AIGENSYN

? · · gru_s2

token id: #434
symbol: AIGENSYN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-29
predictions: 411

Track record at +1d

assessed

136

of 137 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0292

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.017463	0.017446	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-20	oos	0.016881	0.01688	-0.01%	0.017463	+3.45%	0.0367	✗	0.92
2026-10-19	oos	0.016557	0.016568	+0.07%	0.016881	+1.96%	0.0065	✓	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.016873	0.016895	+0.13%	0.016557	-1.87%	0.0183	✗	0.93
2026-10-17	oos	0.017525	0.017543	+0.10%	0.016873	-3.72%	0.0461	✗	0.94
2026-10-16	oos	0.017996	0.01801	+0.07%	0.017525	-2.62%	0.0259	✗	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.018206	0.018219	+0.07%	0.017996	-1.15%	0.0052	✗	0.93
2026-10-14	oos	0.018586	0.018594	+0.04%	0.018206	-2.04%	0.0274	✗	0.93
2026-10-13	oos	0.019122	0.019121	-0.00%	0.018586	-2.80%	0.0114	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.019313	0.019306	-0.03%	0.019122	-0.99%	0.0246	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.020452	0.020417	-0.17%	0.019313	-5.57%	0.0373	✓	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.0209	0.020857	-0.21%	0.020452	-2.15%	0.0271	✓	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	0.02055	0.020517	-0.16%	0.0209	+1.70%	0.0150	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.019612	0.019598	-0.07%	0.02055	+4.79%	0.0391	✗	0.80
2026-10-07	oos	0.020909	0.02083	-0.38%	0.019612	-6.20%	0.0452	✓	0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.022131	0.022026	-0.48%	0.020909	-5.52%	0.0319	✓	0.75
2026-10-05	oos	0.021365	0.021285	-0.38%	0.022131	+3.59%	0.0408	✗	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.020951	0.020908	-0.20%	0.021365	+1.98%	0.0284	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	0.02045	0.02039	-0.29%	0.020951	+2.44%	0.0115	✗	0.76
2026-10-02	oos	0.020546	0.020498	-0.23%	0.02045	-0.47%	0.0045	✓	0.76
2026-10-01	oos	0.020351	0.020323	-0.13%	0.020546	+0.96%	0.0140	✗	0.76
2026-09-30	oos	0.020518	0.020487	-0.15%	0.020351	-0.82%	0.0178	✓	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.020342	0.020317	-0.12%	0.020518	+0.87%	0.0105	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.020414	0.020407	-0.03%	0.020342	-0.35%	0.0046	✓	0.66
2026-09-27	oos	0.021223	0.021207	-0.08%	0.020414	-3.82%	0.0320	✓	0.51
2026-09-26	oos	0.021594	0.021579	-0.07%	0.021223	-1.72%	0.0169	✓	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.021598	0.021592	-0.03%	0.021594	-0.02%	0.0020	✓	0.55
2026-09-24	oos	0.020528	0.020553	+0.13%	0.021598	+5.21%	0.0515	✓	0.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.019932	0.019977	+0.23%	0.020528	+2.99%	0.0271	✓	0.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.021604	0.021601	-0.01%	0.019932	-7.73%	0.0690	✓	0.54
2026-09-21	oos	0.021367	0.021344	-0.11%	0.021604	+1.11%	0.0148	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.020352	0.020366	+0.07%	0.021367	+4.98%	0.0097	✓	0.59
2026-09-19	oos	0.020411	0.020419	+0.04%	0.020352	-0.29%	0.0027	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.020058	0.020082	+0.12%	0.020411	+1.76%	0.0134	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.018791	0.018801	+0.05%	0.020058	+6.74%	0.0313	✓	0.58
2026-09-16	oos	0.018613	0.018627	+0.08%	0.018791	+0.96%	0.0072	✓	0.58
2026-09-15	oos	0.018414	0.018433	+0.10%	0.018613	+1.08%	0.0058	✓	0.53
2026-09-14	oos	0.019142	0.019171	+0.15%	0.018414	-3.81%	0.0233	✗	0.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.019423	0.019425	+0.01%	0.019142	-1.45%	0.0242	✗	0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.019654	0.019656	+0.01%	0.019423	-1.17%	0.0088	✗	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.019696	0.019687	-0.04%	0.019654	-0.21%	0.0021	✓	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.019335	0.019303	-0.17%	0.019696	+1.86%	0.0155	✗	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.019557	0.019554	-0.01%	0.019335	-1.13%	0.0009	✗	0.54
2026-09-08	oos	0.019954	0.01991	-0.22%	0.019557	-1.99%	0.0166	✓	0.59
2026-09-07	oos	0.020417	0.020397	-0.10%	0.019954	-2.27%	0.0172	✓	0.59
2026-09-06	oos	0.020458	0.020468	+0.05%	0.020417	-0.20%	0.0052	✓	0.49
2026-09-05	oos	0.020387	0.020393	+0.03%	0.020458	+0.35%	0.0000	✓	0.49
2026-09-04	oos	0.019752	0.019782	+0.15%	0.020387	+3.21%	0.0292	✓	0.47
2026-09-03	oos	0.019509	0.019582	+0.37%	0.019752	+1.25%	0.0186	✓	0.50
2026-09-02	oos	0.019077	0.01911	+0.17%	0.019509	+2.26%	0.0084	✗	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.019478	0.019529	+0.26%	0.019077	-2.06%	0.0227	✗	0.58
2026-08-31	oos	0.019502	0.019572	+0.36%	0.019478	-0.12%	0.0031	✓	0.53
2026-08-30	oos	0.019237	0.019298	+0.32%	0.019502	+1.38%	0.0017	✓	0.77
2026-08-29	oos	0.019754	0.019814	+0.30%	0.019237	-2.61%	0.0246	✗	0.67
2026-08-28	oos	0.019649	0.019709	+0.31%	0.019754	+0.53%	0.0011	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.020352	0.020421	+0.34%	0.019649	-3.45%	0.0186	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.02004	0.020094	+0.27%	0.020352	+1.55%	0.0026	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.019846	0.019874	+0.14%	0.02004	+0.98%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.019924	0.019926	+0.01%	0.019846	-0.39%	0.0003	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.0203	0.020282	-0.09%	0.019924	-1.86%	0.0283	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.020391	0.020375	-0.08%	0.0203	-0.45%	0.0094	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.022506	0.022389	-0.52%	0.020391	-9.40%	0.0833	✓	0.62
2026-08-20	oos	0.020817	0.020806	-0.05%	0.022506	+8.12%	0.0407	✗	0.54
2026-08-19	oos	0.020973	0.020851	-0.58%	0.020817	-0.75%	0.0325	✓	0.59
2026-08-18	oos	0.019773	0.019703	-0.35%	0.020973	+6.07%	0.0258	✗	0.53
2026-08-17	oos	0.020119	0.020047	-0.36%	0.019773	-1.72%	0.0155	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.020597	0.020547	-0.24%	0.020119	-2.32%	0.0357	✓	0.57
2026-08-15	oos	0.021435	0.021358	-0.36%	0.020597	-3.91%	0.0347	✓	0.57
2026-08-14	oos	0.020157	0.020135	-0.11%	0.021435	+6.34%	0.0622	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.020073	0.02006	-0.07%	0.020157	+0.42%	0.0089	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.020661	0.020625	-0.17%	0.020073	-2.85%	0.0273	✓	0.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.020828	0.020784	-0.21%	0.020661	-0.80%	0.0049	✓	0.57
2026-08-10	oos	0.021636	0.021536	-0.46%	0.020828	-3.73%	0.0301	✓	0.56
2026-08-09	oos	0.021825	0.021658	-0.77%	0.021636	-0.86%	0.0072	✓	0.56
2026-08-08	oos	0.022065	0.021864	-0.91%	0.021825	-1.09%	0.0013	✓	0.56
2026-08-07	oos	0.021561	0.02136	-0.93%	0.022065	+2.34%	0.0323	✗	0.56
2026-08-06	oos	0.022145	0.021979	-0.75%	0.021561	-2.64%	0.0247	✓	0.57
2026-08-05	oos	0.022057	0.021843	-0.97%	0.022145	+0.40%	0.0167	✗	0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.022115	0.021928	-0.85%	0.022057	-0.26%	0.0009	✓	0.58
2026-08-03	oos	0.022478	0.022298	-0.80%	0.022115	-1.61%	0.0136	✓	0.58
2026-08-02	oos	0.022812	0.022646	-0.73%	0.022478	-1.47%	0.0072	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.023097	0.02299	-0.46%	0.022812	-1.23%	0.0147	✓	0.59
2026-07-31	oos	0.022759	0.022643	-0.51%	0.023097	+1.48%	0.0204	✗	0.59
2026-07-30	oos	0.022847	0.022655	-0.84%	0.022759	-0.39%	0.0228	✗	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.022645	0.022503	-0.63%	0.022847	+0.89%	0.0074	✗	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.022951	0.022878	-0.32%	0.022645	-1.33%	0.0107	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.022569	0.022519	-0.22%	0.022951	+1.69%	0.0176	✗	0.61
2026-07-26	oos	0.024827	0.024704	-0.50%	0.022569	-9.10%	0.0768	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.025773	0.025613	-0.62%	0.024827	-3.67%	0.0403	✓	0.57
2026-07-24	oos	0.024305	0.024169	-0.56%	0.025773	+6.04%	0.0624	✗	0.55
2026-07-23	oos	0.023704	0.023571	-0.56%	0.024305	+2.53%	0.0392	✗	0.57
2026-07-22	oos	0.025397	0.025094	-1.20%	0.023704	-6.67%	0.0485	✓	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.025716	0.025356	-1.40%	0.025397	-1.24%	0.0051	✓	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.02431	0.02416	-0.62%	0.025716	+5.78%	0.0528	✗	0.49
2026-07-19	oos	0.02387	0.023717	-0.64%	0.02431	+1.84%	0.0208	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.023592	0.023544	-0.20%	0.02387	+1.18%	0.0146	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.023788	0.02373	-0.24%	0.023592	-0.82%	0.0127	✓	0.49
2026-07-16	oos	0.024258	0.024198	-0.25%	0.023788	-1.94%	0.0180	✓	0.49
2026-07-15	oos	0.023682	0.023673	-0.04%	0.024258	+2.43%	0.0319	✗	0.51
2026-07-14	oos	0.023387	0.023374	-0.06%	0.023682	+1.26%	0.0153	✗	0.51
2026-07-13	oos	0.024902	0.024865	-0.15%	0.023387	-6.08%	0.0913	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.026188	0.026117	-0.27%	0.024902	-4.91%	0.0320	✓	0.67
2026-07-11	oos	0.025815	0.025754	-0.23%	0.026188	+1.45%	0.0171	✗	0.67
2026-07-10	oos	0.027024	0.026949	-0.28%	0.025815	-4.48%	0.0393	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.026325	0.026262	-0.24%	0.027024	+2.66%	0.0189	✗	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.026585	0.026523	-0.23%	0.026325	-0.98%	0.0174	✓	0.66
2026-07-07	oos	0.02681	0.026736	-0.28%	0.026585	-0.84%	0.0058	✗	0.67
2026-07-06	oos	0.027413	0.027299	-0.42%	0.02681	-2.20%	0.0110	✓	0.66
2026-07-05	oos	0.028994	0.028756	-0.82%	0.027413	-5.45%	0.0524	✓	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	0.027408	0.02727	-0.50%	0.028994	+5.79%	0.0561	✗	0.66
2026-07-03	oos	0.028717	0.028505	-0.74%	0.027408	-4.56%	0.0456	✓	0.70
2026-07-02	oos	0.031739	0.031231	-1.60%	0.028717	-9.52%	0.0980	✓	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.033919	0.033045	-2.58%	0.031739	-6.43%	0.0658	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.035136	0.033631	-4.28%	0.033919	-3.46%	0.0195	✓	1.16
2026-06-29	oos	0.030732	0.029673	-3.45%	0.035136	+14.33%	0.2068	✗	1.37
2026-06-28	oos	0.022749	0.02261	-0.61%	0.030732	+35.09%	0.2951	✗	1.03
2026-06-27	oos	0.021601	0.021585	-0.07%	0.022749	+5.32%	0.0602	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.021757	0.021763	+0.03%	0.021601	-0.72%	0.0064	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.021635	0.021653	+0.08%	0.021757	+0.56%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.022306	0.022304	-0.01%	0.021635	-3.01%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.024097	0.024053	-0.18%	0.022306	-7.43%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.025594	0.025528	-0.26%	0.024097	-5.85%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.024937	0.024883	-0.21%	0.025594	+2.63%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.026671	0.026582	-0.34%	0.024937	-6.50%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.025358	0.025284	-0.29%	0.026671	+5.18%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.025368	0.025273	-0.38%	0.025358	-0.04%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.02448	0.024404	-0.31%	0.025368	+3.63%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.024379	0.024296	-0.34%	0.02448	+0.41%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.026055	0.025925	-0.50%	0.024379	-6.43%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.028026	0.027839	-0.67%	0.026055	-7.03%	0.0749	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.02752	0.027315	-0.74%	0.028026	+1.84%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.026683	0.026456	-0.85%	0.02752	+3.14%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.027605	0.027282	-1.17%	0.026683	-3.34%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.025662	0.025412	-0.97%	0.027605	+7.57%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.025695	0.025446	-0.97%	0.025662	-0.13%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.022876	0.022681	-0.85%	0.025695	+12.32%	0.1468	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.023034	0.022799	-1.02%	0.022876	-0.69%	0.0072	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.