BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 486

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

161

of 162 predictions shown

direction hit

49.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0632

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0007

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005569	+0.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005672	+0.38%	0.005555	-1.68%	0.0188	✗	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005777	+0.38%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0309	✗	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.006019	+0.31%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0434	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006799	+0.05%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1303	✗	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007203	-0.02%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0574	✓	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.007286	+0.01%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0056	✗	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008203	-0.09%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1237	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008587	-0.15%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0294	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010351	-0.28%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.2008	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009829	-0.26%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0682	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009889	-0.11%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0073	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009379	+0.10%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0523	✓	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009655	+0.16%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0340	✗	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.011159	-0.10%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1400	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010906	-0.63%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0339	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011314	-1.18%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0295	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011132	-1.40%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0318	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.010977	-0.93%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0197	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.011	-0.45%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0061	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011533	-0.02%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0411	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011583	+0.15%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0099	✗	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.01143	+0.26%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0121	✓	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011516	+0.31%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0110	✗	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012475	+0.29%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0768	✗	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013223	+0.29%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0614	✗	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013311	+0.31%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0116	✗	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013576	+0.34%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0210	✗	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012334	+0.44%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.0925	✓	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.014071	+0.36%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1252	✗	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013984	+0.32%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0053	✓	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013778	+0.20%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0307	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014293	+0.16%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0382	✗	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.014062	+0.12%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0119	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013794	-0.26%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0172	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012832	-0.14%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0733	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.01248	+0.00%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0248	✓	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012679	+0.03%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.01267	+0.16%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0105	✗	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013395	+0.15%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0536	✗	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.014042	+0.15%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0491	✗	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012713	+0.69%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.0928	✓	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013471	+0.61%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0523	✗	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014538	+0.65%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0809	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015267	+0.71%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0500	✗	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.01542	+0.92%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0071	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.015662	+0.98%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0287	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015802	+1.04%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0200	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.016866	+1.00%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0630	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016573	+0.93%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0240	✗	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018359	+0.65%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1109	✗	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019413	+0.59%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0546	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.018906	+0.56%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0143	✓	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.019849	+0.42%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0510	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020244	+0.27%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0262	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020357	+0.18%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0060	✓	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020188	+0.09%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0008	✓	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019507	+0.09%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0306	✓	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020417	-0.14%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0436	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021063	-0.36%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0375	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020673	-0.37%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0184	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021284	-0.45%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0178	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019901	-0.05%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0428	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.019997	-0.41%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0199	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019132	-0.87%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0344	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.019983	-0.93%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0351	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.020279	-0.20%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0080	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020919	-0.20%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0288	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021643	+0.06%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0321	✗	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022989	-0.05%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0600	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.023095	+0.04%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0042	✗	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024966	-0.10%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0776	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.025138	-0.13%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0036	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024499	-0.08%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0308	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024906	-0.14%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0154	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024112	-0.03%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0337	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023904	-0.03%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0063	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.024083	+0.01%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0055	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023128	+0.10%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0375	✓	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.02327	+0.13%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0118	✗	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023929	+0.12%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0290	✗	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024483	+0.09%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0294	✗	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023906	+0.23%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0234	✓	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024207	+0.32%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0010	✓	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.023471	+0.35%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0219	✓	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023813	+0.31%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0183	✗	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022701	+0.36%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0437	✓	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.025093	+0.05%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0943	✗	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.026652	-0.03%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0674	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028606	-0.40%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0719	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.030351	-3.34%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0494	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024563	-1.23%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2536	✗	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025028	-1.77%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0030	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023843	-0.78%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0572	✗	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.02509	-0.32%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0471	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.025324	+0.73%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0052	✓	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023499	+1.11%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0615	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026802	+0.84%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1435	✗	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034309	+0.26%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2501	✗	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041537	+0.04%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1924	✗	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.058596	-1.98%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.3897	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.048952	-1.05%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2287	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.040813	-0.24%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1930	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039203	-0.17%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0494	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.03774	-0.21%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0218	✗	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037433	-0.31%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0078	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039739	-0.45%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0362	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042575	-0.73%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0520	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042129	-0.80%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0102	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.040878	-0.99%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0291	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.040692	-1.09%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0040	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.044674	-1.08%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1037	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.043146	-0.47%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0139	✗	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044094	-0.93%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0499	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.054063	-1.74%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1627	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.043974	+0.01%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2129	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039358	+0.68%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1185	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.041151	+0.59%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0503	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.041537	+0.50%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0203	✗	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.045187	+0.35%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0690	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.05081	+0.18%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0982	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.056166	+0.07%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0862	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.057841	+0.00%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0391	✗	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.056183	+0.06%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0418	✓	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.058667	+0.01%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0542	✗	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063655	-0.10%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0908	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.066153	-0.10%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0145	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067847	-0.11%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0077	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.070218	-0.16%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0242	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073631	-0.23%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0542	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072795	-0.25%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.073168	-0.32%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0171	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069453	-0.27%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0557	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.063	-0.16%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0701	✗	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070247	-0.50%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1037	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.069459	-0.52%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0369	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.073685	-0.89%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0503	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.07103	-1.65%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0037	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.068793	-1.72%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0518	✗	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.07252	-1.49%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0077	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.084863	-2.10%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1383	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.080631	-1.40%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.1124	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.087912	-0.71%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.080264	-0.28%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1293	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073664	+0.06%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0913	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.070762	+0.29%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.084057	+0.14%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1730	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.079418	+0.58%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.091384	+0.64%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1260	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.089736	+0.96%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0304	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.11282	+0.13%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2421	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.098285	+0.58%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.088861	+1.05%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.0792	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.077707	+2.25%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1512	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.087732	+2.13%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1445	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.113495	+1.40%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2878	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.152609	+0.27%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.3077	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.156916	+0.17%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.143551	+0.19%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.172958	-0.48%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1761	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.206711	-0.83%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1482	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.18153	-0.86%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1159	✗	1.00