ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s2

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 339

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 113 predictions shown

direction hit

75.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3553

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0106

actual +0.0949

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.2285	0.21721	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.218702	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.215023	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.219833	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.225521	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.229145	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.223809	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.234923	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.24512	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.243468	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.274612	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.268334	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.247585	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.251448	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.262589	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.262386	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.281721	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.26303	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.269543	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.275856	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.268817	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.262837	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.254376	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.243298	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.239245	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.218482	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.242056	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.245832	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.225453	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.221271	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.199911	-0.32%	0.2285	+13.94%	0.1718	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.190253	-3.25%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.1744	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.188262	-3.18%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.1823	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.184668	-3.52%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2199	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.168235	-2.81%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.2989	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.164798	-2.66%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3264	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.158968	-2.05%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3141	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.158436	-2.41%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.3935	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.151215	-1.65%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.4531	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.15186	-1.74%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.4625	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.139292	+0.14%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6493	✓	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.136251	+1.11%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.6591	✓	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.148481	+0.80%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5110	✓	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.153985	+1.04%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5074	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.149426	+2.38%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.5645	✓	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.146942	+3.99%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.5651	✓	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.138578	+4.90%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.6974	✓	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.143777	+5.49%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.5926	✓	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.138668	+7.49%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.6781	✓	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.135236	+7.08%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.6941	✓	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.133934	+8.71%	0.284	+130.52%	0.6819	✓	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.14081	+9.28%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.6364	✓	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.132194	+10.67%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.6626	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.136102	+10.52%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.5966	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.135249	+11.13%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.5613	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.148446	+12.46%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.3901	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.143636	+11.17%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.5120	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.144027	+10.24%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.5126	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.146484	+9.68%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.4137	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.157106	+7.24%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.2759	✓	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.135608	+9.10%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.3160	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.141248	+9.16%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3084	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.121605	+3.94%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.4287	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.11578	-0.45%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.4451	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.112428	-0.86%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.3851	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.112184	-0.55%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.3658	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.11243	+2.49%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.3322	✓	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.111317	+3.50%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.3347	✓	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.11533	+3.67%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.2480	✓	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.116563	+4.63%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.2406	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.11961	+4.65%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.1095	✓	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.123283	+3.73%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.0503	✓	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.12895	+1.62%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.0957	✓	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.127323	+0.57%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.1391	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.128635	-1.16%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.0842	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.135037	-3.92%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0000	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.139369	-4.61%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.1041	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.141356	-5.92%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0842	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.134621	-5.03%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0837	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.140275	-5.16%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.1434	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.145197	-4.73%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.2028	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.154811	-4.58%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.2392	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.152324	-3.62%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.2961	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.151355	-1.46%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.2834	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.153099	-1.86%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.3106	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.150493	-1.45%	0.132	-13.56%	0.2244	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.148749	-0.97%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.2269	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.158193	-1.13%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.2473	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.17755	-1.09%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.3845	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.171034	-0.27%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.2442	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.172911	+0.21%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.4141	✗	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.168405	+0.21%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.3656	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.152536	+0.62%	0.117	-22.82%	0.3584	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.156368	+1.24%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.3568	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.149614	+1.30%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.2771	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.151469	+0.18%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.2898	✗	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.161416	-0.67%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.3695	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.159847	-1.45%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.3844	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.160518	-1.31%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.3393	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.163909	-0.99%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.3618	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.170423	-1.26%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.4177	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.166709	-0.71%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.3351	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.180705	-0.38%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.3556	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.177388	-0.51%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.3485	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.178155	-0.56%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.3410	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.17966	-0.60%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.2873	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.195248	-0.59%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.3048	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.216211	-1.00%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3733	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.235387	-1.43%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.5145	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.203642	-1.24%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.3258	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.211435	-1.43%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.3429	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.221788	-1.69%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.3332	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.219278	-1.58%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3741	✓	1.00