ZEST
Zest Protocol · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #421
- symbol
- ZEST
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xf326c8c9a691319f6330e27aa4a39f2d22c88dc5
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-19
- predictions
- 441
Track record at +1d
assessed
146
of 147 predictions shown
direction hit
54.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0430
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0043
actual +0.0009
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.179535 | 0.17882 | -0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.18025 | 0.1795 | -0.42% | 0.179535 | -0.40% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.181205 | 0.18043 | -0.43% | 0.18025 | -0.53% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.18084 | 0.18007 | -0.43% | 0.181205 | +0.20% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18056 | 0.179765 | -0.44% | 0.18084 | +0.16% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.183695 | 0.182818 | -0.48% | 0.18056 | -1.71% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.170325 | 0.16966 | -0.39% | 0.183695 | +7.85% | 0.0829 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.180015 | 0.178724 | -0.72% | 0.170325 | -5.38% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.18324 | 0.182351 | -0.49% | 0.180015 | -1.76% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.188385 | 0.18633 | -1.09% | 0.18324 | -2.73% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.19535 | 0.194216 | -0.58% | 0.188385 | -3.57% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.182675 | 0.181864 | -0.44% | 0.19535 | +6.94% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.182695 | 0.181847 | -0.46% | 0.182675 | -0.01% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.18424 | 0.183354 | -0.48% | 0.182695 | -0.84% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.185645 | 0.184716 | -0.50% | 0.18424 | -0.76% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.42 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.18452 | 0.183683 | -0.45% | 0.185645 | +0.61% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.178435 | 0.177715 | -0.40% | 0.18452 | +3.41% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.183765 | 0.183009 | -0.41% | 0.178435 | -2.90% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.189345 | 0.188458 | -0.47% | 0.183765 | -2.95% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.19491 | 0.193804 | -0.57% | 0.189345 | -2.86% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.186715 | 0.185733 | -0.53% | 0.19491 | +4.39% | 0.0503 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.191705 | 0.190584 | -0.58% | 0.186715 | -2.60% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.200545 | 0.198938 | -0.80% | 0.191705 | -4.41% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1856 | 0.184086 | -0.82% | 0.200545 | +8.05% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1774 | 0.17667 | -0.41% | 0.1856 | +4.62% | 0.0558 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.176065 | 0.175347 | -0.41% | 0.1774 | +0.76% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.185615 | 0.184678 | -0.50% | 0.176065 | -5.15% | 0.0497 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.18526 | 0.184119 | -0.62% | 0.185615 | +0.19% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.18662 | 0.185089 | -0.82% | 0.18526 | -0.73% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.16891 | 0.167952 | -0.57% | 0.18662 | +10.48% | 0.1184 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.148505 | 0.148156 | -0.24% | 0.16891 | +13.74% | 0.1339 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.146285 | 0.14582 | -0.32% | 0.148505 | +1.52% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.146295 | 0.145795 | -0.34% | 0.146285 | -0.01% | 0.0039 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.141455 | 0.140957 | -0.35% | 0.146295 | +3.42% | 0.0346 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.13446 | 0.133907 | -0.41% | 0.141455 | +5.20% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.12504 | 0.124834 | -0.16% | 0.13446 | +7.53% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1271 | 0.126894 | -0.16% | 0.12504 | -1.62% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12796 | 0.127801 | -0.12% | 0.1271 | -0.67% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.118755 | 0.118697 | -0.05% | 0.12796 | +7.75% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.12552 | 0.125472 | -0.04% | 0.118755 | -5.39% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.123365 | 0.123346 | -0.02% | 0.12552 | +1.75% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.124315 | 0.124254 | -0.05% | 0.123365 | -0.76% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.12221 | 0.12231 | +0.08% | 0.124315 | +1.72% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.12195 | 0.122106 | +0.13% | 0.12221 | +0.21% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13189 | 0.132033 | +0.11% | 0.12195 | -7.54% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.12829 | 0.128529 | +0.19% | 0.13189 | +2.81% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12529 | 0.125519 | +0.18% | 0.12829 | +2.39% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 0.42 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.119905 | 0.120146 | +0.20% | 0.12529 | +4.49% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.15572 | 0.155705 | -0.01% | 0.119905 | -23.00% | 0.2558 | ✓ | 0.28 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13267 | 0.132752 | +0.06% | 0.15572 | +17.37% | 0.1692 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.13478 | 0.134862 | +0.06% | 0.13267 | -1.57% | 0.0167 | ✗ | -0.27 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.13747 | 0.137554 | +0.06% | 0.13478 | -1.96% | 0.0248 | ✗ | -0.29 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.13509 | 0.135066 | -0.02% | 0.13747 | +1.76% | 0.0194 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.13992 | 0.139914 | -0.00% | 0.13509 | -3.45% | 0.0367 | ✓ | -0.22 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.140325 | 0.140267 | -0.04% | 0.13992 | -0.29% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -0.21 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14 | 0.139947 | -0.04% | 0.140325 | +0.23% | 0.0044 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.14009 | 0.139942 | -0.11% | 0.14 | -0.06% | 0.0039 | ✗ | -0.22 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.14027 | 0.140146 | -0.09% | 0.14009 | -0.13% | 0.0011 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13999 | 0.139815 | -0.13% | 0.14027 | +0.20% | 0.0019 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.135745 | 0.135565 | -0.13% | 0.13999 | +3.13% | 0.0373 | ✗ | -0.32 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.139815 | 0.139503 | -0.22% | 0.135745 | -2.91% | 0.0245 | ✓ | -0.33 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.14046 | 0.140073 | -0.28% | 0.139815 | -0.46% | 0.0071 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.13996 | 0.139528 | -0.31% | 0.14046 | +0.36% | 0.0297 | ✗ | -0.33 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.13215 | 0.13181 | -0.26% | 0.13996 | +5.91% | 0.0868 | ✗ | -0.51 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.14014 | 0.139782 | -0.26% | 0.13215 | -5.70% | 0.0256 | ✓ | -0.44 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.139245 | 0.138987 | -0.19% | 0.14014 | +0.64% | 0.0099 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.14182 | 0.141587 | -0.16% | 0.139245 | -1.82% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.14702 | 0.146797 | -0.15% | 0.14182 | -3.54% | 0.0360 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.14708 | 0.146912 | -0.11% | 0.14702 | -0.04% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.15661 | 0.156373 | -0.15% | 0.14708 | -6.09% | 0.0651 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1534 | 0.15318 | -0.14% | 0.15661 | +2.09% | 0.0223 | ✗ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.15786 | 0.157588 | -0.17% | 0.1534 | -2.83% | 0.0279 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.16138 | 0.161074 | -0.19% | 0.15786 | -2.18% | 0.0234 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.16086 | 0.160593 | -0.17% | 0.16138 | +0.32% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.17409 | 0.173736 | -0.20% | 0.16086 | -7.60% | 0.0775 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.21463 | 0.213831 | -0.37% | 0.17409 | -18.89% | 0.2055 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.21613 | 0.215357 | -0.36% | 0.21463 | -0.69% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.22845 | 0.22729 | -0.51% | 0.21613 | -5.39% | 0.0531 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.227035 | 0.226033 | -0.44% | 0.22845 | +0.62% | 0.0152 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.24291 | 0.241315 | -0.66% | 0.227035 | -6.54% | 0.0564 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.249313 | -0.99% | 0.24291 | -3.53% | 0.0263 | ✓ | -0.49 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.25194 | 0.250719 | -0.48% | 0.2518 | -0.06% | 0.0101 | ✗ | -0.49 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.25148 | 0.250324 | -0.46% | 0.25194 | +0.18% | 0.0060 | ✗ | -0.49 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.25008 | 0.248964 | -0.45% | 0.25148 | +0.56% | 0.0051 | ✓ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.251045 | 0.249721 | -0.53% | 0.25008 | -0.38% | 0.0079 | ✗ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.25109 | 0.249778 | -0.52% | 0.251045 | -0.02% | 0.0055 | ✗ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.23041 | 0.229442 | -0.42% | 0.25109 | +8.98% | 0.0914 | ✗ | -0.52 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.24866 | 0.247461 | -0.48% | 0.23041 | -7.34% | 0.0869 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.24604 | 0.244931 | -0.45% | 0.24866 | +1.06% | 0.0251 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.24645 | 0.245215 | -0.50% | 0.24604 | -0.17% | 0.0054 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.24574 | 0.244244 | -0.61% | 0.24645 | +0.29% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.22903 | 0.228089 | -0.41% | 0.24574 | +7.30% | 0.0652 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.22221 | 0.221242 | -0.44% | 0.22903 | +3.07% | 0.0308 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.25724 | 0.254866 | -0.92% | 0.22221 | -13.62% | 0.1280 | ✓ | -0.46 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.21195 | 0.211211 | -0.35% | 0.25724 | +21.37% | 0.2016 | ✗ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.21924 | 0.218362 | -0.40% | 0.21195 | -3.33% | 0.0308 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.21692 | 0.216028 | -0.41% | 0.21924 | +1.07% | 0.0225 | ✗ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.21768 | 0.216746 | -0.43% | 0.21692 | -0.35% | 0.0019 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.223485 | 0.222582 | -0.40% | 0.21768 | -2.60% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.22072 | 0.219776 | -0.43% | 0.223485 | +1.25% | 0.0143 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.22699 | 0.225896 | -0.48% | 0.22072 | -2.76% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.229695 | 0.228703 | -0.43% | 0.22699 | -1.18% | 0.0211 | ✓ | -0.58 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.222055 | 0.221099 | -0.43% | 0.229695 | +3.44% | 0.0378 | ✗ | -0.58 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.221875 | 0.220901 | -0.44% | 0.222055 | +0.08% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.20467 | 0.204029 | -0.31% | 0.221875 | +8.41% | 0.0937 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.202736 | -0.31% | 0.20467 | +0.64% | 0.0195 | ✗ | -0.67 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.226695 | 0.225802 | -0.39% | 0.20336 | -10.29% | 0.1177 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.22505 | 0.224194 | -0.38% | 0.226695 | +0.73% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.233675 | 0.23262 | -0.45% | 0.22505 | -3.69% | 0.0283 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.22159 | 0.220781 | -0.37% | 0.233675 | +5.45% | 0.0628 | ✗ | -0.77 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22991 | 0.22897 | -0.41% | 0.22159 | -3.62% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.22854 | 0.227632 | -0.40% | 0.22991 | +0.60% | 0.0226 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.227225 | 0.226388 | -0.37% | 0.22854 | +0.58% | 0.0291 | ✗ | -0.78 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.232105 | 0.23124 | -0.37% | 0.227225 | -2.10% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.77 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.24112 | 0.240066 | -0.44% | 0.232105 | -3.74% | 0.0573 | ✓ | -0.85 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.25005 | 0.248785 | -0.51% | 0.24112 | -3.57% | 0.0219 | ✓ | -0.82 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.23156 | 0.230675 | -0.38% | 0.25005 | +7.98% | 0.0744 | ✗ | -0.81 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.25305 | 0.251823 | -0.48% | 0.23156 | -8.49% | 0.0848 | ✓ | -0.78 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.26118 | 0.25978 | -0.54% | 0.25305 | -3.11% | 0.0225 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.27063 | 0.268994 | -0.60% | 0.26118 | -3.49% | 0.0466 | ✓ | -0.81 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.26898 | 0.267265 | -0.64% | 0.27063 | +0.61% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -0.85 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.25974 | 0.257946 | -0.69% | 0.26898 | +3.56% | 0.0245 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.25889 | 0.257392 | -0.58% | 0.25974 | +0.33% | 0.0186 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2522 | 0.250801 | -0.55% | 0.25889 | +2.65% | 0.0187 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.25169 | 0.250332 | -0.54% | 0.2522 | +0.20% | 0.0173 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.26188 | 0.26031 | -0.60% | 0.25169 | -3.89% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.25705 | 0.255528 | -0.59% | 0.26188 | +1.88% | 0.0492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.26347 | 0.261824 | -0.62% | 0.25705 | -2.44% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2738 | 0.271915 | -0.69% | 0.26347 | -3.77% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.26953 | 0.267703 | -0.68% | 0.2738 | +1.58% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.278 | 0.275954 | -0.74% | 0.26953 | -3.05% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.28233 | 0.280103 | -0.79% | 0.278 | -1.53% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.27831 | 0.275934 | -0.85% | 0.28233 | +1.44% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.29898 | 0.295943 | -1.02% | 0.27831 | -6.91% | 0.0953 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.26755 | 0.265307 | -0.84% | 0.29898 | +11.75% | 0.1234 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.28119 | 0.278409 | -0.99% | 0.26755 | -4.85% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.27684 | 0.273496 | -1.21% | 0.28119 | +1.57% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.27059 | 0.267455 | -1.16% | 0.27684 | +2.31% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.27126 | 0.266852 | -1.63% | 0.27059 | -0.25% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.22938 | 0.224312 | -2.21% | 0.27126 | +18.26% | 0.2345 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.143 | 0.142726 | -0.19% | 0.22938 | +60.41% | 0.4781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.14051 | 0.140069 | -0.31% | 0.143 | +1.77% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.15019 | 0.149188 | -0.67% | 0.14051 | -6.45% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.138 | 0.137393 | -0.44% | 0.15019 | +8.83% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.15149 | 0.150785 | -0.47% | 0.138 | -8.90% | 0.0859 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.17198 | 0.17099 | -0.58% | 0.15149 | -11.91% | 0.1266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.19651 | 0.194777 | -0.88% | 0.17198 | -12.48% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 1.00 |