AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 234
Track record at +1d
assessed
77
of 78 predictions shown
direction hit
51.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0653
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0085
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03874 | 0.038469 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.037894 | -0.60% | 0.03874 | +1.61% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037062 | -0.48% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0241 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036637 | -0.38% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038612 | -0.38% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036409 | +0.05% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040324 | +0.11% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.1004 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.04383 | +0.07% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0866 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048624 | -0.31% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049551 | -0.18% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.054484 | -0.50% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058114 | -0.55% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.06608 | -0.72% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1238 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.061894 | -0.64% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067347 | -0.92% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066235 | -1.48% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062023 | -1.91% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.05391 | -1.11% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050543 | -0.99% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051087 | -0.71% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.05086 | -0.34% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054725 | -0.37% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053681 | -0.23% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.053035 | -0.20% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054911 | -0.29% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056967 | -0.28% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.058131 | -0.25% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057635 | -0.15% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059429 | -0.15% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.06486 | -0.23% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0828 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054942 | +0.12% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1692 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.053216 | -0.03% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054945 | -0.05% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.058351 | -0.23% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053648 | -0.50% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0905 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047915 | -0.26% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1182 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.04956 | -0.24% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.051006 | -0.34% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0297 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048351 | -0.16% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0595 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048678 | -0.08% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049353 | +0.04% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0129 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046492 | +0.40% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0608 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.050216 | +0.23% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0868 | ✗ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056906 | -0.02% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1280 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.052189 | +0.26% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0849 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053448 | +0.22% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0302 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054753 | +0.17% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0248 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055389 | +0.14% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0128 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054554 | +0.35% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0098 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053685 | +0.37% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0284 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057408 | +0.22% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0711 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062711 | +0.10% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0973 | ✗ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057611 | +0.16% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0894 | ✓ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.068116 | -0.01% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1736 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069546 | -0.08% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0176 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.060765 | +0.21% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1271 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058809 | +0.17% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0356 | ✓ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.055999 | +0.21% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.058775 | +0.23% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0447 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059797 | +0.18% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066638 | +0.04% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069467 | +0.02% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.07277 | -0.11% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081917 | -0.54% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.085428 | -1.03% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.1056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.081285 | -1.10% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0569 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.074926 | -1.02% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.077823 | -1.44% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.06446 | -1.03% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.2022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.06677 | -1.42% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.054476 | -0.74% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053655 | -0.69% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053384 | -0.66% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.053907 | -0.98% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.06194 | -1.82% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1281 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052459 | -0.53% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.058129 | -0.52% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.060211 | -0.44% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |