FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

48.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1396

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0372

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000374	0.000369924	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.00037465	0.000371225	-0.91%	0.000374	-0.17%	0.0062	✓	0.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000365411	-0.54%	0.00037465	+1.97%	0.0191	✗	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000352884	+0.05%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0359	✓	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000407798	-0.46%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1445	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000431428	-0.86%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0540	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000359061	+0.58%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.1927	✓	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000386215	+0.41%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0759	✗	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000410166	+0.25%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0666	✗	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000330578	+1.22%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2289	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000355658	+1.23%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0986	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000388655	+0.95%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0801	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000377838	+1.26%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0114	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000409141	+1.18%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0956	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000374064	+1.63%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0713	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000509792	+0.75%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3195	✗	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000393647	+1.60%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.2873	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000362728	+1.88%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0695	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000493074	+1.43%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.3143	✗	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000520449	+1.58%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0889	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000522782	+1.76%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000550182	+1.82%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000634397	+1.76%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1758	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.00060184	+2.00%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000757848	+1.68%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2525	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000828417	+1.48%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0937	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000953318	+1.09%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1557	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001038	+0.83%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0995	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000988045	+1.05%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.00115	+0.48%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1623	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001381	-0.56%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1663	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001227	-0.12%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001399	-0.17%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1951	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001725	-0.88%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.2069	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001616	-0.79%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0698	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001697	-1.09%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0987	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000751924	-9.95%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.8224	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001049	-8.78%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2360	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001284	-10.24%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001303	-12.69%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0759	✓	1.00