ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

53.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0357

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179683	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179729	-0.39%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0039	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.182893	-0.38%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0137	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183689	-0.33%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0005	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182347	-0.30%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0105	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177745	-0.24%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0286	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181562	-0.32%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0188	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184088	-0.42%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0107	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181453	-0.30%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0183	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.179584	-0.51%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0136	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184346	-0.38%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0214	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.18424	-0.42%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0044	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181614	-0.45%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0185	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.185913	-0.79%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0189	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184049	-0.51%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0183	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190172	-0.08%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0278	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.178501	+0.28%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0642	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193817	+0.11%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0852	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193847	-0.44%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0011	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201672	-0.25%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0352	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.198139	+0.09%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0201	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200916	+0.06%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0149	✗	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.198022	+0.10%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0140	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195775	+0.18%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0103	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202899	+0.15%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0386	✗	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.222728	-0.01%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0947	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228834	-0.06%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0266	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233498	-0.08%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0199	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242775	-0.14%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0381	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237567	-0.30%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0215	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246469	-0.56%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0345	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.246393	-0.13%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0153	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.231345	+0.05%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0642	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231942	+0.13%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0024	✗	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.233093	+0.16%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0021	✓	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.233899	+0.17%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0047	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.242441	+0.08%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0369	✗	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.241458	+0.30%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0006	✓	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.240728	+0.26%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0014	✓	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.241173	+0.28%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0049	✗	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.248938	+0.09%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0344	✗	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.250288	-0.16%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0056	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.244585	+0.07%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0232	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.245632	+0.11%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0050	✗	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.243368	+0.21%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0081	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.245647	+0.26%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0126	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.246494	+0.25%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0055	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.253683	+0.28%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0311	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.262478	+0.43%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0387	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255699	+0.23%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0243	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.265546	+0.21%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0402	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.253735	+0.34%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0415	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.260219	+0.24%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0256	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.241021	+0.38%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0726	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.23438	+0.41%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0253	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.243166	+0.46%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0488	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.249147	+0.30%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0250	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.246749	+0.19%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0082	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.2517	+0.09%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0235	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253891	+0.10%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0054	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.259048	+0.19%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0189	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.254631	+0.31%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0111	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.249167	+0.15%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0412	✓	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250959	-0.36%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0087	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.25592	-0.62%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0062	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261421	-0.62%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0140	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260725	-0.42%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0181	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261817	-0.38%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0010	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.268179	-0.36%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0200	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.26454	-0.34%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0143	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256867	-0.31%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0329	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.26497	-0.43%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0290	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257234	-0.46%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0313	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.256578	-0.59%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0005	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.260874	-0.72%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0112	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.256362	-0.79%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0248	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.258285	-0.70%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0060	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.262028	-0.79%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0104	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255011	-0.61%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0396	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.26617	-0.57%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0323	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.264701	-0.49%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0110	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.258124	-0.25%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0353	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264738	-0.26%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0233	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262421	-0.36%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0025	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.270036	-0.37%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0224	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269431	-0.33%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0061	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.269232	-0.28%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0046	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.273336	-0.33%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0182	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.284311	-0.36%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0328	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273659	-0.22%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0425	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.283557	-0.27%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0367	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.277536	-0.15%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0206	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.283465	-0.18%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0211	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.287242	-0.26%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0072	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.273381	-0.15%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0539	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.28111	-0.21%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0268	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.284065	-0.28%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0054	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277795	-0.25%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0255	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.252844	-0.06%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0940	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.268157	-0.09%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0590	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.265186	-0.16%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0199	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.269658	-0.10%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0201	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.278326	-0.12%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0307	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.277825	-0.07%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0018	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273912	-0.09%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0181	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.279585	-0.15%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0169	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.290376	-0.18%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0402	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.28901	-0.18%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0041	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.291734	-0.22%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0062	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.290398	-0.22%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0084	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.29275	-0.26%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0041	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.291048	-0.33%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0115	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.272494	-0.31%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0752	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.279177	-0.60%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0167	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.24705	-0.21%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1261	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.249751	-0.10%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0081	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.250749	-0.05%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0034	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.25631	-0.14%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0215	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.257403	-0.23%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0027	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.262985	-0.54%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0208	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.242307	-0.41%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0869	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.250364	-0.55%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0300	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.250479	-0.51%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0056	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247627	-0.50%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0156	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244639	-0.44%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0177	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.249611	-0.47%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0156	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.264393	-0.59%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0556	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.268944	-0.67%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0138	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.272995	-0.77%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0099	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.272248	-0.83%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0118	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.271003	-0.85%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0153	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.279963	-0.97%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0232	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.278839	-1.12%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0138	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.262248	-0.90%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0767	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.25409	-1.12%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0402	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231203	-1.06%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1044	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215342	-1.13%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0815	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.212084	-1.10%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0271	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.215827	-1.62%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0064	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.225082	-2.78%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0383	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.190266	-1.72%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1951	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.179448	-1.39%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0663	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.164056	-0.70%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1212	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.168064	-0.87%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0167	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.17265	-0.95%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0182	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175928	-0.99%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.176529	-1.00%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.178546	-0.97%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.163296	-0.46%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1191	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.172162	-0.55%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.173051	-0.61%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.185526	-1.01%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.183475	-0.98%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.179371	-1.06%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0600	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.171637	-0.91%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.183615	-1.29%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.187287	-1.55%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.173221	-1.69%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.0997	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.189107	-3.03%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.149479	-2.10%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2781	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.115327	-0.71%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3058	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.10363	-0.88%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0918	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.12545	-1.69%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1673	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.102161	-0.58%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2378	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.080154	-0.21%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2542	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.085133	-0.42%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0772	✓	1.00