	+14.06%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.3444	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.02705	+13.09%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.4010	✗	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.026314	+13.50%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.4373	✗	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.02653	+12.68%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.3910	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.025388	+11.87%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.2985	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.024248	+9.14%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.2781	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.02419	+6.37%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.2875	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.025033	+6.70%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.3706	✗	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.025733	+6.14%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.4253	✗	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.02596	+2.55%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4787	✗	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.027612	+3.85%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4881	✗	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.027871	+2.78%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.5259	✗	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.031432	+4.23%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.6151	✗	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.029328	+5.64%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.5166	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.028369	+0.50%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.5260	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027666	+0.70%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.4662	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.026719	+4.09%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.4257	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.026753	+4.11%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.3940	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.028094	+3.50%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.3809	✗	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.024288	+3.10%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.2616	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.025747	+2.39%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.3435	✗	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.025095	+2.44%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.2293	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.024458	+2.04%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1889	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022589	+2.04%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0889	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.023194	+1.00%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0660	✗	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022634	+2.06%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021943	+4.26%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.021359	+4.51%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.021595	+3.00%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022774	+0.86%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.02341	-0.06%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.024099	+0.82%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025997	-2.53%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.026845	+13.20%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.2000	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025299	-6.16%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026496	-7.03%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1109	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030883	-5.92%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2269	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.030836	-6.85%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.031774	-5.49%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1372	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.035967	-3.35%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.034033	-3.31%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038656	-6.51%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.036441	-6.32%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.0886	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.034186	-5.35%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0526	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.033339	-5.09%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1345	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.035908	-6.59%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0532	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.