AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 237
Track record at +1d
assessed
78
of 79 predictions shown
direction hit
60.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0637
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0036
actual -0.0090
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.037 | 0.036862 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03676 | 0.036718 | -0.11% | 0.037 | +0.65% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.038117 | -0.02% | 0.03676 | -3.58% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037321 | +0.22% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0172 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036886 | +0.30% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038826 | +0.17% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0567 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036534 | +0.40% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040311 | +0.08% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.1000 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043769 | -0.07% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0852 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.04862 | -0.32% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0998 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049518 | -0.25% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.054558 | -0.36% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0902 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058166 | -0.46% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.065953 | -0.91% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.061896 | -0.63% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067292 | -1.01% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066454 | -1.15% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062516 | -1.13% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.054171 | -0.63% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1566 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050814 | -0.46% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051188 | -0.51% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.050816 | -0.43% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054631 | -0.54% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0715 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.05354 | -0.49% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.052884 | -0.48% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054786 | -0.52% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056793 | -0.58% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.057909 | -0.63% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057378 | -0.59% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059102 | -0.70% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064224 | -1.21% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0730 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054586 | -0.53% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1757 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.052984 | -0.46% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054672 | -0.54% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.057966 | -0.89% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053619 | -0.56% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0911 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047996 | -0.09% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1166 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049617 | -0.13% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0318 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.051047 | -0.26% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0305 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048435 | +0.01% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0577 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048734 | +0.04% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0071 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049357 | +0.05% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0130 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046456 | +0.33% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0615 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.050151 | +0.10% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0855 | ✗ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056734 | -0.33% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1250 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.052038 | -0.03% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0878 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053303 | -0.05% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0275 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.05464 | -0.04% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0227 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055301 | -0.02% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0112 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054427 | +0.11% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0121 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053554 | +0.12% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0308 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057284 | +0.01% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0689 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062595 | -0.09% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0954 | ✓ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057548 | +0.05% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0905 | ✓ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.067988 | -0.19% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1717 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069324 | -0.40% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0144 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.060699 | +0.10% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1282 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058747 | +0.06% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0366 | ✓ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.055916 | +0.06% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.058707 | +0.11% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059707 | +0.03% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066603 | -0.01% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069517 | +0.10% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.072566 | -0.39% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081474 | -1.08% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.084933 | -1.61% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.0997 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.080944 | -1.52% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.074863 | -1.11% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.077611 | -1.71% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.064627 | -0.77% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.1996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.06693 | -1.18% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.054678 | -0.37% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053902 | -0.24% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053685 | -0.10% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.054408 | -0.06% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.062663 | -0.68% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.05277 | +0.06% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.058332 | -0.17% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.060314 | -0.27% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 1.00 |