EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s2
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +7d
assessed
25
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
84.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4367
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0336
actual -0.4493
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002394 | -2.87% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002369 | -2.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002739 | -4.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002863 | -4.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.002929 | -3.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002863 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003232 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002745 | +3.73% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.1289 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003516 | +0.21% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.3697 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004138 | -0.28% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3727 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005066 | -3.13% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5018 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.004989 | -1.71% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.4796 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005085 | -1.23% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005477 | -1.97% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.005902 | -5.33% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.7813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.00557 | -6.10% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004394 | +1.60% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004884 | +0.14% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.1016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005397 | +0.29% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006539 | -3.61% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.006793 | -4.77% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.1575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006531 | -0.51% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006859 | -1.03% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008604 | -4.93% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012088 | -6.00% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.012776 | -5.68% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013203 | -5.76% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.012602 | -5.95% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.5746 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.018327 | -6.87% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0169 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016239 | -6.78% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.012647 | -5.26% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.2978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.010514 | -10.41% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 1.00 |