TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s1

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0604

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual -0.0001

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.033085	0.032945	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.24
2026-10-21	oos	0.032839	0.032724	-0.35%	0.033085	+0.75%	0.0058	✗	2.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.037784	-0.53%	0.032839	-13.54%	0.1698	✓	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.033676	-0.35%	0.037984	+12.40%	0.0901	✗	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.033727	-0.34%	0.033794	-0.14%	0.0066	✗	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.035261	-0.36%	0.033843	-4.37%	0.0584	✓	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.035762	-0.36%	0.035389	-1.40%	0.0072	✓	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.036027	-0.34%	0.035893	-0.72%	0.0138	✗	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.037509	-0.38%	0.036152	-3.99%	0.0526	✓	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.037739	-0.36%	0.037653	-0.59%	0.0417	✗	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.036152	-0.25%	0.037875	+4.50%	0.0076	✗	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.039462	-0.37%	0.036243	-8.50%	0.0323	✓	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.03772	-0.29%	0.03961	+4.71%	0.0280	✗	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.03809	-0.28%	0.037829	-0.97%	0.0169	✓	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.037221	-0.23%	0.038198	+2.39%	0.0026	✗	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.039675	-0.33%	0.037308	-6.28%	0.0190	✓	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.042372	-0.42%	0.039808	-6.44%	0.0028	✓	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.042468	-0.42%	0.042549	-0.23%	0.0073	✗	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.04564	-0.50%	0.042647	-7.03%	0.0482	✓	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.044347	-0.48%	0.045871	+2.94%	0.0122	✓	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.044325	-0.49%	0.044561	+0.04%	0.0009	✓	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.046695	-0.53%	0.044541	-5.12%	0.0383	✓	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.046331	-0.53%	0.046943	+0.78%	0.0208	✓	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.045495	-0.50%	0.04658	+1.87%	0.0258	✗	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.044655	-0.48%	0.045724	+1.90%	0.0187	✗	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.047045	-0.51%	0.044871	-5.11%	0.0203	✓	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.049128	-0.53%	0.047287	-4.26%	0.0394	✓	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.051532	-0.59%	0.049391	-4.72%	0.0512	✓	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.050285	-0.54%	0.051838	+2.53%	0.0383	✗	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.049449	-0.52%	0.05056	+1.71%	0.0220	✗	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.059143	-0.83%	0.04971	-16.65%	0.1271	✓	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.05595	-0.82%	0.05964	+5.73%	0.0742	✗	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.050068	-0.63%	0.05641	+11.96%	0.0294	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.047439	-0.54%	0.050383	+5.63%	0.0623	✗	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.049163	-0.61%	0.047696	-3.57%	0.0404	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.043531	-0.10%	0.049463	+13.52%	0.0037	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.042657	+0.08%	0.043573	+2.23%	0.0152	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.042943	+0.21%	0.042624	-0.54%	0.0241	✗	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.047051	-0.13%	0.042855	-9.03%	0.0173	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.046643	+0.10%	0.047112	+1.10%	0.0303	✗	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.048313	+0.10%	0.046599	-3.46%	0.0226	✗	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.048824	+0.20%	0.048266	-0.95%	0.0131	✗	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.047462	+0.45%	0.048729	+3.13%	0.0064	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.04999	+0.38%	0.047248	-5.12%	0.0048	✗	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.052264	+0.41%	0.049799	-4.33%	0.0436	✗	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.048859	+0.75%	0.052052	+7.33%	0.0820	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.052483	+0.77%	0.048497	-6.88%	0.0432	✗	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.061937	+0.46%	0.052082	-15.52%	0.1878	✗	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.0759	-1.00%	0.061653	-19.58%	0.2122	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.055559	+0.85%	0.076665	+39.17%	0.3705	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.042114	+0.90%	0.055088	+31.99%	0.1651	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.043513	+0.72%	0.041738	-3.39%	0.0392	✗	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.044796	+0.66%	0.043203	-2.92%	0.0083	✗	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.047273	+0.38%	0.044504	-5.50%	0.0809	✗	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.050249	+0.28%	0.047096	-6.01%	0.0520	✗	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.049715	+0.11%	0.050108	+0.90%	0.0010	✓	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.053451	-0.00%	0.04966	-7.10%	0.0198	✓	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.051733	-0.22%	0.053453	+3.10%	0.0056	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.049222	-0.30%	0.051848	+5.02%	0.0414	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.05098	-0.42%	0.049368	-3.57%	0.0218	✓	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.051741	-0.56%	0.051194	-1.61%	0.0407	✓	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.054276	-0.76%	0.052031	-4.86%	0.0587	✓	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.05838	-1.15%	0.054691	-7.39%	0.0347	✓	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047829	-0.58%	0.059058	+22.76%	0.0882	✗	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.047575	-0.65%	0.048109	+0.47%	0.0896	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.041493	-0.54%	0.047886	+14.78%	0.0121	✗	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.038952	-0.46%	0.041719	+6.61%	0.0626	✗	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.041596	-0.60%	0.039132	-6.48%	0.1131	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.038882	-0.47%	0.041845	+7.11%	0.0793	✗	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.036933	-0.40%	0.039066	+5.35%	0.0547	✗	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.03746	-0.41%	0.037082	-1.41%	0.0042	✗	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.037989	-0.42%	0.037614	-1.40%	0.0104	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.037152	-0.39%	0.038149	+2.29%	0.0303	✗	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.0386	-0.43%	0.037296	-3.79%	0.0230	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.039849	-0.46%	0.038765	-3.16%	0.0007	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.043053	-0.63%	0.040031	-7.60%	0.0710	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.038593	-0.42%	0.043324	+11.79%	0.1150	✗	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.037198	-0.36%	0.038756	+3.81%	0.0170	✗	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.038722	-0.40%	0.037333	-3.97%	0.0236	✓	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.038307	-0.37%	0.038876	+1.11%	0.0070	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.037829	-0.35%	0.038449	+1.28%	0.0075	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.03829	-0.35%	0.037962	-1.20%	0.0073	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.038733	-0.33%	0.038423	-1.13%	0.0366	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.039219	-0.32%	0.038862	-1.23%	0.0067	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.042881	-0.42%	0.039347	-8.62%	0.0111	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.043679	-0.42%	0.043061	-1.83%	0.0486	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.047947	-0.57%	0.043863	-9.04%	0.0911	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.042575	-0.42%	0.04822	+12.78%	0.1181	✗	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.050423	-0.78%	0.042755	-15.87%	0.1002	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.038518	-0.25%	0.05082	+31.61%	0.2374	✗	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.037944	-0.22%	0.038615	+1.55%	0.0095	✗	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.038417	-0.22%	0.038026	-1.23%	0.0260	✗	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.040222	-0.24%	0.0385	-4.51%	0.0059	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.044231	-0.30%	0.040317	-9.13%	0.0772	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.043204	-0.27%	0.044366	+2.41%	0.0203	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.043477	-0.26%	0.043322	-0.62%	0.0229	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.046197	-0.30%	0.043592	-5.92%	0.0540	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.041305	-0.20%	0.046336	+11.96%	0.0871	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.043524	-0.21%	0.041387	-5.11%	0.0541	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.047525	-0.26%	0.043618	-8.46%	0.0603	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.050571	-0.29%	0.047648	-6.05%	0.0523	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.05007	-0.27%	0.050717	+1.01%	0.0664	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.054724	-0.33%	0.050208	-8.55%	0.0438	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.054235	-0.30%	0.054903	+0.92%	0.0131	✗	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.051699	-0.26%	0.054401	+4.96%	0.0611	✗	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.054443	-0.30%	0.051832	-5.08%	0.0772	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.052525	-0.26%	0.054605	+3.69%	0.0082	✗	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.05522	-0.28%	0.052663	-4.90%	0.0126	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.05944	-0.33%	0.055374	-7.15%	0.0495	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.059267	-0.33%	0.059639	+0.29%	0.0068	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.063992	-0.44%	0.059466	-7.48%	0.0893	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.066734	-0.50%	0.064273	-4.17%	0.0555	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.06448	-0.50%	0.06707	+3.50%	0.0061	✗	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.061229	-0.43%	0.064804	+5.39%	0.0065	✗	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.052277	-0.18%	0.061492	+17.42%	0.1150	✗	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.054293	-0.27%	0.052371	-3.80%	0.0178	✗	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.05055	-0.18%	0.054438	+7.50%	0.0521	✗	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.054343	-0.29%	0.050641	-7.08%	0.0560	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.055586	-0.31%	0.054499	-2.26%	0.0176	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.052894	-0.21%	0.055757	+5.19%	0.0433	✗	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.054475	-0.27%	0.053004	-2.96%	0.0114	✗	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.060916	-0.41%	0.05462	-10.71%	0.0604	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.065525	-0.48%	0.061169	-7.09%	0.0325	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.068076	-0.50%	0.065839	-3.77%	0.0535	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.070143	-0.55%	0.068421	-2.99%	0.0018	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.066897	-0.48%	0.070529	+4.93%	0.0324	✗	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.066516	-0.45%	0.067218	+0.60%	0.0062	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.068604	-0.48%	0.066817	-3.07%	0.0167	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.073659	-0.56%	0.068936	-6.94%	0.0351	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.077188	-0.65%	0.074075	-4.65%	0.0236	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.081666	-0.78%	0.07769	-5.62%	0.0652	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.077461	-0.65%	0.082312	+5.57%	0.0270	✗	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.071034	-0.49%	0.07797	+9.22%	0.0695	✗	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.067579	-0.37%	0.071386	+5.24%	0.0555	✗	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.065924	-0.15%	0.067829	+2.74%	0.0303	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.071492	-0.21%	0.066021	-7.85%	0.0729	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.076847	-0.36%	0.071643	-7.11%	0.0329	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.073532	-0.20%	0.077125	+4.68%	0.0540	✗	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.072574	+0.15%	0.073677	+1.67%	0.0518	✗	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.068172	+0.38%	0.072464	+6.70%	0.0662	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.068542	+0.30%	0.067914	-0.62%	0.0701	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.076109	+0.12%	0.06834	-10.10%	0.1011	✗	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.069204	+0.25%	0.076015	+10.11%	0.1710	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.074413	-0.16%	0.069034	-7.38%	0.0444	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.076195	-0.23%	0.074536	-2.40%	0.0335	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.085003	-0.40%	0.07637	-10.51%	0.1026	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.08633	-0.39%	0.08534	-1.54%	0.0209	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.075861	-0.16%	0.086672	+14.07%	0.1366	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.064042	+0.20%	0.075982	+18.89%	0.1900	✓	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.08399	-0.27%	0.063912	-24.11%	0.2406	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.103235	-0.57%	0.084221	-18.88%	0.1768	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.108476	-0.59%	0.103826	-4.85%	0.0489	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.113945	-0.67%	0.10912	-4.88%	0.0494	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.101877	-0.44%	0.114713	+12.11%	0.0962	✗	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.115942	-0.68%	0.102325	-12.34%	0.0879	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.114409	-0.70%	0.116733	+1.32%	0.0188	✗	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.107826	-0.56%	0.115211	+6.25%	0.0537	✗	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.112768	-0.70%	0.108436	-4.51%	0.0361	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.109772	-0.68%	0.113559	+2.75%	0.0420	✗	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.114299	-0.86%	0.11052	-4.13%	0.0216	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.116427	-1.03%	0.115287	-1.99%	0.0069	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.128799	-1.67%	0.117633	-10.19%	0.0569	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.12831	-2.28%	0.13098	-0.24%	0.0092	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.102531	-1.75%	0.1313	+25.81%	0.2688	✗	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.115401	-2.62%	0.10436	-11.94%	0.0792	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.11454	-4.09%	0.118506	-0.77%	0.0422	✗	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.054554	-1.62%	0.119429	+115.36%	0.7622	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.049026	-1.49%	0.055455	+11.43%	0.1168	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.045512	-1.34%	0.049767	+7.88%	0.0868	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.050476	-2.30%	0.04613	-10.71%	0.0699	✓	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.042192	-1.79%	0.051663	+20.26%	0.1954	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.043435	-2.14%	0.042961	-3.21%	0.0253	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.04909	-3.79%	0.044384	-13.01%	0.1199	✓	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.027417	-1.27%	0.051022	+83.72%	0.6230	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.021024	-0.54%	0.027771	+31.38%	0.2715	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.01709	+0.06%	0.021138	+23.77%	0.1845	✓	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.01722	+0.04%	0.017079	-0.78%	0.0165	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.019309	-0.20%	0.017214	-11.03%	0.1064	✓	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.017746	-0.03%	0.019348	+9.00%	0.1022	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.020525	-0.26%	0.017751	-13.74%	0.1261	✓	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.02128	-0.37%	0.020579	-3.65%	0.0485	✓	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.0223	-0.50%	0.021359	-4.70%	0.0460	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.021831	-0.52%	0.022413	+2.13%	0.0387	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.020351	-0.43%	0.021945	+7.37%	0.0743	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.019989	-0.55%	0.020439	+1.69%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.020876	-0.78%	0.020099	-4.48%	0.0457	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.021289	-1.14%	0.021041	-2.29%	0.0483	✓	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.016262	-0.55%	0.021534	+31.70%	0.3174	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014757	-0.38%	0.016351	+10.38%	0.1284	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.016728	-0.62%	0.014813	-12.00%	0.1598	✓	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.015879	-0.57%	0.016833	+5.40%	0.0518	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.015588	-0.59%	0.015971	+1.86%	0.0110	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.016085	-0.71%	0.01568	-3.21%	0.0202	✓	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.01471	-0.61%	0.0162	+9.45%	0.0201	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.016083	-0.87%	0.014801	-8.78%	0.0349	✓	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.016608	-1.20%	0.016225	-3.47%	0.0251	✓	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011752	-0.37%	0.016809	+42.50%	0.3344	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011877	-0.39%	0.011796	-1.07%	0.0210	✓	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.012205	-0.42%	0.011923	-2.72%	0.0070	✓	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.011067	-0.33%	0.012256	+10.37%	0.0406	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011377	-0.36%	0.011104	-2.75%	0.0211	✓	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011549	-0.38%	0.011418	-1.51%	0.0467	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.011381	-0.34%	0.011593	+1.51%	0.0114	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011416	-0.33%	0.01142	-0.30%	0.0010	✓	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.012003	-0.38%	0.011454	-4.94%	0.0208	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.012285	-0.40%	0.012049	-2.32%	0.0171	✓	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.01195	-0.34%	0.012335	+2.88%	0.0007	✓	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011816	-0.28%	0.01199	+1.18%	0.0028	✓	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.012258	-0.32%	0.01185	-3.64%	0.0257	✓	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.011242	-0.17%	0.012297	+9.19%	0.0904	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.011179	-0.16%	0.011262	+0.59%	0.0611	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.012191	-0.21%	0.011196	-8.35%	0.0312	✓	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.012336	-0.19%	0.012216	-1.17%	0.0260	✓	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012417	-0.19%	0.01236	-0.64%	0.0026	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011829	-0.13%	0.01244	+5.03%	0.0155	✓	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012747	-0.18%	0.011844	-7.24%	0.0500	✓	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.0133	-0.21%	0.012769	-4.19%	0.0067	✓	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013559	-0.23%	0.013328	-1.93%	0.0296	✓	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.013999	-0.26%	0.01359	-3.17%	0.0020	✓	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015192	-0.35%	0.014035	-7.94%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.014604	-0.29%	0.015245	+4.09%	0.0617	✗	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014492	-0.27%	0.014646	+0.78%	0.0315	✓	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.013708	-0.21%	0.014532	+5.79%	0.0249	✗	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013577	-0.19%	0.013737	+0.99%	0.0055	✗	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.013882	-0.20%	0.013603	-2.20%	0.0292	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.013861	-0.19%	0.013909	+0.16%	0.0034	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.014074	-0.19%	0.013887	-1.52%	0.0187	✓	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.013912	-0.17%	0.014101	+1.18%	0.0198	✓	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013409	-0.14%	0.013936	+3.78%	0.0172	✓	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.014077	-0.16%	0.013428	-4.77%	0.0175	✓	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.014464	-0.17%	0.0141	-2.68%	0.0061	✓	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015344	-0.22%	0.014489	-5.77%	0.0043	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015334	-0.20%	0.015377	+0.08%	0.0412	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015217	-0.18%	0.015364	+0.78%	0.0908	✓	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015003	-0.16%	0.015245	+1.44%	0.0277	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014565	-0.14%	0.015028	+3.04%	0.0445	✓	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.015131	-0.17%	0.014585	-3.77%	0.0059	✓	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015128	-0.16%	0.015156	+0.03%	0.0267	✓	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.01561	-0.18%	0.015152	-3.10%	0.0122	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016461	-0.22%	0.015637	-5.21%	0.0387	✓	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015552	-0.16%	0.016497	+5.91%	0.0442	✓	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015379	-0.15%	0.015577	+1.14%	0.0275	✗	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.015918	-0.18%	0.015402	-3.41%	0.0451	✗	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016753	-0.22%	0.015946	-5.02%	0.0407	✓	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018811	-0.35%	0.016789	-11.07%	0.1130	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.016846	-0.22%	0.018878	+11.82%	0.0882	✗	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.015918	-0.16%	0.016883	+5.89%	0.0446	✗	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.015109	-0.11%	0.015944	+5.41%	0.0796	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015325	-0.12%	0.015125	-1.42%	0.0207	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.014747	-0.07%	0.015343	+3.97%	0.0380	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016784	-0.19%	0.014757	-12.24%	0.1045	✓	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.015038	-0.04%	0.016816	+11.78%	0.0883	✗	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014513	+0.08%	0.015044	+3.74%	0.0289	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015048	+0.05%	0.014501	-3.59%	0.0155	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015572	+0.00%	0.015041	-3.40%	0.0117	✓	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016314	-0.04%	0.015571	-4.59%	0.0136	✓	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016502	-0.01%	0.01632	-1.11%	0.0065	✓	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.016877	+0.04%	0.016504	-2.18%	0.0493	✗	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.01777	-0.06%	0.016871	-5.11%	0.0177	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.015208	+0.99%	0.01778	+18.07%	0.0713	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.01733	+0.07%	0.015059	-13.04%	0.2495	✓	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017715	-0.02%	0.017318	-2.26%	0.0739	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.020186	-0.24%	0.017718	-12.44%	0.0280	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017649	+0.05%	0.020235	+14.70%	0.0775	✓	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017937	+0.01%	0.017641	-1.64%	0.0452	✓	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.019121	-0.15%	0.017935	-6.34%	0.1337	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.020666	-0.21%	0.01915	-7.53%	0.0622	✓	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.022606	-0.32%	0.02071	-8.68%	0.0743	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.024379	-0.41%	0.022679	-7.35%	0.0738	✓	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.022538	-0.30%	0.024479	+8.29%	0.0533	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.022009	-0.24%	0.022605	+2.46%	0.0316	✓	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.02438	-0.38%	0.022063	-9.85%	0.0135	✓	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.026328	-0.48%	0.024473	-7.50%	0.0595	✓	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.031829	-1.12%	0.026456	-17.82%	0.1853	✓	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.023092	-0.34%	0.032191	+38.93%	0.3288	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.01832	+0.04%	0.023171	+26.53%	0.1997	✓	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.023431	-0.31%	0.018313	-22.09%	0.1126	✓	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.02569	-0.39%	0.023505	-8.86%	0.0560	✓	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.026624	-0.40%	0.02579	-3.52%	0.0127	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.027084	-0.40%	0.02673	-1.70%	0.0015	✓	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.029111	-0.43%	0.027192	-6.99%	0.0657	✓	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.030607	-0.46%	0.029237	-4.92%	0.0052	✓	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.031774	-0.49%	0.030749	-3.70%	0.0800	✓	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.028421	-0.39%	0.031931	+11.91%	0.0158	✓	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.029499	-0.41%	0.028533	-3.67%	0.0436	✓	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.02896	-0.37%	0.029619	+1.90%	0.0061	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.030326	-0.39%	0.029067	-4.53%	0.0375	✓	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.032166	-0.45%	0.030445	-5.78%	0.0371	✓	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.031946	-0.44%	0.032313	+0.70%	0.0203	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.035916	-0.59%	0.032088	-11.19%	0.0289	✓	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.03711	-0.70%	0.036131	-3.32%	0.0217	✓	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.038919	-0.97%	0.03737	-4.92%	0.1249	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.032936	-0.57%	0.039302	+18.65%	0.1449	✗	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.032012	-0.58%	0.033125	+2.88%	0.0114	✗	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.029081	-0.43%	0.032199	+10.24%	0.0584	✗	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024871	-0.23%	0.029207	+17.16%	0.1171	✗	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.027173	-0.31%	0.024929	-8.54%	0.0543	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.026712	-0.28%	0.027256	+1.75%	0.0248	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.028851	-0.34%	0.026787	-7.47%	0.0474	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.029042	-0.33%	0.028949	-0.65%	0.0056	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028943	-0.32%	0.029139	+0.36%	0.0113	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.028949	-0.30%	0.029035	-0.00%	0.0014	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.029611	-0.30%	0.029036	-2.23%	0.0041	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.030455	-0.30%	0.029699	-2.78%	0.0311	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.03311	-0.36%	0.030548	-8.07%	0.0437	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.032425	-0.32%	0.033229	+2.15%	0.0272	✗	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.032309	-0.30%	0.03253	+0.38%	0.0029	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.03444	-0.34%	0.032407	-6.23%	0.0680	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.035778	-0.39%	0.034559	-3.78%	0.1202	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.037377	-0.45%	0.035919	-4.34%	0.0152	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.037932	-0.49%	0.037548	-1.50%	0.0427	✗	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.032366	-0.28%	0.038119	+17.45%	0.1183	✗	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.035059	-0.34%	0.032456	-7.74%	0.0220	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.038467	-0.46%	0.035177	-8.97%	0.0257	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.038589	-0.52%	0.038643	-0.38%	0.0021	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.035101	-0.36%	0.03879	+10.11%	0.1698	✗	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.03185	-0.24%	0.035229	+10.34%	0.0855	✗	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.034737	-0.35%	0.031928	-8.41%	0.0644	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032984	-0.30%	0.034859	+5.37%	0.0060	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027569	-0.09%	0.033084	+19.90%	0.1747	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025933	-0.02%	0.027594	+6.38%	0.0274	✗	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028862	-0.07%	0.025938	-10.20%	0.1045	✓	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.028835	-0.06%	0.028883	+0.10%	0.0870	✗	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.03377	-0.15%	0.028854	-14.69%	0.1165	✓	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.032938	-0.12%	0.033821	+2.56%	0.0381	✓	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.029653	+0.01%	0.032976	+11.21%	0.0555	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.034566	-0.11%	0.029651	-14.31%	0.0160	✓	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.035721	-0.12%	0.034603	-3.25%	0.0169	✓	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.038167	-0.17%	0.035765	-6.45%	0.0626	✓	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.039242	-0.18%	0.038231	-2.76%	0.0129	✓	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.041366	-0.22%	0.039315	-5.17%	0.0785	✓	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.04213	-0.22%	0.041459	-1.81%	0.1256	✓	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.042217	-0.22%	0.042225	-0.20%	0.0336	✗	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.038829	-0.03%	0.042309	+8.93%	0.0344	✗	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.038053	+0.10%	0.03884	+2.17%	0.0581	✗	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.03609	+0.26%	0.038014	+5.61%	0.0663	✓	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.038713	+0.17%	0.035996	-6.86%	0.0185	✗	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.038144	+0.11%	0.038646	+1.43%	0.2098	✓	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.039631	+0.06%	0.038101	-3.80%	0.0165	✓	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.0325	+0.58%	0.039606	+22.57%	0.1662	✓	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.035959	+0.40%	0.032313	-9.78%	0.0298	✗	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.037117	+0.38%	0.035815	-3.14%	0.0141	✓	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.036206	+0.55%	0.036976	+2.68%	0.0170	✗	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.045025	+0.06%	0.03601	-19.98%	0.0428	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.047262	-0.02%	0.044999	-4.80%	0.0203	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.047852	-0.01%	0.04727	-1.22%	0.0341	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.057792	-0.35%	0.047855	-17.49%	0.0923	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.056836	-0.28%	0.057997	+1.76%	0.0212	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.048076	+0.26%	0.056993	+18.85%	0.0929	✓	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.052064	+0.11%	0.047953	-7.79%	0.0501	✗	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.043549	+0.82%	0.052006	+20.40%	0.1147	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.051114	+0.34%	0.043195	-15.21%	0.0888	✗	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.051669	+0.49%	0.050941	-0.93%	0.0858	✗	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.059859	+0.05%	0.051417	-14.06%	0.0028	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.077894	-0.35%	0.059831	-23.45%	0.1589	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.079533	-0.33%	0.078164	-2.05%	0.0302	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.082153	-0.36%	0.079799	-3.21%	0.0424	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.082883	-0.35%	0.082447	-0.87%	0.0389	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.091576	-0.48%	0.083171	-9.62%	0.0533	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.095381	-0.55%	0.092022	-4.05%	0.0327	✗	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.100576	-0.67%	0.095911	-5.28%	0.0200	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.100305	-0.70%	0.101254	+0.24%	0.0200	✗	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.084475	-0.34%	0.101013	+19.17%	0.1122	✗	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.086297	-0.33%	0.084765	-2.10%	0.0340	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.084647	-0.25%	0.086585	+2.03%	0.0017	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.081605	-0.09%	0.084859	+3.90%	0.0291	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.088254	-0.20%	0.081677	-7.64%	0.0565	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.097079	-0.34%	0.08843	-9.22%	0.0344	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.095413	-0.25%	0.097409	+1.84%	0.0279	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.099395	-0.25%	0.095651	-4.01%	0.0776	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.085198	+0.07%	0.099645	+17.04%	0.1369	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.091404	-0.08%	0.085138	-6.93%	0.0258	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.097803	-0.20%	0.091482	-6.65%	0.0002	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.111876	-0.38%	0.098	-12.73%	0.0771	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.126648	-0.59%	0.112299	-11.86%	0.0688	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.11322	-0.42%	0.127404	+12.05%	0.1132	✗	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.088179	-0.10%	0.113702	+28.82%	0.1605	✗	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.100278	-0.25%	0.088263	-12.20%	0.0823	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.128341	-0.51%	0.100527	-22.07%	0.1051	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.134327	-0.56%	0.128993	-4.51%	0.0174	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.125859	-0.48%	0.135084	+6.81%	0.0418	✗	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.141409	-0.53%	0.126468	-11.04%	0.0656	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.141093	-0.54%	0.142165	+0.22%	0.0092	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.144747	-0.56%	0.141855	-2.55%	0.0356	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.159332	-0.66%	0.145562	-9.24%	0.0925	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.163662	-0.75%	0.160385	-2.74%	0.0461	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.151229	-0.66%	0.164899	+8.32%	0.0547	✗	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.142547	-0.61%	0.152239	+6.14%	0.0114	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.158872	-0.77%	0.143427	-10.41%	0.0958	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.161713	-0.82%	0.1601	-1.81%	0.0599	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.1373	-0.55%	0.163044	+18.10%	0.1189	✗	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.168197	-1.04%	0.138059	-18.77%	0.1971	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.151787	-0.88%	0.169959	+10.98%	0.0992	✗	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.13524	-0.68%	0.153142	+12.47%	0.2299	✗	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.141542	-0.93%	0.136167	-4.69%	0.0722	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.136645	-0.78%	0.142865	+3.74%	0.0630	✗	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.106986	-0.22%	0.137713	+28.44%	0.3269	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.109483	-0.25%	0.107217	-2.31%	0.0070	✓	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.121083	-0.45%	0.109754	-9.76%	0.1001	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.123024	-0.47%	0.121625	-1.61%	0.0311	✗	3.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.