XRD

Radix · native · gru_s1

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1131

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0275

actual -0.0501

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000182753	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000196671	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000160466	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.00015695	+0.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000147659	+1.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000197729	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000256233	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000285187	-5.66%	0.00018625	-38.39%	0.4140	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000294371	-6.25%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.3717	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000310277	-6.43%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6631	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.0002956	-6.66%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6589	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000294348	-6.56%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7220	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000286692	-6.40%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3598	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000295783	-6.43%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.0880	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000309582	-6.95%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0400	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000310825	-7.13%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0128	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000322748	-7.31%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0116	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000331789	-7.36%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.0735	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000329213	-7.47%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.0622	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000339707	-7.54%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1228	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000350069	-7.66%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1332	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000350478	-7.62%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0548	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000375286	-7.97%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.0961	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000381781	-8.08%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.0710	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000403807	-8.68%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1012	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000417508	-8.84%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.1569	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000399535	-8.67%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.0800	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000427196	-9.20%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1151	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000450741	-9.33%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.1802	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000478013	-9.30%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.1837	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000427074	-9.00%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.0559	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000497265	-8.94%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.0964	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000480341	-8.54%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0276	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000518307	-8.70%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1503	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.00053287	-7.50%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0724	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000475498	-5.54%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0980	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000521831	-6.09%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0772	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000477579	-5.40%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0242	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000472653	-4.15%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1678	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000489587	-4.14%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0916	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000470262	-2.94%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2079	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000477808	-2.49%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1861	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000461009	-1.81%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0776	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000472162	-1.55%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1496	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000432026	-0.34%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1520	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000481415	-0.18%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0061	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000474588	+0.51%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0600	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000507	+1.02%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0568	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000491622	+1.80%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0237	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000576804	+1.18%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2051	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000597988	+1.11%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2197	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000632667	+1.60%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3771	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000839122	+1.16%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5531	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000877122	+1.14%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6192	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000879003	+0.77%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5604	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000824315	+1.47%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5353	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.00082517	+0.73%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3685	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000905413	+0.20%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4247	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000927952	+0.08%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.3984	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000879935	-0.36%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0590	✓	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000785338	-0.69%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0986	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000915746	-0.59%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0488	✓	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.00090568	-1.98%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1045	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000939699	-2.76%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1409	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001004	-3.41%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1462	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000867625	-2.61%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0327	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000901709	-2.68%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0650	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000933516	-2.82%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2074	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000895663	-2.58%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0167	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000914003	-2.65%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0183	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000953094	-2.80%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0053	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000903394	-2.53%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1367	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000885731	-2.46%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0040	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000896642	-2.51%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0393	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000908737	-2.56%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0616	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000902108	-2.58%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0249	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000889945	-2.55%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0561	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000936687	-2.71%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0492	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000920872	-2.69%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0080	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000953978	-2.81%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0507	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000956114	-2.82%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0430	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000924255	-2.65%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0025	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000938034	-2.70%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0192	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000936585	-2.65%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0238	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000939003	-2.61%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0228	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000952495	-2.61%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0072	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000968496	-2.61%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0142	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000995411	-2.60%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0059	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000967182	-2.54%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0139	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001071	-3.55%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1010	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000809301	-2.02%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1747	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000812846	-2.02%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1824	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000794104	-2.05%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2227	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000816151	-2.03%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.2064	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000827047	-2.02%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.2078	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000844676	-2.06%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1640	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000875261	-2.09%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2370	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000858209	-2.02%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0457	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.00084664	-2.03%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0294	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000833755	-2.01%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0381	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000830309	-1.77%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0175	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000906361	-2.03%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0769	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000841125	-1.82%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0181	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000873357	-1.86%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0248	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000894166	-1.79%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0247	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000903031	-1.68%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0602	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000886633	-1.67%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0521	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000895506	-1.71%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0460	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000916048	-1.73%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0089	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000884661	-1.51%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0359	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000868995	-1.32%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0146	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000882676	-1.13%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0210	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000882274	-0.78%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0263	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000849933	-0.10%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0322	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000855303	-0.43%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0419	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000869096	-0.28%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0456	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000862919	-0.26%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0216	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000891416	-0.39%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0273	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000913191	-0.37%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0334	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000937926	-0.75%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0461	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000962107	-1.12%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0932	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001041	-1.63%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1678	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001049	-1.61%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1608	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001091	-1.91%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2052	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001075	-1.77%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1611	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001083	-1.73%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1469	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.00107	-1.81%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1041	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001084	-1.96%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0913	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001098	-2.08%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0232	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001093	-1.99%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0103	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001106	-1.91%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0063	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001084	-1.62%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0094	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001095	-1.65%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0108	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001098	-1.26%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0259	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001111	-1.37%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0286	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001083	-1.32%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0144	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001049	-0.98%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0469	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001036	-0.13%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0630	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.00103	+0.01%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0508	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001074	-0.96%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0375	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001048	-0.67%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0772	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001005	-0.96%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1537	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001019	-2.00%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1447	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001054	-2.42%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0924	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001044	-2.39%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.1040	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001062	-2.36%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0857	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001059	-2.35%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1149	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001092	-2.50%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0533	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.00113	-2.79%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0324	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001087	-2.62%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0097	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000996965	-2.07%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1112	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000996485	-1.92%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0986	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001044	-1.89%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0615	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.00105	-2.12%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0702	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001058	-2.11%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0873	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001103	-2.12%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0612	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001124	-2.11%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0098	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001124	-2.06%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.0956	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001149	-2.07%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1101	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.00117	-2.04%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0627	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001187	-1.86%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0718	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.0012	-1.87%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0895	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001224	-1.83%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0521	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001229	-1.66%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0269	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001227	-1.50%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0257	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001239	-1.58%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0326	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001227	-1.48%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0171	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001243	-1.45%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0357	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001269	-1.20%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0135	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.00126	-1.12%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0051	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001272	-1.18%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0407	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001248	-1.19%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0465	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.00125	-1.15%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0174	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001245	-1.16%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0255	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001242	-1.52%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0387	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001258	-1.64%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0621	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001262	-1.65%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0528	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001308	-1.61%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0497	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001345	-1.39%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0613	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001328	-1.71%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0638	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001304	-1.75%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0457	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001274	-1.51%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0198	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.00127	-1.53%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0439	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001255	-2.15%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0222	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001256	-2.30%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0323	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.00126	-2.66%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0110	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001253	-2.48%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0482	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001291	-2.33%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0223	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001207	-2.76%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0258	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001215	-2.88%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0129	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001202	-3.01%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0351	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001191	-3.05%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0571	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001142	-2.97%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0803	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001146	-3.08%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0771	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.00116	-3.09%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0728	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001196	-3.12%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0124	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001214	-3.10%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0254	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001227	-3.24%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0236	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001276	-3.09%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1263	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001187	-2.74%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0362	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001158	-2.06%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0703	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001162	-1.85%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0656	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001149	-1.54%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0057	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001152	-1.62%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0369	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001184	-1.57%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0105	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.00116	-0.78%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0927	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001185	-0.50%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0204	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001236	-0.78%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0608	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001319	-1.05%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1180	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001432	-1.78%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1748	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.00148	-2.06%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1847	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001494	-1.89%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1807	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001511	-1.91%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1912	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001496	-1.65%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.1967	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001548	-2.09%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1747	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001539	-2.37%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0764	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001722	-2.66%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1478	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.00173	-2.90%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1364	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001788	-3.18%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1071	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001805	-3.31%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.0967	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001802	-3.51%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.0900	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001781	-3.57%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.0818	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001781	-3.77%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1153	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001745	-3.90%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0233	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001746	-4.12%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0040	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001727	-4.38%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0055	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001798	-4.37%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0651	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001765	-3.92%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0566	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001856	-4.26%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0701	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001853	-4.36%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0473	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001984	-4.74%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.0830	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002059	-4.90%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.0848	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001981	-4.65%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1184	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002122	-4.89%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1149	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002101	-4.67%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1376	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002362	-5.39%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2021	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002312	-5.22%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2113	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.00221	-5.09%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1110	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002211	-5.29%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.0920	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002082	-4.35%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0702	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002289	-5.12%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.0916	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002417	-6.09%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0637	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002263	-6.55%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.1138	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001772	-3.73%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3516	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001718	-3.12%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2962	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001702	-2.79%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2922	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.0017	-2.88%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2986	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.00156	-2.01%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.5011	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001559	-1.88%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5191	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00161	-2.38%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4356	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001728	-2.85%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0759	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001755	-2.22%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0023	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001786	-2.44%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0104	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001906	-3.38%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0654	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001915	-3.61%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1666	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001973	-3.71%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.1945	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002002	-3.51%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2021	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001979	-3.44%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0807	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001739	+0.29%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0190	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002013	-3.70%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0260	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002297	-5.17%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0848	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002309	-5.48%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0695	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002156	-4.69%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0103	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002309	-5.54%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0219	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002826	-7.57%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2568	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002784	-8.08%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3634	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002632	-8.25%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1362	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002392	-7.51%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0899	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.00184	-4.67%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3256	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001845	-4.56%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2476	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.00227	-6.29%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.1008	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002377	-7.02%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2653	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002695	-11.11%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1296	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002029	-6.77%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3470	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001573	-3.99%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4964	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001241	-2.61%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4628	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.00121	-2.47%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5051	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001181	-2.39%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7506	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001221	-2.33%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7727	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001222	-2.35%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9432	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001125	-2.29%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.7010	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001061	-2.41%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4758	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001049	-2.27%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1863	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001029	-2.32%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1710	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001039	-2.34%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1236	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001267	-2.34%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0450	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001395	-2.33%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1396	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001409	-2.33%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2523	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001449	-2.29%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3019	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001446	-2.28%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2748	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001477	-2.28%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3329	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001478	-2.23%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3267	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.00148	-2.16%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1373	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001469	-2.01%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0493	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001464	-1.83%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0487	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001471	-1.84%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0402	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001505	-1.70%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0796	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001526	-1.74%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0431	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001522	-1.65%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0330	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001486	-1.43%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0072	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001497	-1.34%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0132	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001524	-1.36%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0209	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001485	-1.16%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001505	-1.25%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0308	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001542	-1.27%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0142	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001533	-1.15%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0145	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001512	-0.99%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0049	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001462	-0.29%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0212	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.00158	-0.68%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0353	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001558	-0.82%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0328	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001691	-0.85%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1241	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001743	-1.16%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1137	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001752	-1.36%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1041	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001724	-1.29%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1017	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001748	-1.47%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1108	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001785	-1.43%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0618	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001818	-1.57%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1031	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001833	-1.42%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0338	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001841	-1.43%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0236	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.00188	-1.30%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0660	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001926	-1.33%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1062	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.00191	-1.53%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0781	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001866	-1.66%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0169	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002078	-1.65%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1321	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002008	-0.72%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1243	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002059	-1.32%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0979	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002026	-1.24%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0455	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002077	-1.28%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0458	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002126	-1.38%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0997	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002212	-1.39%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1825	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002115	-0.58%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0393	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002101	-0.58%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0180	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002066	-0.04%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0254	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002065	+0.62%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0684	✗	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002044	+0.80%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0305	✗	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002122	+0.39%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0320	✗	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002119	-0.51%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0680	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002351	-1.19%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0383	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002353	-0.95%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0654	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002477	-1.50%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002465	-1.56%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0610	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002463	-1.29%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0875	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002495	-2.11%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0148	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002331	-1.89%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0287	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002309	-1.97%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1471	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002376	-2.32%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1610	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002393	-2.16%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1714	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002301	-1.69%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1614	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002309	-1.88%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1784	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002262	-1.44%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1383	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002277	-1.80%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0674	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002314	-1.35%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0004	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002401	-2.26%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0194	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.00249	-2.79%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0513	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002506	-2.79%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0248	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002468	-2.67%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0261	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002436	-2.45%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0239	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002493	-2.74%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0016	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002466	-3.04%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0920	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002478	-3.17%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0825	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002486	-3.20%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0779	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002467	-2.84%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0637	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002522	-2.68%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0242	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002582	-2.60%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0107	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002502	-1.93%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0061	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002561	-2.06%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0623	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002698	-2.59%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.0950	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002695	-2.15%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1162	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002567	-1.38%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0624	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002542	-1.03%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0336	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002308	-0.55%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1151	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002573	-1.73%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0295	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002688	-2.42%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0273	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002784	-2.95%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0505	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002788	-3.07%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0632	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002717	-2.08%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0005	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003034	-2.96%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0880	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003554	-4.07%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.2993	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003462	-4.12%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1533	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003405	-4.20%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1244	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003478	-4.34%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.0940	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003389	-4.31%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0768	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003588	-4.09%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1328	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003718	-3.99%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0752	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003821	-3.97%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0422	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003758	-3.85%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.0874	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003656	-3.32%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1045	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003658	-3.31%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1179	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003682	-3.00%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1649	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.00366	-2.57%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1231	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003733	-2.58%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1062	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003743	-2.44%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0710	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003911	-3.07%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0621	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003988	-2.99%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0777	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004004	-3.07%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0763	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.00415	-3.30%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0517	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004085	-3.37%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0084	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004423	-3.37%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0717	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.00443	-3.47%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0453	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004584	-3.53%	0.004035	-15.09%	0.0910	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.