DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
42.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0380
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0001
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.202969 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.206903 | -0.67% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.190101 | -0.24% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0821 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.186101 | -0.05% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.18254 | +0.10% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.18364 | +0.19% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.1887 | +0.19% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.190327 | +0.22% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206979 | +0.06% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0738 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.232291 | -0.18% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1277 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.269337 | -0.63% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1323 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.250956 | -0.41% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.232981 | -0.24% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0759 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.220526 | -0.17% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0515 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.217501 | -0.18% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0270 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213627 | -0.43% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212739 | -0.54% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214074 | -0.34% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213136 | -0.36% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.215102 | -0.18% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.216137 | -0.03% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.213871 | +0.01% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.214495 | +0.02% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210907 | +0.03% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.225351 | -0.11% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.231047 | -0.15% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.224543 | -0.09% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0276 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.224152 | -0.02% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.220308 | +0.00% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.220809 | -0.02% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.219117 | -0.08% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211962 | -0.02% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.215753 | -0.07% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.212286 | -0.12% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.202295 | -0.15% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196984 | -0.01% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.200189 | +0.09% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.213643 | +0.09% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0470 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.216862 | +0.12% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.216028 | +0.20% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.211907 | +0.36% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.200501 | +0.60% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.206582 | +0.53% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.220293 | +0.25% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233683 | +0.01% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0533 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242656 | +0.00% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.24665 | -0.02% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.242566 | +0.09% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.241969 | +0.22% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.23678 | +0.10% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.257842 | +0.06% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.273007 | +0.11% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0428 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.306121 | +0.01% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281976 | +0.08% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0894 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.260904 | +0.10% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0718 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.239091 | +0.25% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1172 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.236635 | +0.27% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.247076 | +0.23% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.232177 | +0.27% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.225579 | +0.28% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.233436 | +0.27% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.253949 | +0.28% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.235693 | +0.17% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.25337 | -0.68% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1262 | ✓ | 1.00 |