ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

40.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1018

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0111

actual +0.0347

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179824	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180079	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.182864	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183685	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182402	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.178255	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.182019	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184078	-0.43%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0203	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.182593	+0.33%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0120	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.179763	-0.41%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0211	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.185839	+0.43%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0086	✗	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.185375	+0.20%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0136	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182717	+0.15%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0253	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.185861	-0.82%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0202	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.186128	+0.61%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0064	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.19413	+2.00%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0648	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.184228	+3.50%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0194	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.196844	+1.68%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0621	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194903	+0.11%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0523	✗	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.200147	-1.00%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0928	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.195962	-1.01%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0448	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.197527	-1.63%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0655	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.195846	-1.00%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0296	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195329	-0.04%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0938	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.203946	+0.66%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0499	✗	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.223837	+0.49%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1391	✗	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.230118	+0.50%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1290	✗	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.235028	+0.57%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1711	✗	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.243865	+0.31%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1953	✗	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.236023	-0.95%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1788	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.242927	-1.99%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2230	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.247365	+0.27%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1939	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.233234	+0.86%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0407	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.234429	+1.21%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0180	✗	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.234992	+0.98%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0090	✓	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.235869	+1.01%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0456	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.244028	+0.73%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0115	✗	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.245027	+1.78%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0195	✓	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.243951	+1.60%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0154	✓	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.245266	+1.98%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0551	✗	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.253124	+1.77%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0854	✗	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.254114	+1.37%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0882	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.250978	+2.69%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0739	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.252519	+2.92%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0415	✗	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.250513	+3.15%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0398	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.250476	+2.24%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0458	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.25017	+1.75%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0424	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.256006	+1.20%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0312	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.264385	+1.16%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0588	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.258393	+1.28%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0550	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.267001	+0.76%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0834	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.256418	+1.40%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0534	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.262702	+1.20%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0609	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.246055	+2.47%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0037	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.240009	+2.82%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0577	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.248211	+2.55%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0547	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.25252	+1.66%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0048	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.248321	+0.83%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0614	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251444	-0.01%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0041	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.25374	+0.04%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0226	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.26033	+0.68%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0769	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.256164	+0.92%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0946	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.25399	+2.09%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0176	✓	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.251495	-0.15%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0312	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.251152	-2.47%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0426	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.256141	-2.63%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0515	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.25927	-0.98%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0536	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.260359	-0.93%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0665	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.266285	-1.06%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0255	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.262564	-1.08%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0049	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.255611	-0.79%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0406	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.262661	-1.30%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0103	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.255335	-1.20%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0336	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.254307	-1.47%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0125	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.257793	-1.89%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0030	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.252944	-2.11%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0442	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.255279	-1.85%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0314	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.258253	-2.22%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0129	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.252096	-1.75%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0498	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.263153	-1.70%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0148	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.261694	-1.62%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0031	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.256465	-0.89%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0391	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.262419	-1.13%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0009	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.25881	-1.73%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0017	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.265698	-1.97%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0037	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.265161	-1.91%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0322	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.265754	-1.57%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0066	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.270383	-1.41%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0229	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.280832	-1.58%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0866	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.271805	-0.90%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0278	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.281457	-1.01%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0676	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276491	-0.53%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0276	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282196	-0.63%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0526	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.28515	-0.99%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0596	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272137	-0.60%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0100	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.279433	-0.81%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0191	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.281474	-1.19%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0253	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.275748	-0.98%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0349	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.253229	+0.09%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.0969	✓	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.268281	-0.05%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0611	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.264168	-0.55%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.0948	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.269456	-0.18%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0191	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277773	-0.32%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0174	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.277451	-0.21%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0256	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273212	-0.34%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0211	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278166	-0.66%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0877	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.288673	-0.76%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0670	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.28734	-0.75%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0849	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.289702	-0.92%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0702	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.288291	-0.94%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0317	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.290358	-1.08%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0385	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.288462	-1.21%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0460	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.270479	-1.04%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0436	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.275873	-1.77%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0676	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.245882	-0.69%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1681	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.247457	-1.02%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1704	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.246975	-1.55%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1671	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.250965	-2.22%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1587	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.25148	-2.53%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1505	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.257699	-2.54%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0575	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.239166	-1.70%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1596	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.246857	-1.95%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0011	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.2469	-1.93%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0095	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.243967	-1.97%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0240	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.241167	-1.85%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0596	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.245989	-1.91%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0469	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.259761	-2.34%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0115	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.263685	-2.62%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0875	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.267156	-2.89%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0654	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.266223	-3.02%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0617	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.265262	-2.95%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0642	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.273948	-3.10%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.1088	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.272683	-3.30%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0842	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.257628	-2.65%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0376	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.249468	-2.91%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.0894	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.226505	-3.07%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.1972	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.21082	-3.20%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2662	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.208131	-2.94%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2732	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.210556	-4.03%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.2946	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.217807	-5.92%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2572	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.181879	-6.05%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3625	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.17192	-5.53%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3834	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.159398	-3.52%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4144	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.163334	-3.66%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.2894	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.167746	-3.77%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2447	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.170832	-3.86%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4342	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.171485	-3.83%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4418	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.173559	-3.74%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2581	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.160268	-2.31%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.2559	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.169578	-2.04%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.0539	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.170491	-2.08%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0396	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.181799	-3.00%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.179726	-3.01%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.175872	-2.99%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.168535	-2.70%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1091	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.178445	-4.07%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0717	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.180451	-5.15%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.16646	-5.52%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.180357	-7.52%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.143034	-6.32%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3057	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.112239	-3.37%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5240	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.10071	-3.67%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5654	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.121777	-4.57%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.4709	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.100485	-2.21%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.6986	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079865	-0.57%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8513	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083729	-2.06%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8777	✗	1.00