EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s2
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
64.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1327
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0073
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002451 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002415 | -0.36% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0249 | ✗ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002837 | -0.65% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002986 | -0.63% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0413 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.00302 | -0.39% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.0029 | +0.15% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003307 | -0.18% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002685 | +1.44% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.1998 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003533 | +0.68% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2665 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004174 | +0.58% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1962 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005209 | -0.40% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2036 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005082 | +0.12% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005162 | +0.27% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005581 | -0.10% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0912 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006114 | -1.92% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005745 | -3.15% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.1085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004367 | +0.98% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004876 | -0.02% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005405 | +0.43% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006671 | -1.68% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007004 | -1.81% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006563 | -0.03% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006902 | -0.40% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008953 | -1.07% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012679 | -1.41% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013355 | -1.41% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013798 | -1.51% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013173 | -1.70% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019145 | -2.72% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3569 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016932 | -2.80% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1717 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013177 | -1.30% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2838 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011587 | -1.26% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0768 | ✗ | 1.00 |