BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s2
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
51.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2757
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0217
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007605 | -1.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007565 | -1.50% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007106 | -0.27% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006721 | +0.47% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008181 | -0.71% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2312 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009052 | -1.49% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011508 | -2.45% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1967 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008322 | -1.00% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3244 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012439 | -1.53% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3354 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012406 | -1.66% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.016028 | -2.34% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2160 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012112 | -1.80% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.2946 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.01187 | -2.03% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.014054 | -3.27% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008568 | -2.06% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009247 | -2.60% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007887 | -2.73% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1879 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.01184 | -4.59% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003639 | -2.51% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2063 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002837 | -2.18% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2716 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004148 | -3.11% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3539 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002682 | -2.49% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4524 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003941 | -3.10% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003088 | -3.28% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2733 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002829 | -3.89% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001681 | -3.51% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.00194 | -3.86% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001106 | -0.69% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6043 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001261 | -0.65% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001947 | -1.30% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4069 | ✓ | 1.00 |