BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 486

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

155

of 162 predictions shown

direction hit

52.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1719

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0018

actual -0.1407

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005617	+1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005752	+1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005848	+1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.006088	+1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006825	+0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007214	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.007307	+0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008211	+0.02%	0.005555	-32.34%	0.4009	✗	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008603	+0.04%	0.00565	-34.30%	0.4188	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010328	-0.50%	0.005755	-44.56%	0.5859	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009835	-0.20%	0.006	-39.12%	0.4824	✓	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.00992	+0.20%	0.006795	-31.36%	0.3705	✗	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009458	+0.94%	0.007205	-23.11%	0.2670	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009741	+1.04%	0.007285	-24.43%	0.2925	✗	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.0112	+0.26%	0.00821	-26.50%	0.3037	✗	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010988	+0.12%	0.0086	-21.64%	0.2344	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.01137	-0.70%	0.01038	-9.34%	0.0725	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.010992	-2.64%	0.009855	-12.71%	0.0953	✓	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.010999	-0.73%	0.0099	-10.65%	0.0963	✓	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.010975	-0.68%	0.00937	-15.20%	0.1484	✓	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.01143	-0.91%	0.00964	-16.43%	0.1548	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011576	+0.10%	0.01117	-3.42%	0.0345	✗	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011445	+0.39%	0.010975	-3.73%	0.0511	✗	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.01158	+0.87%	0.01145	-0.26%	0.0221	✗	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.01258	+1.13%	0.01129	-9.24%	0.1209	✗	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013371	+1.41%	0.01108	-15.97%	0.1902	✗	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013487	+1.63%	0.01105	-16.73%	0.2019	✗	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013786	+1.89%	0.011535	-14.75%	0.1812	✗	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012559	+2.27%	0.011565	-5.82%	0.0771	✗	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.014345	+2.32%	0.0114	-18.69%	0.2143	✗	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.014259	+2.28%	0.01148	-17.65%	0.1949	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013933	+1.33%	0.01244	-9.53%	0.1395	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014437	+1.17%	0.013185	-7.60%	0.1156	✗	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.014179	+0.95%	0.01327	-5.52%	0.0903	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.01374	-0.65%	0.01353	-2.17%	0.0766	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012816	-0.27%	0.01228	-4.44%	0.1037	✓	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012505	+0.20%	0.01402	+12.34%	0.0368	✓	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012731	+0.45%	0.01394	+9.98%	0.0279	✓	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.01276	+0.87%	0.01375	+8.70%	0.0410	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013484	+0.81%	0.01427	+6.69%	0.0268	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.014143	+0.88%	0.014045	+0.18%	0.0351	✗	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012972	+2.75%	0.01383	+9.54%	0.0655	✓	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013751	+2.69%	0.01285	-4.03%	0.0523	✗	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014863	+2.89%	0.01248	-13.60%	0.1508	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015669	+3.36%	0.012675	-16.39%	0.2044	✗	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.01595	+4.39%	0.01265	-17.21%	0.2033	✗	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.016259	+4.83%	0.013375	-13.77%	0.1743	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.01645	+5.18%	0.01402	-10.36%	0.1389	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.017604	+5.41%	0.012625	-24.40%	0.2945	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.017282	+5.25%	0.01339	-18.45%	0.2631	✗	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.019079	+4.60%	0.014445	-20.81%	0.2870	✗	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.020026	+3.76%	0.01516	-21.45%	0.2819	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.019293	+2.62%	0.01528	-18.72%	0.2519	✗	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.020002	+1.20%	0.01551	-21.53%	0.2634	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020276	+0.43%	0.01564	-22.54%	0.2699	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020417	+0.48%	0.0167	-17.81%	0.2066	✗	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020163	-0.04%	0.01642	-18.59%	0.1950	✓	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019409	-0.42%	0.01824	-6.41%	0.0558	✓	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020227	-1.07%	0.0193	-5.60%	0.0443	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.020754	-1.83%	0.0188	-11.07%	0.0985	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020305	-2.15%	0.019765	-4.75%	0.0338	✓	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.020885	-2.32%	0.02019	-5.57%	0.0309	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019659	-1.26%	0.02032	+2.06%	0.0059	✓	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.019981	-0.49%	0.02017	+0.45%	0.0296	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019147	-0.80%	0.01949	+0.98%	0.0214	✓	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.019978	-0.95%	0.020445	+1.36%	0.0008	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.020417	+0.48%	0.02114	+4.04%	0.0132	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.021038	+0.37%	0.02075	-1.00%	0.0344	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021786	+0.72%	0.02138	-1.16%	0.0356	✗	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022972	-0.12%	0.01991	-13.43%	0.1613	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.023074	-0.05%	0.02008	-13.02%	0.1613	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024749	-0.97%	0.0193	-22.77%	0.2554	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.024981	-0.75%	0.02017	-19.86%	0.2173	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024494	-0.11%	0.02032	-17.13%	0.1787	✓	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024937	-0.01%	0.02096	-15.96%	0.1667	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024301	+0.75%	0.02163	-10.32%	0.1097	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.024101	+0.80%	0.023	-3.81%	0.0430	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.024329	+1.03%	0.023085	-4.13%	0.0463	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023413	+1.33%	0.02499	+8.16%	0.0679	✓	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023546	+1.32%	0.02517	+8.30%	0.0632	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.024201	+1.26%	0.02452	+2.59%	0.0036	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024732	+1.11%	0.02494	+1.96%	0.0071	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.02429	+1.84%	0.02412	+1.13%	0.0218	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024789	+2.73%	0.02391	-0.91%	0.0328	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.024029	+2.73%	0.02408	+2.95%	0.0028	✓	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.024336	+2.51%	0.023105	-2.67%	0.0533	✗	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.023207	+2.59%	0.02324	+2.74%	0.0030	✓	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.025463	+1.53%	0.0239	-4.70%	0.0527	✗	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.026967	+1.15%	0.02446	-8.25%	0.0877	✗	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028783	+0.22%	0.02385	-16.96%	0.1795	✗	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.030106	-4.12%	0.02413	-23.15%	0.2193	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024695	-0.70%	0.02339	-5.95%	0.0371	✓	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.024602	-3.45%	0.02374	-6.83%	0.0148	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023985	-0.19%	0.02262	-5.87%	0.0477	✓	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.024767	-1.60%	0.02508	-0.36%	0.0077	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.024488	-2.59%	0.02666	+6.05%	0.0887	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023483	+1.05%	0.02872	+23.58%	0.2001	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.02646	-0.45%	0.0314	+18.13%	0.1622	✗	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034589	+1.08%	0.02487	-27.32%	0.3371	✗	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041759	+0.57%	0.02548	-38.63%	0.5018	✗	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.054878	-8.20%	0.02403	-59.80%	0.8747	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.048397	-2.17%	0.02517	-49.12%	0.6718	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.040808	-0.25%	0.02514	-38.55%	0.5037	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039295	+0.06%	0.02324	-40.82%	0.5208	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037802	-0.05%	0.02658	-29.72%	0.3635	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037443	-0.28%	0.03422	-8.87%	0.1372	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039688	-0.58%	0.04152	+4.01%	0.0144	✗	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042407	-1.13%	0.05978	+39.38%	0.3754	✗	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.041945	-1.24%	0.04947	+16.48%	0.1621	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.040654	-1.53%	0.04091	-0.91%	0.0063	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.040378	-1.85%	0.03927	-4.55%	0.0573	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.043164	-4.42%	0.03782	-16.25%	0.1667	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.041373	-4.56%	0.03755	-13.38%	0.1441	✓	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.042546	-4.41%	0.03992	-10.31%	0.1705	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.052453	-4.67%	0.04289	-22.05%	0.2724	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.042889	-2.46%	0.04247	-3.41%	0.0750	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039272	+0.47%	0.041285	+5.62%	0.0008	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.041611	+1.71%	0.04114	+0.56%	0.0525	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.042273	+2.28%	0.04516	+9.27%	0.0364	✓	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.045933	+2.01%	0.04335	-3.73%	0.0417	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.05139	+1.32%	0.04451	-12.24%	0.0865	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.056567	+0.79%	0.05502	-1.97%	0.0189	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.058199	+0.62%	0.04397	-23.98%	0.2311	✗	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.056534	+0.68%	0.03909	-30.38%	0.3120	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.059014	+0.60%	0.04091	-30.26%	0.3169	✗	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063938	+0.34%	0.04133	-35.14%	0.3864	✗	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.066309	+0.13%	0.04503	-32.00%	0.3354	✗	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067909	-0.02%	0.05072	-25.32%	0.2493	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.070175	-0.22%	0.056125	-20.20%	0.1911	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073531	-0.37%	0.05784	-21.63%	0.2032	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072801	-0.25%	0.05615	-23.06%	0.2565	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.07323	-0.23%	0.05866	-20.08%	0.2208	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069587	-0.08%	0.06372	-8.50%	0.0770	✓	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.063506	+0.64%	0.06622	+4.94%	0.0005	✓	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070389	-0.30%	0.06792	-3.80%	0.0924	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.06939	-0.62%	0.07033	+0.73%	0.0329	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.073111	-1.67%	0.0738	-0.74%	0.0260	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.070095	-2.94%	0.07298	+1.05%	0.0204	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.067613	-3.41%	0.0734	+4.86%	0.0396	✗	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.070629	-4.06%	0.06964	-5.41%	0.0104	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.081361	-6.14%	0.0631	-27.20%	0.2114	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.07858	-3.91%	0.0706	-13.67%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.086394	-2.42%	0.06982	-21.14%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.079512	-1.21%	0.07435	-7.63%	0.0833	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073575	-0.06%	0.07222	-1.90%	0.1740	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.071049	+0.69%	0.07	-0.79%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.084101	+0.19%	0.07362	-12.29%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.080144	+1.50%	0.08668	+9.78%	0.2272	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.092075	+1.40%	0.08178	-9.93%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.091085	+2.48%	0.08854	-0.38%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.113239	+0.50%	0.08049	-28.56%	0.2962	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.099243	+1.56%	0.07362	-24.66%	0.2604	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.090316	+2.70%	0.07056	-19.76%	0.2189	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.080372	+5.75%	0.08394	+10.45%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.09067	+5.55%	0.07896	-8.08%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.116136	+3.76%	0.0908	-18.88%	0.2338	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.153497	+0.85%	0.08888	-41.60%	0.5504	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.157076	+0.27%	0.11267	-28.08%	0.3267	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.143494	+0.15%	0.09772	-31.80%	0.3654	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.169119	-2.69%	0.08794	-49.40%	0.6071	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.201779	-3.20%	0.076	-63.54%	0.9319	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.177473	-3.07%	0.0859	-53.09%	0.7025	✓	1.00