DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +7d
assessed
57
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
38.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0984
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0039
actual -0.0336
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.201449 | -1.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.204742 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.188608 | -1.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.18476 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.18176 | -0.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.183171 | -0.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.18748 | -0.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189962 | +0.03% | 0.204 | +7.42% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206732 | -0.06% | 0.2083 | +0.70% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230866 | -0.79% | 0.19055 | -18.11% | 0.1927 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.266819 | -1.56% | 0.1862 | -31.30% | 0.3478 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.248841 | -1.25% | 0.18235 | -27.64% | 0.3001 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.231852 | -0.73% | 0.1833 | -21.52% | 0.2276 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219928 | -0.44% | 0.18835 | -14.74% | 0.1580 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.217318 | -0.27% | 0.1899 | -12.85% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.214286 | -0.12% | 0.20685 | -3.59% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213765 | -0.06% | 0.2327 | +8.79% | 0.1162 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214145 | -0.30% | 0.27105 | +26.19% | 0.2577 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212832 | -0.50% | 0.252 | +17.81% | 0.1833 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.213954 | -0.72% | 0.23355 | +8.38% | 0.1031 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.214471 | -0.80% | 0.2209 | +2.17% | 0.0548 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.212489 | -0.64% | 0.2179 | +1.89% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213381 | -0.50% | 0.21455 | +0.05% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210442 | -0.19% | 0.2139 | +1.45% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.22512 | -0.21% | 0.2148 | -4.79% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.23099 | -0.18% | 0.2139 | -7.56% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.22497 | +0.10% | 0.2155 | -4.12% | 0.0461 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.225114 | +0.41% | 0.2162 | -3.57% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.221427 | +0.51% | 0.21385 | -2.93% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.222232 | +0.63% | 0.21445 | -2.90% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.220053 | +0.34% | 0.21085 | -3.85% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.212035 | +0.02% | 0.2256 | +6.42% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.215529 | -0.17% | 0.2314 | +7.18% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.211681 | -0.41% | 0.22475 | +5.74% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.200609 | -0.98% | 0.2242 | +10.66% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196097 | -0.46% | 0.2203 | +11.83% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199804 | -0.10% | 0.22085 | +10.42% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.213846 | +0.19% | 0.2193 | +2.74% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.217334 | +0.34% | 0.212 | -2.12% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.217402 | +0.84% | 0.2159 | +0.14% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.214497 | +1.59% | 0.21255 | +0.66% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.204108 | +2.41% | 0.2026 | +1.66% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.211189 | +2.77% | 0.197 | -4.14% | 0.0528 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.224943 | +2.36% | 0.2 | -8.99% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.238493 | +2.07% | 0.21345 | -8.65% | 0.0993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.247774 | +2.11% | 0.2166 | -10.74% | 0.0894 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.25107 | +1.77% | 0.2156 | -12.61% | 0.1196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.245976 | +1.50% | 0.21115 | -12.87% | 0.1212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.243681 | +0.92% | 0.1993 | -17.46% | 0.1411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.238071 | +0.64% | 0.2055 | -13.13% | 0.1597 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.258351 | +0.25% | 0.21975 | -14.73% | 0.1753 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.274514 | +0.67% | 0.23365 | -14.32% | 0.1679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.307847 | +0.57% | 0.24265 | -20.73% | 0.2718 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.284428 | +0.95% | 0.2467 | -12.44% | 0.1625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.263617 | +1.14% | 0.24235 | -7.02% | 0.1074 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.243119 | +1.94% | 0.24145 | +1.24% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.240767 | +2.02% | 0.23655 | +0.23% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.25109 | +1.86% | 0.2577 | +4.54% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.235352 | +1.64% | 0.2727 | +17.77% | 0.1526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.228168 | +1.43% | 0.3061 | +36.07% | 0.2947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.235523 | +1.17% | 0.28175 | +21.03% | 0.1640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.255372 | +0.84% | 0.26065 | +2.92% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.237678 | +1.01% | 0.2385 | +1.36% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.247948 | -2.80% | 0.236 | -7.49% | 0.1807 | ✓ | 1.00 |