FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

73.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1328

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000357779	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.00036315	-1.16%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0010	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000350121	-0.73%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0437	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000404341	-1.31%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1360	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000426433	-2.00%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0424	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000354643	-0.66%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2051	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000379953	-1.22%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0595	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000401719	-1.82%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0458	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000326132	-0.14%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2424	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000350992	-0.10%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0853	✓	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000381626	-0.88%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0618	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000372185	-0.26%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0265	✗	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000401722	-0.65%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0773	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000369546	+0.41%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0835	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000491668	-2.83%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.2833	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000386429	-0.26%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3058	✗	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000359687	+1.02%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0779	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000477954	-1.68%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2832	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000505556	-1.33%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000510143	-0.70%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000536729	-0.67%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000620803	-0.42%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000589148	-0.15%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000738547	-0.91%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2267	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000804462	-1.45%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0643	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000924759	-1.94%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001007	-2.19%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0691	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000960042	-1.82%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001117	-2.44%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1328	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001334	-3.94%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001193	-2.82%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1560	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001362	-2.81%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1683	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001645	-5.46%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1596	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.00153	-6.07%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001608	-6.29%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000862957	+3.35%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.6847	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001177	+2.27%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.3504	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001388	-2.96%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001418	-4.98%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0088	✓	1.00